Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 1.10
FE-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 7.60
FE-3   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $10.70  
FE-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.70  
FE-5   Win (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
FE-6   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $16.50  
FE-7   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $4.90  
FE-8   Win (2/6/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAYITO 4 2 2nk 11   11 1 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 26% 2.80 1.55 W
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN 3 1 1nk 21   21 2 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 48% 1.10 2.50 P
DR CHAPPELL 2 4 4 45   44 3 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 5.90  
SENSING HOLIDAY 1 3 3 3   3 4 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00 1.55  
SCR  THY KINGDOM               (shirley luth)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
 
FE-2   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
See original race card.
:222 :45       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUES POWER 2 1 1 12   1 1 (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 31% 2.20 4.80 W
RAGING BEAR 4 4 3 22   2 2 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 1.60 44% 1.30 0.35 P
M C JACKHAMMER 1 3 4 4   43 3 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 14.65  
VOYANT 3 2 2 32   32 4 (alderson a)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 29.10  
HARDWARE GAP 5 5 54 56   55 59 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 2.50 3.80  
 
FE-3   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:214 :442 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINNIE VAN GO 1 1 1 1   13 1 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 4.35  
PAPERBACK HERO 5 5 5 44   23 2 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 26% 2.90 6.10 P
CORE 2 3 2 2   34 3 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.50 5.95  
TAKE A CHANCE 4 2 32 33   47 419¼ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 124 2.00 27% 2.70 0.50  
MOBILIZER 3 4 43 57   5 525½ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 13.40  
SCR  FAFA FOOEY               (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00    
 
FE-4   09/04/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:132     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAIT N SWITCH 2 8 6 7   41 1½ (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00 2.35  
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 3 6 8 8   7 2½ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 64% 0.60 2.25 P
RELOAD BULLET 4 1 21 21   1nk 3½ (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 14.40  
ASHWICKEN 8 3 3 4   2nk 4 (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 119 6.00 6.45  
DIAMOND HEIST 1 2 11 11   3½ 5 (crete pierre)KING MARIE 120 8.00 3.05  
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 6 4 5 5   5 63 (carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 13% 6.80 9.15  
STREET MAX 5 5 4 31   6 7 (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 15.00 5% 19.00 26.35  
GOGO GABRIEL 7 7 7 6   8 85 (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 43.15  
 
FE-5   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:221 :444       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKOO MAKOO 5 3 13 17   15 1 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 17% 4.90 1.15 W
BIG TIME LOUIE 2 5 55 5   35 2 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 9% 10.60 3.25 P
RED MAPLE 1 1 23 37   25 3 (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00 35.25  
STORMY SOUL 7 7 6 610¼   6 48 (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 47% 1.10 11.90  
VENOMOUS STATE 6 4 4 48   4 510 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 3.00 1.75  
SOFIA'S SLUGGER 4 6 7 711¼   7 611 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 28.85  
WONNEFRAC 3 2 33 27   5 713½ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 120 12.00 82.55  
 
FE-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN GABLES 4 1 1 1   1 12 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 4.00 7.25  
ZAFEATHER 1 3 3 2   2 22 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 55% 0.80 3.45 P
BIG BANG BLUE 5 2 2 34   33 3 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50 0.80  
NICOLE'S SONG 3 4 4 411   49 410 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 7.25  
SPRING HIGH 2 5 514½ 516½   510½ 512¼ (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 2.00 23% 3.40 4.05  
 
FE-7   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horsepeople's Luminary Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:114     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEBATOWN 3 6 7 7   3 1hd (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 2.50 1.45  
GIMBALA 1 4 1nk 1nk   21 2hd (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 45% 1.20 3.55 P
CANT BEAT THE KATZ 4 2 2nk 2nk   11 3½ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 21% 3.80 2.20 S
GETTING AHEAD 7 1 31 3   4 4 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 10.00  
LOVE MY CHERYL 5 3 5 5   6 5 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 17.65  
SNEAKY REBEL 2 7 43 4   54 610¼ (powell dal)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00 23.20  
BORN TO BE GOOD 6 5 6 6   7 714¼ (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.55  
 
FE-8   09/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Puss Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:113 1:372   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKOLAOU 2 3 3 32 33 3 1 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 29% 2.40 0.30 W
WILBERFORCE 1 2 1 11 11 1 2 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 5% 17.70 19.15 P
DOCTOR UPTOWN 8 6 78 79 710 6 3 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00 14.80  
HALF LIT 3 5 2 21 21 2 46 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
SYNCHROMESH 7 10 912 913½ 811½ 55 56 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00 34.45  
MORNING THOUGHTS 4 7 64 5 56 44 67 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 10.20  
10  SEVEN IS A BREEZE 10 8 810 813 916½ 911¼ 714¾ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00 20.65  
PARTY OF NO 5 4 5 43 4 7 819¼ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 9% 10.00 53.15  
STRONG ENDING 6 1 4 6 6 8 919½ (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 29% 2.40 9.95  
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 9 9 1014½ 1018½ 1022½ 1016¼ 1024¼ (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 20.00 74.85  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.