Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.10 $1.10 28%
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00  5-4 $7.25 $5.25 263%
FE-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $11.60 $7.60 190%
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-4 $9.45 $7.45 373%
    DD (4/5)-(4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-2 $13.70 $9.70 243%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYITO 4 2 2nk 11   11 1 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 26% 2.80 1.55 W
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 3 1 1nk 21   21 2 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 48% 1.10 2.50 P
DR CHAPPELL 2 4 4 45   44 3 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 5.90  
SENSING HOLIDAY 1 3 3 3   3 4 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 1.55  
SCR  THY KINGDOM               (shirley lu)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
 
FE-2   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:222 :45       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUES POWER 2 1 1 12   1 1 (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 31% 2.20 4.80 W
RAGING BEAR 4 4 3 22   2 2 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 1.60 44% 1.30 0.35 P
M C JACKHAMMER 1 3 4 4   43 3 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 14.65  
VOYANT 3 2 2 32   32 4 (alderson)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 29.10  
HARDWARE GAP 5 5 54 56   55 59 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 2.50 3.80  
 
FE-3   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINNIE VAN GO 1 1 1 1   13 1 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 4.35  
PAPERBACK HERO 5 5 5 44   23 2 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 26% 2.90 6.10 P
CORE 2 3 2 2   34 3 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.50 5.95  
TAKE A CHANCE 4 2 32 33   47 419¼ (mileni nic)KING MARIE 124 2.00 27% 2.70 0.50  
MOBILIZER 3 4 43 57   5 525½ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 13.40  
SCR  FAFA FOOEY               (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00    
 
FE-4   09/04/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:132     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAIT N SWITCH 2 8 6 7   41 1½ (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 2.35  
  (by SKY MESA out of BEAR'S GEM by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 3 6 8 8   7 2½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 64% 0.60 2.25 P
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
RELOAD BULLET 4 1 21 21   1nk 3½ (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 14.40  
  (by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)
ASHWICKEN 8 3 3 4   2nk 4 (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 119 6.00 6.45  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
DIAMOND HEIST 1 2 11 11   3½ 5 (crete pier)KING MARIE 120 8.00 3.05  
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of TALE OF HOUDINI by TALE OF EKATI)
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 6 4 5 5   5 63 (carter ang)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 13% 6.80 9.15  
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
STREET MAX 5 5 4 31   6 7 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 15.00 5% 19.00 26.35  
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GOGO GABRIEL 7 7 7 6   8 85 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 43.15  
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of MONCLOVA by NIIGON)
 
FE-5   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:221 :444       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKOO MAKOO 5 3 13 17   15 1 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 17% 4.90 1.15 W
BIG TIME LOUIE 2 5 55 5   35 2 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 9% 10.60 3.25 P
RED MAPLE 1 1 23 37   25 3 (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 35.25  
STORMY SOUL 7 7 6 610¼   6 48 (robillar)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 47% 1.10 11.90  
VENOMOUS STATE 6 4 4 48   4 510 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 3.00 1.75  
SOFIA'S SLUGGER 4 6 7 711¼   7 611 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 28.85  
WONNEFRAC 3 2 33 27   5 713½ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120 12.00 82.55  
 
FE-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN GABLES 4 1 1 1   1 12 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 4.00 7.25  
ZAFEATHER 1 3 3 2   2 22 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 55% 0.80 3.45 P
BIG BANG BLUE 5 2 2 34   33 3 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50 0.80  
NICOLE'S SONG 3 4 4 411   49 410 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 7.25  
SPRING HIGH 2 5 514½ 516½   510½ 512¼ (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 122 2.00 23% 3.40 4.05  
 
FE-7   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horsepeople's Luminary Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:114     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEBATOWN 3 6 7 7   3 1hd (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 2.50 1.45  
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of SEEKING SHEBA by SEEKING THE GOLD)
GIMBALA 1 4 1nk 1nk   21 2hd (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 45% 1.20 3.55 P
  (by SPANIARD out of HIPPICRITICAL by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
CANT BEAT THE KATZ 4 2 2nk 2nk   11 3½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 21% 3.80 2.20 S
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of BET U I WIN by LORDHYEXECUTIONER)
GETTING AHEAD 7 1 31 3   4 4 (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 10.00  
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of ANOTHER CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
LOVE MY CHERYL 5 3 5 5   6 5 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 17.65  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of LOVE MY LIFE by LATENT HEAT)
SNEAKY REBEL 2 7 43 4   54 610¼ (powell d)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 23.20  
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of CATCH SOME ZS by WHERE'S THE RING)
BORN TO BE GOOD 6 5 6 6   7 714¼ (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.55  
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of MISS AMBITION by TOUCH GOLD)
 
FE-8   09/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Puss Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:113 1:372   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKOLAOU 2 3 3 32 33 3 1 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 29% 2.40 0.30 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DRUIDESS by MALIBU MOON)
WILBERFORCE 1 2 1 11 11 1 2 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 5% 17.70 19.15 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
DOCTOR UPTOWN 8 6 78 79 710 6 3 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00 14.80  
  (by DOCTOR PEACH out of ROSIESUPTOWN by WERBLIN)
HALF LIT 3 5 2 21 21 2 46 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
  (by RELOAD out of MISS FIONA by GOLD MERIDIAN)
SYNCHROMESH 7 10 912 913½ 811½ 55 56 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00 34.45  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
MORNING THOUGHTS 4 7 64 5 56 44 67 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 10.20  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of DYNARAMA by DYNAFORMER)
10  SEVEN IS A BREEZE 10 8 810 813 916½ 911¼ 714¾ (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00 20.65  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of CATEGORY SEVEN by GULF STORM)
PARTY OF NO 5 4 5 43 4 7 819¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 9% 10.00 53.15  
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of SETH'S TOY by FULL MANDATE)
STRONG ENDING 6 1 4 6 6 8 919½ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 29% 2.40 9.95  
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of WISE ENDING by END SWEEP)
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 9 9 1014½ 1018½ 1022½ 1016¼ 1024¼ (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 20.00 74.85  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RON'S LADY by ELHAYQ (IRE))
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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