The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - June 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1 2 1 $2.65 $2.65 -3.35
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 4-1-5 3 0 $1.45 -1.20
FE-2   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.30 $4.30 0.30
    Exacta (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 3-1 2 1 $4.75 $4.75 2.75
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 3-1-2 3 0 $2.30 0.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(1/3) 4-3 2 1 $3.55 $3.55 3.55
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 0 $1.40 -6.00
FE-3   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.20 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 0 $14.35 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20 4-5-1 3 0 $8.52 -1.20
    Daily Double (1/3)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-4 2 0 $10.20 -6.00
FE-4   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $4.10 -4.00
    Exacta (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 6-2 2 0 $5.25 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 6-2-4 3 0 $2.75 0.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(2/5) 4-1 2 0 $3.85 0.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6 2 0 $8.15 -6.00
FE-5   Win (3/5/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $24.70 -8.00
    Exacta (3/5/6/10)-(3/5/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-10 2 0 $51.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/5/6/10)-(3/5/6/10)-(3/5/6/10) 24 $0.20 $4.80 7-10-5 3 0 $36.46 -4.80
    Daily Double (2/5)-(3/5/6/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 6-7 2 0 $25.90 -8.00
FE-6   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
    Exacta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-4 2 0 $18.45 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 7-4-1 3 0 $15.47 -1.20
    Daily Double (3/5/6/10)-(1/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-7 2 0 $43.15 -12.00
FE-7   Win (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
    Exacta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-3 2 1 $62.55 $62.55 50.55
    Trifecta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 2-3-4 3 0 $34.61 -4.80
    Daily Double (1/6/7)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 1 $12.40 $12.40 0.40
FE-8   Win (3/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $9.80 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/10)-(3/4/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 8-6 2 0 $12.35 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/10)-(3/4/10)-(3/4/10) 6 $0.20 $1.20 8-6-10 3 0 $5.35 -1.20
    Daily Double (1/2/3/5)-(3/4/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-8 2 0 $20.80 -12.00

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
:222 :454 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING MOON 4 1 2 1½   12 1(mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 1.20 27% 2.70 0.50 W
MONEY MATTERS 1 4 1 2½   22 2(bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 26% 2.80 2.55 P
ONE PUNCH CHARLIE 5 3 5 3   34 310½ (newland geor)ANDERSON JODEIEN 122 2.50 6.65  
BEYOND BORDERS 2 5 4 4   45 413¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 21% 3.70 8.75  
TORPEDO MAX 3 2 32 55   5526 (keen how)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 21.55  
 
FE-2   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
:224 :463 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCEED 3 2 33 45   31¼ (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 12% 7.60 1.15 W
COO BIRD 1 4 45 34   21 2¼ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.50 33% 2.10 2.15 P
ROYAL BIZ 2 1 12 12   11 3(robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.50 4.60  
DIMMI QUANDO 4 3 5 5   55 48 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 4.00 7.70  
FOREST SELECTION 5 5 22 22   43 513¾ (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 2.50 6.15  
SCR  BOCELLI               (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 9% 9.70    
 
FE-3   06/27/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
:222 :461 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE SAVVY 4 1 33 2   1½ 1(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 3.10  
REIGN BY REIN 5 5 4 4   32(ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 2.85  
JUNGLE GODDESS 1 3 1 1   2½ 34 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 1.75  
ORBITING THE SKY 3 6 6 6   54(robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 2.00 33% 2.00 10.10  
LOUEMMA 6 2 56 55   42 5(blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 5% 18.00 15.10  
CRUMLIN BIRD 2 4 2 33   65 621¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 29% 2.40 4.15  
 
FE-4   06/27/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
:221 :462 1:002     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GIRL GABBY 5 4 515 515½   55 11 (warner r)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50 1.05  
MISS MOLLY LALOU 1 5 4 3   32 21 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 4.00 11% 7.80 3.10 P
DEVIL IN HER HEART 3 1 2 23   11 3(agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 5.00 6.85  
FOREST CHOICE 2 2 3 4   44 4(newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5.15  
PASSION TO PLEASE 4 3 1 13   21 510½ (voyce jeff)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 4.50 41% 1.40 4.30  
SCR  SNEAKY REBEL               (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 13% 6.90    
 
FE-5   06/27/2023 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:23 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORE 5 2 3.2 2nk   2nk 1¼ (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 11.35  
10  MORNING THOUGHTS 7 5 5¾ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (voyc)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00 26% 2.90 3.55 P
WORKIN OUT 3 6 6 6   43(gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00 30% 2.40 1.90 S
ACTION POINT 4 7 7 74   344 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 7% 12.80 4.95  
M C JACKHAMMER 6 1 4¾ 5   557 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 3.45  
NAVAL OFFICER 1 3 2nk 4¼   63 610½ (mitchell m)JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00 18.75  
VOYANT 2 4 1nk 3.2   73 710½ (alderson)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 11% 8.10 7.15  
SCR  BLUES POWER               (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 6.00    
SCR  SPIRAL STORM               (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 12.00    
SCR  SYNCHROMESH               (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 120 10.00    
 
FE-6   06/27/2023 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
:223 :46       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUN COOL 6 4 2nk 1   11(agostino george)MAILHOT P 122 5.00 16% 5.20 1.70 W
MS. P'S BELLA 3 1 31 3   34 2(robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 6.70  
DREAMINOFPASSION 1 6 6 49   46 3(albu ken)BYNOE DESEAN 117 3.00 61% 0.60 2.20 S
EASY ACCESS 5 3 1nk 2   249 (newl)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
KOZY KAT 4 5 44 6   68 510 (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50 4.35  
NEW YORK MINT 2 2 55 59   57 615½ (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 42.10  
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA               (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
 
FE-7   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
:23 :463 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN TO BE GOOD 2 2 2½ 4   3½ 1½ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 18% 4.60 3.40 W
HONEY GIRL 3 3 1½ 11   1½ 2½ (maynard desmon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 10.00 5% 19.00 19.85 P
TICKLE HER TOE 4 4 42 21   2½ 32 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 120 6.00 2.25  
LETS RUN TWO 5 5 5 5   42 4(adamo anth)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 57% 0.80 0.85  
ROYAL CITY REIGN 1 7 6 6   66 5(mcmahon )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 5% 19.00 32.55  
MS SUEDOO 6 6 7 7   76(robillard josh)CHEYNE A 118 15.00 52.40  
KATY AND EMMA 7 1 31 3   5715¾ (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00 21.45  
SCR  ONE LAST FLING               (mileni nick)KING MARIE 118 1.80    
 
FE-8   06/27/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
:231 :464 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND MY DREAMS 5 2 45 4   3.2 1(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00 3.90  
HALF LIT 4 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00 2.80  
10  DOTTED LINE 6 3 34 31   1nk 3(voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 120 5.00 66% 0.50 1.30 S
A I INITIATIVE 3 4 68 56   54(ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 8% 11.30 3.95  
DIAMONDBACK 1 5 1½ 1nk   4512 (crete pierre)WENC C 120 10.00 14.45  
CRYPTIC CREED 2 6 56 67   6618¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 5% 19.00 22.10  
SCR  AM PREPARED               (cathcart steve)CHEYNE A 122 15.00    
SCR  REDOUTE'S LIGHT               (robillard josh)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00    
SCR  VETTORI KIN (BRZ)               (adamo anthony)DAVID MICHAEL 122 3.00    
SCR  WILLIAM BOY               (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.