Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $15.50 $15.50 9.50
FE-2   Win (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
FE-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $14.70 $14.70 8.70
FE-4   Win (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  
FE-5   Win (7/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.50 $7.50  
FE-6   Win (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
FE-7   Win (7/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
FE-8   Win (3/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $19.80  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:144 1:424   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL CITY REIGN 5 4 3 2 21 11 1nk (mcmahon )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 8% 11.40 6.75 W
MY GIRL HOOTER 3 2 45 36 32 21 2nk (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 120 1.40 54% 0.80 1.45 P
AWILDAS TREASURE 2 1 1 1 11 31 3 (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 2.00 11% 7.90 1.30 S
DOODLE DANDY 4 5 58 47 42 4 4 (hoad lindsey)WENC C 118 12.00 6.35  
ORIGINAL ME 1 3 2 5 514 516½ 531½ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.00 8.00  
 
FE-2   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:143 1:42   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING 3 2 45 3 3 1nk 1 (maver mario)CHEYNE A 118 2.00 22% 3.60 0.75 W
BROADWAY RUCKUS 4 1 23 23 2 2nk 2 (bailey)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 15.70  
BEST AND FINAL 6 4 13 13 1 31 38 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 118 4.00 5.55  
UNBRIDLED INFERNO 1 5 6 610½ 5 55 411 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00 4.80  
MUNGER 7 7 5 4 4 44 512 (maver mario)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 24% 3.20 3.75  
CATRIN 2 6 79 5 610½ 6 633¾ (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 6.00 14% 6.30 32.20  
EL GUERO 5 3 34 715½ 732½ 7100 7100 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 116 10.00 19% 4.40 54.10  
 
FE-3   07/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :46       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORE 4 2 22 21   2½ 1 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 17% 4.90 6.35 W
WOOD BE WILD 2 1 12 11   1½ 2 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 22% 3.50 0.45 P
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 5 4 45 4   43 33 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 6.10  
MOBILIZER 6 5 33 31   3 43 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 21.90  
BOUND LUCKY 1 3 55 5   54 5 (mcdonald)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00    
ONE MORE RING 3 6 6 69   67 6 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 29% 2.50 3.65  
 
FE-4   07/11/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:143     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL RIDE 3 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 19% 4.30 2.10 W
CARISMATICA 2 5 43 3   3 2½ (maver mario)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.05 P
FRERET 6 3 3 42   2½ 3 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 44% 1.20 2.55 S
SAVVY'S SISTER 5 4 5 53   4 4 (loescher paula)STEIN JUSTIN 120 12.00 4.45  
BORN TO BE GOOD 1 6 77 6   53 5 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 5.00 8.00  
SAN NICOLA STAR 7 7 66 74   76 6 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 16.90  
IS THERE A FOREST 4 2 2nk 2nk   6 7 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 15% 5.50 5.35  
 
FE-5   07/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:112     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRESH DREAMS 6 1 2nk 1   1 1 (keen how)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 28% 2.50 2.75 W
THINK IT THRU 5 4 6 6   4 2 (maver mario)MORENO OMAR 122 4.50 17% 5.00 6.85 P
MORE SAVVY 1 7 3 2   2 33 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 0.80  
HONEY GIRL 3 5 42 3   34 4 (maynard desmon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 3.00 15% 5.50 4.95  
SUBZERO PLUS 4 2 5 57   56 57 (powell d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 25.90  
ORBITING THE SKY 7 3 78 711   6 610 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 10.00 11% 8.20 37.10  
EASY ACCESS 2 6 1nk 4   7 728¼ (newl)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00 22.95  
SCR  ZAFEATHER               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50    
 
FE-6   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING THOUGHTS 1 2 22 22   1½ 1 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 120 2.50 15% 5.50 0.85 W
ROLLING HILLS 4 5 12 12   2½ 2 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00 14.85  
ACTION POINT 7 7 87 5   33 3 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.00 8% 11.40 4.75 S
ARTIE'S ALL IN 6 6 6 66   44 4 (crete pierre)MAILHOT P 120 15.00 16.40  
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 3 3 76 7   54 5 (carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00 27.05  
M C JACKHAMMER 5 4 43 34   6 610¾ (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 6.00 10% 8.80 8.00  
GUS'S GAMBLE 8 1 3 8   8 715¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 32.45  
JAMAICAN JIMMY 2 8 55 45   7 816½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 44% 1.30 3.95  
 
FE-7   07/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:244 :494       1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT BUT VIOLENT 3 5 31 31 11 1 1¾ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 118 12.00 8% 12.30 1.60 W
SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 5 2 42 42 32 2 2¾ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 9% 10.80 2.45 P
LUNATICA 2 4 6 63 5 44 3 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 120 4.50 5.50  
HEAR ME KNOCKING 6 7 2½ 21 43 5 4 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 2.00 56% 0.80 5.30  
SHE AINT NO JOKE 4 1 1½ 11 21 34 510¾ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 8.50  
FLEEKA 1 3 5 5 65 67 621½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00 12.45  
DAZZLING DIVA 7 6 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 (albu k)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 5% 19.00 24.10  
SCR  THE GREEN PLANET               (concessi arman)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00    
 
FE-8   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:001     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD MAP 4 6 4 4   3.2 12 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 8.90  
FORMENTOR 2 3 3 33   4¼ 22 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 41% 1.50 2.40 P
VERMONT HOLIDAY 7 2 1nk 1nk   1nk 34 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00 7.80 S
ONLY BELIEVE 1 4 7 7   7 4 (corbett s)DAVID MICHAEL 120 5.00 10.85  
FINAL EPISODE 3 5 6 55   5 5 (maver mario)CHEYNE A 118 10.00 14% 6.30 3.00  
LOADED SECRET 6 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 6 (chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 2.75  
HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO 5 7 5 66   6 7 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 21% 3.70 8.65  
SCR  PRINCESS TERESKA               (maver mario)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.