Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-4   WIN (2/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $13.30 $5.30 66%
    EXA (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $38.55 $26.55 221%
    TRI (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80  2-4-1 $35.37 $30.57 637%
FE-5   DD (2/3/4/1)-(3/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-7 $24.65 $8.65 54%
FE-8   WIN (2/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $15.70 $7.70 96%
    EXA (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $35.95 $23.95 200%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:222 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COO BIRD 3 6 5 5   32 1 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 41% 1.40 1.15 W
GUNZIG STINGER 4 3 2nk 11   1½ 2 (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120 4.50 10% 9.50 5.45 P
ROYAL BIZ 6 1 31 21   2½ 3 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 2.30  
FOREST SELECTION 1 4 4 42   42 4 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 10.00 18.90  
QUICK RELOAD 2 2 1nk 31   5 514 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 20% 4.10 4.35  
STRONG ATTITUDE 5 5 66 610   6 618½ (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 19.55  
 
FE-2   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOTTED LINE 1 3 21 1½   11 1 (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 120 1.60 49% 1.00 1.45 DQ↓4
BRADY O'BRADY 2 4 5 5   21 2 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.50 13.90  
BE THE CHANGE 4 2 32 3   4 35 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 15% 5.70 3.85 P
LOQUACIOUS 3 6 66 64   53 45 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 14% 6.30 5.25 S
GLITTER MOUNTAIN 6 1 11 2½   3 5 (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 37.90  
BEYOND BORDERS 5 5 4 4   6 6 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 1.85  
 
FE-3   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:224 :453 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRONG ENDING 5 1 33 2   1nk 12 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.50 1.65  
BIG TIME LOUIE 6 2 5 4   54 22 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 6.00 17.85  
VINNIE VAN GO 2 4 22 3   32 33 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 11.25  
SHAKOO MAKOO 1 7 12 1   2nk 4 (alders)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 19% 4.30 2.30  
VENOMOUS STATE 3 3 4 65   6 5 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 2.50 58% 0.70 4.70  
LETTING LOOSE 7 5 65 5   43 6 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
SUMMER RETREAT 4 6 76 7   7 76 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00 25.45  
 
FE-4   07/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:234 :494 1:152     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VETTORI KIN (BRZ) 2 4 47 44 12 12 1 (adamo anthony)DAVID MICHAEL 120 2.50 66% 0.50 5.65 W
A I INITIATIVE 4 7 5 6 7 5 2 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.05 P
HALF LIT 1 1 24 33 6 6 3 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.80 S
UNILATERAL 5 6 6 7 4 33 4 (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00 6.30  
WILLIAM BOY 6 3 35 2 3 43 54 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 4.20  
ONE PUNCH CHARLIE 7 2 14 1 22 22 6 (newland ge)ANDERSON JODEIEN 122 5.00 5.75  
REDOUTE'S LIGHT 3 5 711 5 54 7 78 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 7% 14.40 2.45  
 
FE-5   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:231 :471 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADING WEST 7 1 31 11   12 1 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.00 17% 4.80 2.55 W
  (by KLIMT out of NAPLES DREAM by UNCLE MO)
PICK A PENNY 5 5 5 31   22 2 (fournier mark)STEIN JUSTIN 120 12.00 6.50  
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of ASTRO RULER by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
LOKI'S LIGHTNING 2 2 1nk 21   35 314¼ (chudobiak gary)BYNOE DESEAN 113 5.00 4.90  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
HERMIONE GRANGER 1 7 2nk 4   45 415¾ (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 19% 4.30 1.30  
  (by MR. SCOTTY out of LADY VOLDEMORT by HONOUR AND GLORY)
EYE GOT IT GOOD 3 3 4 5   56 516½ (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 43% 1.30 5.65  
  (by MR. SCOTTY out of ONE WAY EXPRESS by ONE WAY LOVE)
LEA'S SUNSHINE 4 4 6 79   710 620½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00 82.10  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of LEA'S MOON by PERIGEE MOON)
SILENT WARNING 6 6 7 67   69 720½ (lo)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 6.00 5% 19.00 30.10  
  (by SILENT NAME out of OLD COOKSVILLE by WEATHER WARNING)
 
FE-6   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETS RUN TWO 6 2 2nk 1½   11 1 (adamo anth)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 2.00 66% 0.50 0.20 DQ↓3
KOZY KAT 1 6 44 4   33 2 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 9.55  
ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA 2 1 1nk 2½   21 3 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 8% 11.80 14.20 P
LOUEMMA 4 5 69 5   55 4 (blake michael)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00 6.10  
SEA ANNA DREAM 5 3 33 34   44 56 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 15.25  
READY TO RUMBLE 3 4 55 69   617 617¾ (thompson val)CHEYNE A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 36.70  
SCR  TICKLE HER TOE               (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 2.50    
 
FE-7   07/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:224 :481       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK TAFFY 7 3 1nk 11   11 1 (crete pierre)SALLES LEO 120 2.00 2.05  
BRIENNE OF TARTH 4 6 6 7   5 2 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00 7.65  
DEVIL IN HER HEART 2 5 4¾ 4   31 32 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 12.00 5% 19.00 4.10 S
FEEL LIKE GUESSING 5 2 2nk 21   21 4 (davis rich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 28% 2.60 11.00  
SNEAKY REBEL 1 4 3.2 3   4 5 (powell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 2.50  
MISS SCHILLER 6 7 7 6   7 67 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 32% 2.10 5.60  
WHATSWRONGWITHYOU 3 1 5¾ 5   6 711 (thompson val)CHEYNE A 120 20.00 9% 10.70 18.45  
 
FE-8   07/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:113     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVAL OFFICER 2 2 1 14   11 11 (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 61% 0.70 6.85 W
BIG BROWN BREWSKII 1 8 78 710½   4 21 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 7% 14.00 5.05 P
DRAGON'S KEY 3 3 3 35   3 31 (ryan j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 3.15  
NO MORE 4 7 44 24   21 4 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 7% 13.90 1.10  
SANTIAGO SALSA 5 5 66 58   5 5 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00 5% 19.00 18.55  
IRIE ISLAND MAN 7 4 55 610   79 610½ (powell a)BYNOE DESEAN 115 10.00 55.80  
C BY THE SEA 8 1 2 45   67 712¾ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 7.50  
SALT MINE TEDDY 6 6 8 811   89 817¼ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 10.00 58.30  
SCR  SCENIC HOLIDAY               (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.