Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $47.50 $41.50 692%
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-5 $42.60 $36.60 610%
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-1 $96.35 $87.35 971%
FE-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $50.65 $44.65 744%
    DD (5/6/3/4)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-2 $17.50 $5.50 46%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MONEY MATTERS 3 2 11 11   11½ 12 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 2.00 18% 4.70 0.80 W
1  PAPERBACK HERO 1 5 59 510   53 22 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 6.10  
2  LIL GREEN MACHINE 2 3 43 44   32½ 33¾ (davies ron)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.50 3.30  
4  ACE DESTROYER 4 1 21 21   21½ 46 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 5.00 11% 8.40 6.10  
5  ARTIE MY BOY 5 4 32 32½   42½ 58 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 46% 1.20 6.05  
 
FE-2   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITAL SIGNS 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 1hd (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 39% 1.60 1.90 W
  (by MINESHAFT out of HELLO IRVING by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  I LIVE BY FAITH 5 4 4¼ 2nk   1nk 2hd (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 2.00 3.75  
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
4  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 4 3 54¼ 51¾   3.2 3nk (carter ang)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00 32% 2.20 8.35 S
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
6  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 6 6 610¼ 611¾   66¼ 42½ (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 10.00 5% 19.00 23.65  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RON'S LADY by ELHAYQ (IRE))
2  LETS SAY THIS 2 2 2nk 31   43¼ 55½ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 1.65  
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of BRISKLY by CITY ZIP)
3  BEYOND TALENTED 3 5 3.2 41½   54¾ 67¼ (humber jos)KING MARIE 118 5.00 6.55  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
 
FE-3   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THY KINGDOM 1 5 31 31 1½ 12½ 17¾ (shirley luth)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 10.00 5% 19.00 22.75 W
5  VICTORY MARCH 5 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 22½ 27¾ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 1.60 44% 1.30 0.15 P
4  QUIET REBEL 4 4 52½ 54½ 44 46 312 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 10.55  
3  FOUR BOUNCE 3 2 1½ 1½ 31½ 34½ 413 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 118 2.50 29% 2.50 5.05  
2  DYNAMIC MISSION 2 3 63½ 67½ 611½ 68½ 521½ (rabste)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 49.15  
6  SIR GRAYVENSCROFT 6 6 42 44 55 58½ 630¾ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 25.05  
 
FE-4   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:121 1:38   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 1 2 11½ 11 13 13 15¾ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 1.80  
5  REDOUTE'S LIGHT 4 5 56½ 55 36 34½ 25¾ (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 5% 19.00 2.15 P
2  BEN LOMOND 2 3 21½ 21 23 23 38 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 68% 0.50 4.10 S
3  WILLIAM BOY 3 1 43 34 412½ 411 432¼ (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 3.90  
7  AM PREPARED 5 4 32½ 44½ 518 521 552¼ (cathcart stev)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
SCR  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE               (newland ge)ANDERSON JODEIEN 122 4.00    
SCR  UNION COLONEL               (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 3.00    
 
FE-5   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:122 1:391   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRIVATE LAKE 5 5 54 53¾ 21 11 11¼ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.85 W
1  FOUR KNIGHTS 1 4 11½ 12½ 11 21 21¼ (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 5.05  
4  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 4 2 43 43½ 43½ 43 35¼ (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80 S
2  THELONIOUS 2 1 21½ 22½ 32½ 32½ 46 (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 1.60 2.65  
6  LOQUACIOUS 6 6 65½ 65¼ 66½ 54 57 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.50 26% 2.90 4.95  
3  CALMING INFLUENCE 3 3 32 33½ 55½ 65½ 613½ (jolin chris)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 10% 9.50 9.05  
7  DOODLE DANDY 7 7 78½ 77¼ 79 78 723 (hoad lindse)WENC C 115 20.00 25.80  
 
FE-6   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GETTING AHEAD 2 2 11 11   11 11¼ (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 43% 1.30 5.90 W
4  LOVE MY CHERYL 4 4 52¾ 42½   21 21¼ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.10 P
6  MAKES SENSE TO ME 6 1 42½ 32   31 32¾ (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 3.00 2.00  
3  UNABLE 3 3 21 21   41¼ 43¼ (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 3.50 26% 2.90 1.05  
1  HEAR ME KNOCKING 1 5 31 62¾   53¾ 59¼ (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 8.00 18.35  
5  SHES ASTYLISH KATZ 5 6 62¾ 52½   64¾ 620¼ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00 5.60  
 
FE-7   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WILBERFORCE 1 1 13 12½   12 1¾ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5.35  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
9  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 6 5 35 22½   22 2¾ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 62% 0.60 2.05 P
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
8  STREET MAX 5 6 46 45   43½ 37¼ (powell a)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 3.10  
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  BREACH OF TRUST 4 2 23 32½   33 48¾ (golden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 10% 8.60 1.80  
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of LOTUS LANE by FLOWER ALLEY)
4  AMEN TO THAT 2 3 57 510½   55½ 511¾ (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 20.00 5% 19.00 15.45  
  (by CHART TOPPER out of GENUINE FAITH by REGAL CLASSIC)
5  GREY DECEPTION 3 4 68½ 615½   614 625½ (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 118 12.00 14.40  
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of TRUE TO ME by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  BROADWAY RUCKUS               (ba)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BROADWAY GAL by BROADWAY BEAU)
SCR  DIAMOND HEIST               (cret)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 1.80    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of TALE OF HOUDINI by TALE OF EKATI)
SCR  PRINCE FOR A DAY               (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 120 5.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FAIR HUNTRESS by TIZNOW)
SCR  TIPA FROST               (maynard d)SEECHARAN A 120 10.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LADY SARAH by WHYWHYWHY)
SCR  UNBRIDLED INFERNO               (loescher pa)WENC C 120 10.00    
  (by PRINCEPS SENATUS out of STREET KID by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.