Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4)-(3/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/4)-(2/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-4   WIN (2/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1)-(2/3/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/4/1)-(3/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-5   WIN (3/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6)-(3/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6)-(7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3)-(7/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (6/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2)-(6/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/3/2)-(2/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-8   WIN (2/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6)-(2/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREST SELECTION Jun27 May30 May01 Feb14 Aug05 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 10.00    
2  QUICK RELOAD Jun26 Jun13 Dec11 Dec02 Nov13 (chudobiak gary)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  COO BIRD Jun27 Nov11 Oct27 Sep25 Sep16 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
4  GUNZIG STINGER Jun18 Jun06 May23 Aug08 Jul25 (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120 4.50 10% 9.50    
5  STRONG ATTITUDE Oct11 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
6  ROYAL BIZ Jun27 Nov25 Oct17 Sep27 Aug29 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 4.00    
 
FE-2   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOTTED LINE Jun27 Sep18 Aug14 Jul10 Jun19 (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 120 1.60 49% 1.00    
2  BRADY O'BRADY May30 Oct24 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.50    
3  LOQUACIOUS Jul03 Jun18 Oct24 Oct03 Aug23 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 122 6.00 14% 6.30    
4  BE THE CHANGE Jun13 Nov12 Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 15% 5.70    
5  BEYOND BORDERS Jun27 Jun12 May14 Nov25 Nov11 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00    
6  GLITTER MOUNTAIN Jun13 May30 Oct24 Oct17 Oct04 (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00    
 
FE-3   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHAKOO MAKOO Jun13 May23 Nov10 Oct17 Oct04 (alders)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
2  VINNIE VAN GO Jun18 Mar15 Feb17 Feb08 Jan22 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00    
3  VENOMOUS STATE Jun12 Feb24 Feb01 Nov25 Nov04 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 2.50 58% 0.70    
4  SUMMER RETREAT Jun18 Jun12 May30 Dec14 Nov22 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRONG ENDING Jun18 Feb19 Feb08 Dec22 Sep13 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.50    
6  BIG TIME LOUIE Jun13 May23 Nov26 Oct28 Sep27 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 6.00    
7  LETTING LOOSE May30 Oct24 Oct04 Sep13 Aug16 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   07/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF LIT Jun27 Jun18 Jun06 Oct17 Oct11 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  VETTORI KIN (BRZ) May23 Mar24 Mar04 Jan25 Dec29 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 120 2.50 66% 0.50    
3  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Jul03 Jun02 Oct11 Sep22 Sep11 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 7% 14.40    
4  A I INITIATIVE Jun27 Jun13 Mar22 Dec06 Nov27 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  UNILATERAL Jun02 May19 Apr30 Dec08 Nov04 (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.00    
6  WILLIAM BOY Jul03 Jun13 Oct03 Sep18 Jul25 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00    
7  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 May07 Apr23 (newland ge)ANDERSON JODEIEN 122 5.00    
 
FE-5   07/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERMIONE GRANGER Jun26         (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by MR. SCOTTY out of LADY VOLDEMORT by HONOUR AND GLORY)
2  LOKI'S LIGHTNING Jun26 May30 May23 May07 Apr29 (chudobiak gary)BYNOE DESEAN 113 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
3  EYE GOT IT GOOD Jun29 Jun17 May26     (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MR. SCOTTY out of ONE WAY EXPRESS by ONE WAY LOVE)
4  LEA'S SUNSHINE Jun26 Jun13       (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 15.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of LEA'S MOON by PERIGEE MOON)
5  PICK A PENNY May05 Dec08 Nov18     (fournier mark)STEIN JUSTIN 120 12.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of ASTRO RULER by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
6  SILENT WARNING         (lo)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of OLD COOKSVILLE by WEATHER WARNING)
7  HEADING WEST Jun13 May23 Mar18 Feb24 Jan22 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 118 2.00 17% 4.80    
  (by KLIMT out of NAPLES DREAM by UNCLE MO)
 
FE-6   07/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOZY KAT Jun27 Jun13 Oct10 Oct04 Sep12 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00    
2  ALLABOUTTHEDRAMA Dec04 Nov21 Nov08 Oct26 Oct10 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 8% 11.80    
3  READY TO RUMBLE Oct10 Sep06 Aug09 Jul17 Jun19 (thompson val)CHEYNE A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOUEMMA Jun27 Jun12 Sep05 Aug16 Jul25 (blake )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00    
SCR  TICKLE HER TOE Jun27 Jun18 Jun06 May19 Apr30 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 2.50    
6  SEA ANNA DREAM Jun26 Jun12 Oct24 Oct06 Sep05 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
7  LETS RUN TWO Jul04 Jun27 Jun06 May12 Apr29 (adamo anth)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 2.00 66% 0.50    
 
FE-7   07/10/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNEAKY REBEL Jun06 May12 Apr22 Nov24 Oct22 (powell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50    
2  DEVIL IN HER HEART Jun27 Jun06 Nov24 Oct17 Oct03 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WHATSWRONGWITHYOU Oct11 Sep19       (thompson val)CHEYNE A 120 20.00 9% 10.70    
4  BRIENNE OF TARTH Jun13 May30 Mar01 Feb08 Jan01 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 5.00    
5  FEEL LIKE GUESSING Jun18 May23 Mar29 Feb25 Feb04 (davis rich)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 8.00 28% 2.60    
6  MISS SCHILLER Jun13 May30 May13 Dec01 Nov18 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
7  BLACK TAFFY Jun22 May30 Jul25 Jul05 Jun07 (crete pierre)SALLES LEO 120 2.00    
 
FE-8   07/10/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Jun26 Jun06 Nov04 Oct23 Oct03 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 7% 14.00    
2  NAVAL OFFICER Jun27 Jun06 May14 Feb26 Feb09 (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 61% 0.70    
SCR  SCENIC HOLIDAY Jun12 Jun01 May06 Nov27 Nov11 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00    
4  DRAGON'S KEY Jun16 Jun01 May05 Oct21 Sep16 (ryan j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
5  NO MORE Jun26 Jun12 May23 May14 May01 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 7% 13.90    
6  SANTIAGO SALSA Jun26 Jun06 May23 Nov04 Oct24 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  SALT MINE TEDDY Jun26 Dec06 Nov02 Oct11 Oct03 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 10.00    
8  IRIE ISLAND MAN Jun26 Apr12 Apr05 Mar19 Mar05 (powell a)BYNOE DESEAN 115 10.00    
9  C BY THE SEA Jun26 Jun06 Oct24 Oct03 Sep20 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.