Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - June 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(5/10/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (5/10/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/10/3/6)-(5/10/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/10/3/6)-(5/10/3/6)-(5/10/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/10/3/6)-(1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/6)-(1/7/6)-(1/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (5/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/3/1)-(10/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-8   WIN (10/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/3)-(10/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/4/3)-(10/4/3)-(10/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY MATTERS Jun13 May30 May07 Apr30 Oct24 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
2  BEYOND BORDERS Jun12 May14 Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 5.00 21% 3.70    
3  TORPEDO MAX Jun12 May30 Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
4  STRIKING MOON Jun13 Apr19 Mar23 Mar16 Feb17 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 1.20 27% 2.70    
5  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE Jun13 Jun02 May07 Apr23 Dec11 (newland ge)ANDERSON JODEIEN 122 2.50    
 
FE-2   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COO BIRD Nov11 Oct27 Sep25 Sep16 Jun05 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
2  ROYAL BIZ Nov25 Oct17 Sep27 Aug29 Aug08 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.50    
3  EXCEED Jun09 May19 Apr23 Dec08 Nov11 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 14% 6.10    
4  DIMMI QUANDO Jun13 May05 Apr16 Mar26 Mar04 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 4.00    
SCR  BOCELLI (IRE) Jun18 May30 Nov06 Oct24 Oct11 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
6  FOREST SELECTION May30 May01 Feb14 Aug05 Jul08 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 2.50 14% 6.40    
 
FE-3   06/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNGLE GODDESS Jun12 May23 May01 Dec13 Nov27 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.00    
2  CRUMLIN BIRD May23 Dec10 Nov10 Oct24 Oct10 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  ORBITING THE SKY Mar07 Feb14 Feb07 Jan03 Nov14 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  MORE SAVVY Jun13 May23 May14 Apr22 Dec01 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00    
5  REIGN BY REIN Jun18 May30 Dec10 Dec01 Nov17 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50    
6  LOUEMMA Jun12 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 Jul12 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 5% 18.00    
 
FE-4   06/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SNEAKY REBEL Jun06 May12 Apr22 Nov24 Oct22 (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 3.00    
2  MISS MOLLY LALOU Jun15 May25 May07 Dec10 Nov27 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  FOREST CHOICE Jun10 May12 Apr22 Nov10 Sep29 (newland george)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
4  DEVIL IN HER HEART Jun06 Nov24 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 5.00    
5  PASSION TO PLEASE Jun10 Nov17 Nov05     (voyce jeff)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 4.50 41% 1.40    
6  MY GIRL GABBY Jun16 May25 May07 Oct22 Oct06 (warner)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 2.50 15% 5.50    
 
FE-5   06/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SYNCHROMESH Oct03 Sep27 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120 10.00    
2  NAVAL OFFICER Jun06 May14 Feb26 Feb09 Feb01 (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 120 15.00    
3  VOYANT Jun12 Sep27 Sep20 Aug08 Jul25 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 4.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  SPIRAL STORM May06 Nov04 Oct24 Sep20 Aug30 (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 12.00    
5  WORKIN OUT May30 May06 Oct17 Sep02 Aug14 (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00 30% 2.40    
6  ACTION POINT Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 Aug26 Aug05 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 7% 12.80    
7  CORE Jun18 May23 Oct24 Oct11 Oct04 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 6.00    
8  M C JACKHAMMER Jun12 Jun06 Oct17 Oct10 Aug30 (humber joseph)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
SCR  BLUES POWER Jun12 Oct15 Aug31     (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 6.00    
10  MORNING THOUGHTS Jun16 May14 Dec09 Nov18 Aug14 (vo)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
 
FE-6   06/27/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMINOFPASSION Oct24 Sep20 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 (albu ken)BYNOE DESEAN 117 3.00 61% 0.60    
2  NEW YORK MINT May23 Oct10 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00    
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
4  MS. P'S BELLA Jun13 May23 Apr30 Nov03 Oct10 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
5  KOZY KAT Jun13 Oct10 Oct04 Sep12 Aug29 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.50    
6  EASY ACCESS Jun06 May23 Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 (ne)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FUN COOL Jun12 May23 Oct24 Oct17 Oct10 (agostino geor)MAILHOT P 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
 
FE-7   06/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CITY REIGN Jun12 Dec08 Nov24 Nov10 Oct20 (mcmaho)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BORN TO BE GOOD Jun12 May30 Dec08 Nov24 Nov11 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 18% 4.60    
3  HONEY GIRL Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Aug23 Aug09 (maynard desm)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  TICKLE HER TOE Jun18 Jun06 May19 Apr30 Apr22 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 120 6.00    
5  LETS RUN TWO Jun06 May12 Apr29 Nov24 Nov10 (adamo an)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 57% 0.80    
6  MS SUEDOO Oct10 Sep06 Jul19 Jun27 Jun14 (robillard jo)CHEYNE A 118 15.00    
SCR  ONE LAST FLING Jun13 May30 Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 1.80    
8  KATY AND EMMA Sep19 Aug30 Jun13 Apr29 Apr10 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 10.00    
 
FE-8   06/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WILLIAM BOY Jun13 Oct03 Sep18 Jul25 May21 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.50    
2  DIAMONDBACK May30 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 Aug14 (crete pierr)WENC C 120 10.00    
3  CRYPTIC CREED Jun13 Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 Oct01 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  A I INITIATIVE Jun13 Mar22 Dec06 Nov27 Nov13 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 5.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  AM PREPARED May23 Nov03 Oct02 Sep05 Aug09 (cathcart ste)CHEYNE A 122 15.00    
6  HALF LIT Jun18 Jun06 Oct17 Oct11 Oct04 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00    
SCR  VETTORI KIN (BRZ) May23 Mar24 Mar04 Jan25 Dec29 (adamo anthony)DAVID MICHAEL 122 3.00    
8  BEYOND MY DREAMS Jun13 May23 Apr04 Mar20 Feb13 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.00    
SCR  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Jun02 Oct11 Sep22 Sep11 Sep01 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00    
10  DOTTED LINE Sep18 Aug14 Jul10 Jun19 May19 (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 120 5.00 66% 0.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.