Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-5   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-7   Win (8/2/7/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FE-8   Win (2/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   07/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREST CHOICE Jul04 Jun27 Jun10 May12 Apr22 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00    
PASSION TO PLEASE Jun27 Jun10 Nov17 Nov05   (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 118 2.00 17% 4.90    
JUNGLE TIGRESS Jul06 Jun16 May26 Sep17 Aug20 (ceccato shar)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 113 3.00 23% 3.30    
BIG BANG BLUE Jul04 Jun22 May26 Jun12   (simms c)RAMSAMMY E 118 8.00    
VERMONT HOLIDAY Jul11 Jul04 May30 May14 Apr30 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 8.00    
VERI UNIFIED Jun26 Jun18 Oct22 Sep02 Aug20 (ryan jea)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 34% 2.00    
 
FE-2   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE A CHANCE Jun16 May14 Nov13 Sep11 Jul22 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 4.00    
ALACRITOUS Jun18 May30 Apr23 Mar23 Feb20 (buttigieg kevin)BYNOE DESEAN 117 1.80 31% 2.20    
CORE Jul11 Jun27 Jun18 May23 Oct24 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
VENOMOUS STATE Jul10 Jun12 Feb24 Feb01 Nov25 (mileni n)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
STORMING LADY Jun18 Apr23 Mar30 Feb18 Jan29 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 117 3.50    
 
FE-3   07/18/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR BOUNCE Jul03 Jun12 May23 Oct24 Oct15 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00 17% 5.00    
FEELING Jul11 Jun03 Apr22 Feb17 Jan07 (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
IRIE ISLAND MAN Jul10 Jun26 Apr12 Apr05 Mar19 (powell a)MAILHOT P 120 12.00 15% 5.50    
QUIET REBEL Jul03 Jun16 Dec08 Nov04 Oct30 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.00    
TIMMINS Jun26 May30 Mar12 Feb22 Jan29 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.50    
BIG BROWN BREWSKII Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 Nov04 Oct23 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
 
FE-4   07/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VERY DEBONAIRE Jun18 Jun06       (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
MISS D'S PRIDE Jun13 Oct04 Sep19 Sep05 Aug16 (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 15.00    
RELOAD BULLET Jun18 May23       (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
BEYOND TALENTED Jul03 Jun18 May20 Apr29 Dec11 (humber josep)KING MARIE 118 4.00    
PRINCE FOR A DAY Jun18 Jun13 May23 Nov20 Oct30 (mustoe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
CHICAGO FREDDY Jun18 May26 May13     (goldenberg m)RAMSAMMY E 118 10.00    
FIRST ROUND Jun18 May30 May07 Dec11   (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 8.00    
RED ZEPPELIN Jun03 Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 Sep30 (ensom ji)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 6.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  INFINITELY KATZ Jun18 May28 Dec11 Nov19 Oct17 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 8.00    
 
FE-5   07/18/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY GIRL GABBY Jun27 Jun16 May25 May07 Oct22 (warner r)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 4.00    
CANT BEAT THE KATZ Jun18 Jun06 Apr12 Mar10 Feb18 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.80 75% 0.30    
CALL ME BROOKE Jun29 Jun01 May19 Nov26 Nov10 (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 120 12.00    
ZAFEATHER Oct27 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Jun18 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 2.50    
AWILDAS TREASURE Jul11 Jun12 Jun06 Apr30 Dec01 (powell a)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
NICOLE'S SONG Jun18 May25 Nov19 Oct30 Oct07 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   07/18/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORKIN OUT Jun27 May30 May06 Oct17 Sep02 (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00 23% 3.30    
DYNAMIC MISSION Jul03 Jun12 Oct28 Oct03 Sep23 (rabstein claudi)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00    
WILBERFORCE Jul03 Jun18       (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
ARTIE'S ALL IN Jul11 Apr23 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 (crete pierre)MAILHOT P 120 12.00    
ACTION POINT Jul11 Jun27 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
SYNCHROMESH Oct03 Sep27 Aug29 Aug14 Jul25 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
SENSIBLE PORTIONS Oct24 Sep19 Aug08 Jul25 Jun28 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00    
 
FE-7   07/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN BY REIN Jun27 Jun18 May30 Dec10 Dec01 (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 6% 16.70    
SNELL FLICKA Jul04 Jun13 May23 Jul17 Jul05 (blak)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
J M R BOLD VISION Jul04 May25 May13 Dec01 Nov03 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 10.00    
JUNGLE GODDESS Jun27 Jun12 May23 May01 Dec13 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 4.50    
WEST PAW Jul04 Jun18 Jun10 Jun01 May13 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 10.00 11% 8.40    
MS. P'S BELLA Jul04 Jun27 Jun13 May23 Apr30 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
REMEMBEROLDTYMES Jul04 Jun12 May30 Oct10 Sep27 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
FUN COOL Jun27 Jun12 May23 Oct24 Oct17 (agostino george)MAILHOT P 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
SUBZERO PLUS Jul11 Jun26 Jun18 Jun06 May25 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 12.00    
 
FE-8   07/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WONNEFRAC Jun06 May23 May07 Oct17 Oct04 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 6.00    
BEN LOMOND Jul03 Jun13 May23 May07 Dec10 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
EXCEED Jun27 Jun09 May19 Apr23 Dec08 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00    
RED MAPLE Jun13 May30 Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BOUND LUCKY Jul11 Jun17 Dec02 Nov10 Oct27 (newland )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00    
ACE DESTROYER Jul03 Nov12 Oct24 Oct04 Sep13 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
TORPEDO MAX Jun27 Jun12 May30 Sep13 Aug30 (keen howard)JOHNSON DEVON 120 10.00    
UNION COLONEL Jun06 May30 Oct24 Oct11 Sep27 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  SWATH Jul07 Jun16 May26 Dec04 Nov19 (ensom ji)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.