Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/7)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/4)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(9/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (9/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/4)-(9/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/6/4)-(9/6/4)-(9/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAPERBACK HERO Jun18 May30 Oct17 Oct04 Sep20 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 3.00    
2  LIL GREEN MACHINE Jun18 Jun12 Jun06 May14 Apr30 (davies ron)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.50    
3  MONEY MATTERS Jun27 Jun13 May30 May07 Apr30 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 2.00 18% 4.70    
4  ACE DESTROYER Nov12 Oct24 Oct04 Sep13 Aug14 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 5.00 11% 8.40    
5  ARTIE MY BOY Jun12 May30 Apr04 Feb22 Feb01 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
FE-2   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITAL SIGNS Apr13 Mar25 Mar18     (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
  (by MINESHAFT out of HELLO IRVING by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  LETS SAY THIS Oct10 Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Jul26 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00    
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of BRISKLY by CITY ZIP)
3  BEYOND TALENTED Jun18 May20 Apr29 Dec11 Nov27 (humber jos)KING MARIE 118 5.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
4  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jun06 May23 May12 Apr20 Mar26 (carter ang)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 3.00 32% 2.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
5  I LIVE BY FAITH Jun18 Dec11 Oct28 Jun19   (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 2.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
6  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE Jun18 May26 May12 Dec01 Nov17 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RON'S LADY by ELHAYQ (IRE))
 
FE-3   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THY KINGDOM Jun06 May23 Oct24 Oct03 Sep20 (shirley luth)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DYNAMIC MISSION Jun12 Oct28 Oct03 Sep23 Aug23 (rabste)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00    
3  FOUR BOUNCE Jun12 May23 Oct24 Oct15 Sep25 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 118 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  QUIET REBEL Jun16 Dec08 Nov04 Oct30 Sep23 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
5  VICTORY MARCH Jun16 May26 Apr21 Mar10 Feb11 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  SIR GRAYVENSCROFT Jun12 May14 Apr30 Nov27 Nov04 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
 
FE-4   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL May30 Jan07 Dec21 Oct27 Oct09 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50    
2  BEN LOMOND Jun13 May23 May07 Dec10 Nov18 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 68% 0.50    
3  WILLIAM BOY Jun13 Oct03 Sep18 Jul25 May21 (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
SCR  UNION COLONEL Jun06 May30 Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 3.00    
5  REDOUTE'S LIGHT Jun02 Oct11 Sep22 Sep11 Sep01 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 May07 Apr23 (newland ge)ANDERSON JODEIEN 122 4.00    
7  AM PREPARED May23 Nov03 Oct02 Sep05 Aug09 (cathcart stev)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-5   07/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOUR KNIGHTS Jun18 May23 Nov04 Sep27 Sep05 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00    
2  THELONIOUS Jun18 Jun02 May20 Dec09 Nov25 (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 1.60    
3  CALMING INFLUENCE Jun18 Oct11 Oct03 Aug29 Aug14 (jolin chris)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 10% 9.50    
4  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Jun18 Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 Sep22 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  PRIVATE LAKE Jun18 Feb18 Feb01 Jan15 Dec30 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  LOQUACIOUS Jun18 Oct24 Oct03 Aug23 Aug01 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.50 26% 2.90    
7  DOODLE DANDY Jun06 May30 Oct24 Oct03 Sep19 (hoad lindse)WENC C 115 20.00    
 
FE-6   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAR ME KNOCKING Jun18 May27 Sep16 Aug13   (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 8.00    
2  GETTING AHEAD Jun13 May25 Nov17 Oct29   (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
3  UNABLE Jun18 Jun01 May12 Apr22 Sep24 (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
4  LOVE MY CHERYL Jun18 Jun06 Jan02 Nov27 Nov01 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SHES ASTYLISH KATZ May30 Aug14 Jun27 Jun13 May31 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 4.00    
6  MAKES SENSE TO ME Jun18 Jun06 May25 May05 Apr29 (powell dal)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 3.00    
 
FE-7   07/03/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIAMOND HEIST Jun18         (cret)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 1.80    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of TALE OF HOUDINI by TALE OF EKATI)
2  WILBERFORCE Jun18         (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
SCR  TIPA FROST Jun06         (maynard d)SEECHARAN A 120 10.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LADY SARAH by WHYWHYWHY)
4  AMEN TO THAT May23         (humber jos)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CHART TOPPER out of GENUINE FAITH by REGAL CLASSIC)
5  GREY DECEPTION Jun06 May23       (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 118 12.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of TRUE TO ME by YES IT'S TRUE)
6  BREACH OF TRUST May30 Dec09 Nov25 Oct28 Aug19 (golden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 10% 8.60    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of LOTUS LANE by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  BROADWAY RUCKUS May30 Mar18 Mar10 Feb26 Feb12 (ba)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BROADWAY GAL by BROADWAY BEAU)
8  STREET MAX Jun18 May20 May06 Apr29 Nov05 (powell a)MAILHOT P 120 3.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
9  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT Jun18 May23       (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 3.00 62% 0.60    
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
SCR  PRINCE FOR A DAY Jun18 Jun13 May23 Nov20 Oct30 (mustoe cindy)MUNOZ LARRY 120 5.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FAIR HUNTRESS by TIZNOW)
SCR  UNBRIDLED INFERNO Jun16 Nov25 Oct21 Sep30   (loescher pa)WENC C 120 10.00    
  (by PRINCEPS SENATUS out of STREET KID by LEMON DROP KID)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.