Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
FE-2   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
FE-3   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $47.50 $47.50 41.50
FE-4   Win (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.60  
FE-5   Win (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.70 $5.70  
FE-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 7.80
FE-7   Win (9/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $12.70  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY MATTERS 3 2 11 11   1 12 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 2.00 18% 4.70 0.80 W
PAPERBACK HERO 1 5 59 510   53 22 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00 6.10  
LIL GREEN MACHINE 2 3 43 44   3 3 (davies ronal)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.50 3.30  
ACE DESTROYER 4 1 21 21   2 46 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 5.00 11% 8.40 6.10  
ARTIE MY BOY 5 4 32 3   4 58 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 46% 1.20 6.05  
 
FE-2   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VITAL SIGNS 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 1hd (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 39% 1.60 1.90 W
I LIVE BY FAITH 5 4 4¼ 2nk   1nk 2hd (powell dale )ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 2.00 3.75  
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 4 3 5 5   3.2 3nk (carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00 32% 2.20 8.35 S
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 6 6 610¼ 611¾   6 4 (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 10.00 5% 19.00 23.65  
LETS SAY THIS 2 2 2nk 31   4 5 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 1.65  
BEYOND TALENTED 3 5 3.2 4   5 6 (humber josep)KING MARIE 118 5.00 6.55  
 
FE-3   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:123 1:384   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THY KINGDOM 1 5 31 31 1½ 1 1 (shirley luthia)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 10.00 5% 19.00 22.75 W
VICTORY MARCH 5 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 2 2 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 1.60 44% 1.30 0.15 P
QUIET REBEL 4 4 5 5 44 46 312 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 10.55  
FOUR BOUNCE 3 2 1½ 1½ 3 3 413 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 118 2.50 29% 2.50 5.05  
DYNAMIC MISSION 2 3 6 6 611½ 6 521½ (rabstein)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 49.15  
SIR GRAYVENSCROFT 6 6 42 44 55 5 630¾ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 25.05  
 
FE-4   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:121 1:38   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HADDASSAH'S DEVIL 1 2 1 11 13 13 1 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 1.80  
REDOUTE'S LIGHT 4 5 5 55 36 3 2 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 5% 19.00 2.15 P
BEN LOMOND 2 3 2 21 23 23 38 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 68% 0.50 4.10 S
WILLIAM BOY 3 1 43 34 412½ 411 432¼ (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 3.90  
AM PREPARED 5 4 3 4 518 521 552¼ (cathcart steven)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
SCR  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE               (newland geor)ANDERSON JODEIEN 122 4.00    
SCR  UNION COLONEL               (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 3.00    
 
FE-5   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:122 1:391   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE LAKE 5 5 54 5 21 11 1 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 40% 1.50 1.85 W
FOUR KNIGHTS 1 4 1 1 11 21 2 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 5.05  
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 4 2 43 4 4 43 3 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80 S
THELONIOUS 2 1 2 2 3 3 46 (humber josep)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 1.60 2.65  
LOQUACIOUS 6 6 6 6 6 54 57 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.50 26% 2.90 4.95  
CALMING INFLUENCE 3 3 32 3 5 6 613½ (jolin chris)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 10% 9.50 9.05  
DOODLE DANDY 7 7 7 7 79 78 723 (hoad lindsey)WENC C 115 20.00 25.80  
 
FE-6   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETTING AHEAD 2 2 11 11   11 1 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 43% 1.30 5.90 W
LOVE MY CHERYL 4 4 5 4   21 2 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 19.10 P
MAKES SENSE TO ME 6 1 4 32   31 3 (powell dale )ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 3.00 2.00  
UNABLE 3 3 21 21   4 4 (maynard desm)KING MARIE 120 3.50 26% 2.90 1.05  
HEAR ME KNOCKING 1 5 31 6   5 5 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 8.00 18.35  
SHES ASTYLISH KATZ 5 6 6 5   6 620¼ (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00 5.60  
 
FE-7   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILBERFORCE 1 1 13 1   12 1¾ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5.35  
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 6 5 35 2   22 2¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 62% 0.60 2.05 P
STREET MAX 5 6 46 45   4 3 (powell a)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 3.10  
BREACH OF TRUST 4 2 23 3   33 4 (goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 10% 8.60 1.80  
AMEN TO THAT 2 3 57 510½   5 511¾ (humber josep)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 20.00 5% 19.00 15.45  
GREY DECEPTION 3 4 6 615½   614 625½ (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 118 12.00 14.40  
SCR  BROADWAY RUCKUS               (bail)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00    
SCR  DIAMOND HEIST               (crete )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 1.80    
SCR  PRINCE FOR A DAY               (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 120 5.00    
SCR  TIPA FROST               (maynard des)SEECHARAN A 120 10.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED INFERNO               (loescher paul)WENC C 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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