Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - July 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (7/3/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-3   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-5   Win (7/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-6   Win (2/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-7   Win (7/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-8   Win (3/6/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORIGINAL ME Jun26 Jun13 Dec08 Nov24 Nov04 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.00    
AWILDAS TREASURE Jun12 Jun06 Apr30 Dec01 Nov17 (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 2.00 11% 7.90    
MY GIRL HOOTER Jun26 May27 May12 Apr29 Dec08 (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 120 1.40 54% 0.80    
DOODLE DANDY Jul03 Jun06 May30 Oct24 Oct03 (hoad lindsey)WENC C 118 12.00    
ROYAL CITY REIGN Jun27 Jun12 Dec08 Nov24 Nov10 (mcmahon )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 8% 11.40    
 
FE-2   07/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED INFERNO Jun16 Nov25 Oct21 Sep30   (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 8.00    
CATRIN Jun18 Sep20 Sep06 Aug21   (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 6.00 14% 6.30    
FEELING Jun03 Apr22 Feb17 Jan07 Nov27 (maver mario)CHEYNE A 118 2.00 22% 3.60    
BROADWAY RUCKUS May30 Mar18 Mar10 Feb26 Feb12 (bailey)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
EL GUERO Jun13 May23       (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 116 10.00 19% 4.40    
BEST AND FINAL Jun13 May23 Aug14 Aug02 Jul11 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 118 4.00    
MUNGER Mar10 Sep28 Sep05 May01 Mar12 (maver mario)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
FE-3   07/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOUND LUCKY Jun17 Dec02 Nov10 Oct27 Oct01 (mcdonald)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 6.00    
WOOD BE WILD Jun18 Jun06 May14 Dec03 Nov04 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
ONE MORE RING Jun12 May23 May07 Mar22 Feb22 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 1.80 29% 2.50    
CORE Jun27 Jun18 May23 Oct24 Oct11 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 17% 4.90    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ May23 May09 May01 Apr07 Mar26 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00    
MOBILIZER Jun18 May30 Sep13 Aug01 Jul12 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00    
 
FE-4   07/11/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN TO BE GOOD Jun27 Jun12 May30 Dec08 Nov24 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 5.00    
CARISMATICA Feb12 Sep27 Sep04 Aug09 Jul18 (maver mario)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
MUSICAL RIDE Jun18 Jan18 Jan03 Oct11 Sep15 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
IS THERE A FOREST Jun26 Jun12 May30 Nov10 Oct13 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
SAVVY'S SISTER Jun13 Jun06 May23 Nov04 Oct01 (loescher paula)STEIN JUSTIN 120 12.00    
FRERET Jun16 May23 Nov03 Oct06 Sep13 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 2.50 44% 1.20    
SAN NICOLA STAR Jun18 Feb23 Feb10 Jan14 Dec01 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
 
FE-5   07/11/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE SAVVY Jun27 Jun13 May23 May14 Apr22 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 6.00    
EASY ACCESS Jun27 Jun06 May23 Sep19 Sep06 (newl)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00    
HONEY GIRL Jun27 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 Aug23 (maynard desmon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 3.00 15% 5.50    
SUBZERO PLUS Jun26 Jun18 Jun06 May25 Apr22 (powell a)BYNOE DESEAN 117 8.00    
THINK IT THRU Apr07 Oct02       (maver mario)MORENO OMAR 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  ZAFEATHER Oct27 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Jun18 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50    
FRESH DREAMS Jun26 Jun12 May23 Dec10 Dec01 (keen how)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 28% 2.50    
ORBITING THE SKY Jun27 Mar07 Feb14 Feb07 Jan03 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 10.00 11% 8.20    
 
FE-6   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORNING THOUGHTS Jun27 Jun16 May14 Dec09 Nov18 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 120 2.50 15% 5.50    
JAMAICAN JIMMY Jun06 Sep20 Aug30 Jul25 Jun28 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jul03 Jun06 May23 May12 Apr20 (carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 10.00    
ROLLING HILLS Jun23 Jun11 Dec09 Nov10   (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 8.00    
M C JACKHAMMER Jun27 Jun12 Jun06 Oct17 Oct10 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 6.00 10% 8.80    
ARTIE'S ALL IN Apr23 Oct03 Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 (crete pierre)MAILHOT P 120 15.00    
ACTION POINT Jun27 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 Aug26 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 120 4.00 8% 11.40    
GUS'S GAMBLE Jun18 May23 Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
 
FE-7   07/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLEEKA Jun26 Jun13 Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 10.00    
LUNATICA Jun26 May30 Dec08 Nov24 Nov12 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 120 4.50    
SILENT BUT VIOLENT Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug09 Jul26 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 118 12.00 8% 12.30    
SHE AINT NO JOKE Jun26 Jun13 Apr30 Nov15 Nov01 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
SCR  THE GREEN PLANET Jun26 Oct03 Sep12 Sep06 Aug14 (concessi arman)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00    
SEEDS OF GRANDEUR Jun26 Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 Jul19 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 9% 10.80    
HEAR ME KNOCKING Jul03 Jun18 May27 Sep16 Aug13 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 118 2.00 56% 0.80    
DAZZLING DIVA Jun26 Oct17 Sep19 Sep01 Aug14 (albu k)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-8   07/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PRINCESS TERESKA Mar29 Mar23 Jan09     (maver mario)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50    
ONLY BELIEVE Jun26 Jun13 May30 Nov03 Oct17 (corbett s)DAVID MICHAEL 120 5.00    
FORMENTOR Jun26 Sep27 Sep13 Aug19 Aug11 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 41% 1.50    
FINAL EPISODE Apr28 Apr06 Mar19 Mar01 Feb10 (maver mario)CHEYNE A 118 10.00 14% 6.30    
ROAD MAP May30 Nov10 Oct17 Sep18 Sep05 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00    
HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO Jun13 May15 Apr09 Mar18 Mar01 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
LOADED SECRET Nov24 Nov10 Oct13 Sep19 Sep05 (chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00    
VERMONT HOLIDAY Jul04 May30 May14 Apr30 Jan02 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.