Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.00 $3.00 50%
FE-2   DD (6/3/2)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-2 $12.05 $3.05 34%
FE-4   WIN (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $15.50 $7.50 94%
    EXA (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $27.60 $15.60 130%
    TRI (1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5)-(1/3/8/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80  1-5-3 $25.32 $20.52 428%
    DD (2/1/3)-(1/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $14.95 $2.95 25%
FE-5   DD (1/3/8/5)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-2 $13.60 $1.60 13%
FE-6   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $13.90 $5.90 74%
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $16.25 $4.25 35%
FE-7   WIN (8/2/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $11.80 $1.80 18%
    EXA (8/2/7/5/1)-(8/2/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-7 $24.85 $4.85 24%
    DD (3/1/5/6)-(8/2/7/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-2 $40.50 $20.50 103%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23 :464       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PASSION TO PLEASE 2 3 11 11½   12 15½ (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 118 2.00 17% 4.90 3.50 W
4  BIG BANG BLUE 4 5 54½ 53¼   43 25½ (simms c)RAMSAMMY E 118 8.00 1.35  
6  VERI UNIFIED 6 2 42 21½   22 38 (ryan j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 34% 2.00 5.70 S
3  JUNGLE TIGRESS 3 6 67 65¼   54 48¾ (ceccato sh)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 3.00 23% 3.30 3.10  
1  FOREST CHOICE 1 1 21 31½   32½ 511 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 8.65  
5  VERMONT HOLIDAY 5 4 32 43   65½ 614 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00 13.75  
 
FE-2   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALACRITOUS 2 1 2nk 1nk   11 11 (buttigieg kevi)BYNOE DESEAN 117 1.80 31% 2.20 1.15 W
1  TAKE A CHANCE 1 2 1nk 2nk   21 21 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 4.00 2.35  
5  STORMING LADY 5 5 31½ 31   31 31¾ (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 117 3.50 2.75  
3  CORE 3 4 52½ 54   54 42¾ (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 22% 3.50 10.00  
4  VENOMOUS STATE 4 3 42 42½   43 53 (mileni)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 15% 5.50 10.65  
 
FE-3   07/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FEELING 2 3 21 21 1½ 21 1hd (robillard jo)CHEYNE A 118 2.00 37% 1.70 1.75 W
5  TIMMINS 5 1 32 32½ 2½ 11 2hd (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.50 4.80  
6  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 6 4 53½ 53½ 32½ 32 34¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 1.70  
3  IRIE ISLAND MAN 3 2 11 11 43½ 44½ 410¾ (powell a)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 15% 5.50 38.05  
4  QUIET REBEL 4 6 64 43½ 57½ 57½ 515 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00 5.60  
1  FOUR BOUNCE 1 5 43 66½ 611 610 629½ (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00 17% 5.00 6.75  
 
FE-4   07/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:223 :473       1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERY DEBONAIRE 1 2 1½ 1½   1½ 1¼ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 2.50 35% 1.90 6.75 W
5  PRINCE FOR A DAY 5 6 32 42   3½ 2¼ (must)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 12% 7.50 2.70 P
3  RELOAD BULLET 3 1 2½ 2½   2½ 31 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 17% 5.00 4.65 S
2  MISS D'S PRIDE 2 5 52¼ 53½   52½ 41½ (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00 13.85  
7  FIRST ROUND 7 7 77¾ 67   64 51¾ (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00 20.30  
8  RED ZEPPELIN 8 4 42 31½   41½ 64¾ (ensom )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 6.00 14% 6.20 1.95  
4  BEYOND TALENTED 4 3 67¼ 78   75½ 75¼ (humber jos)KING MARIE 118 4.00 13.90  
6  CHICAGO FREDDY 6 8 810¾ 810   86½ 88¾ (goldenberg james)RAMSAMMY E 118 10.00 7.70  
SCR  INFINITELY KATZ               (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 8.00    
 
FE-5   07/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CANT BEAT THE KATZ 2 1 11½ 11   11 11¾ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.80 75% 0.30 0.35 W
4  ZAFEATHER 4 5 32 21   21 21¾ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50 5.10  
1  MY GIRL GABBY 1 6 21½ 33   32 32¾ (warner)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.00 6.10  
6  NICOLE'S SONG 6 3 66½ 68   67½ 410½ (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 5% 19.00 7.75  
5  AWILDAS TREASURE 5 2 53½ 44½   45½ 510¾ (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
3  CALL ME BROOKE 3 4 42½ 56   57 612½ (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 120 12.00 31.50  
 
FE-6   07/18/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:144     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WILBERFORCE 3 2 12½ 11   11 11 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 36% 1.80 5.95 W
1  WORKIN OUT 1 1 33 32   21 21 (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00 23% 3.30 0.35 P
7  SENSIBLE PORTIONS 7 3 22½ 21   32 34¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 23.40  
6  SYNCHROMESH 6 7 711 63½   42½ 44½ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120 6.00 9% 9.80 19.10  
2  DYNAMIC MISSION 2 4 55 53   65 56¾ (rabstein clau)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00 58.55  
5  ACTION POINT 5 6 68½ 73¾   54 68¼ (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.00 11% 8.10 5.35  
4  ARTIE'S ALL IN 4 5 44 43   75½ 712¾ (crete pierre)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 13.10  
 
FE-7   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:222 :462 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SNELL FLICKA 2 1 1nk 11   11½ 11 (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 3.50 19% 4.30 4.90 W
7  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 7 3 42¾ 32   21½ 21 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 11% 8.20 4.65 P
9  SUBZERO PLUS 9 5 86 65   73¾ 32¼ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 12.00 17.30  
1  REIGN BY REIN 1 8 65¾ 75½   63¾ 43¾ (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 6% 16.70 4.15  
6  MS. P'S BELLA 6 4 32½ 42½   32½ 53¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 56.55  
5  WEST PAW 5 6 98 99½   84¼ 65½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 10.00 11% 8.40 15.35  
3  J M R BOLD VISION 3 2 75¾ 86½   94½ 76¼ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 10.00 50.50  
8  FUN COOL 8 9 54¼ 54   53½ 87¼ (agostino geor)MAILHOT P 122 3.00 31% 2.30 2.10  
4  JUNGLE GODDESS 4 7 2nk 21   43½ 911¾ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 4.50 4.10  
 
FE-8   07/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:222 :471       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  UNION COLONEL 8 3 1nk 11½   12 11¾ (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 18% 4.50 1.35 W
3  EXCEED 3 6 77½ 75¾   63¾ 21¾ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 5.60  
5  BOUND LUCKY 5 5 55½ 54½   52¾ 32¾ (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 12.40  
6  ACE DESTROYER 6 2 44 32½   32 43½ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 19% 4.20 4.45  
1  WONNEFRAC 1 4 33½ 42½   22 53½ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 4.80  
2  BEN LOMOND 2 8 89 86¾   74¾ 64¾ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 122 3.00 39% 1.60 7.05  
4  RED MAPLE 4 1 2nk 21½   42½ 77¾ (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90  
7  TORPEDO MAX 7 7 66½ 65½   85¼ 88½ (keen howard)JOHNSON DEVON 120 10.00 47.60  
SCR  SWATH               (ensom )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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