Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-2   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-3   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-4   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-7   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-8   Win (2/6/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSING HOLIDAY Aug21 Jul31 Jul07 Jun11 May21 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00    
DR CHAPPELL Aug13 Jul21 Jul06 Nov11 Oct24 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50    
SCR  THY KINGDOM Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 Jul03 Jun06 (shirley luth)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 Jun01 Apr30 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
MAYITO Aug21 Aug13 Aug03 Jun15 May23 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
FE-2   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
M C JACKHAMMER Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
BLUES POWER Aug07 Jun12 Oct15 Aug31   (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
VOYANT Aug22 Aug07 Jun27 Jun12 Sep27 (alderson a)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00    
RAGING BEAR Aug22 Aug08 Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
HARDWARE GAP Aug06 Jul06 Jun02 May14 Dec11 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 2.50    
 
FE-3   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINNIE VAN GO Jul31 Jul16 Jul10 Jun18 Mar15 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00    
CORE Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.50    
MOBILIZER Aug21 Aug11 Jul24 Jul11 Jun18 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00    
TAKE A CHANCE Aug21 Aug04 Jul18 Jun16 May14 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
PAPERBACK HERO Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  FAFA FOOEY Aug21 Aug08 Jul24 Nov28 Oct23 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00    
 
FE-4   09/04/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND HEIST Aug13 Jun18       (crete pierre)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
BAIT N SWITCH Aug25 Aug13 Jul22     (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00    
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT Aug29 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 May23 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
RELOAD BULLET Aug25 Aug07 Jul18 Jun18 May23 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
STREET MAX Aug29 Aug01 Jul03 Jun18 May20 (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Aug29 Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 (carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 13% 6.80    
GOGO GABRIEL Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 May26 (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
ASHWICKEN Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 May07 (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 119 6.00    
 
FE-5   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MAPLE Jul31 Jul18 Jun13 May30 Oct24 (humber j)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00    
BIG TIME LOUIE Aug01 Jul10 Jun13 May23 Nov26 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
WONNEFRAC Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun06 May23 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 120 12.00    
SOFIA'S SLUGGER Aug21 Jun12 Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00    
SHAKOO MAKOO Aug21 Jul10 Jun13 May23 Nov10 (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
VENOMOUS STATE Aug15 Jul18 Jul10 Jun12 Feb24 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 122 3.00    
STORMY SOUL Aug05 Jul21 Jun22 May27 May06 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
FE-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZAFEATHER Aug15 Jul18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep15 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
SPRING HIGH Aug25 Aug05 Jun22 May25 May05 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
NICOLE'S SONG Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun18 May25 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50    
GREEN GABLES Aug28 Aug15 Aug07 Jul25 Jul13 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 4.00    
BIG BANG BLUE Aug22 Jul18 Jul04 Jun22 May26 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50    
 
FE-7   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horsepeople's Luminary Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIMBALA Aug22 Jul16 Jul04 Jun18 Jun06 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
SNEAKY REBEL Aug15 Aug07 Jul16 Jul10 Jun06 (powell dal)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00    
SHEBATOWN Aug22 Aug15 Jul20 Jul02 May27 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 2.50    
CANT BEAT THE KATZ Jul18 Jun18 Jun06 Apr12 Mar10 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
LOVE MY CHERYL Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul16 Jul03 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 8.00    
BORN TO BE GOOD Aug13 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GETTING AHEAD Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun13 May25 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
 
FE-8   09/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Puss Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILBERFORCE Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 5% 17.70    
NIKOLAOU Aug21 Aug01 Jul06 Jun11 Sep30 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
HALF LIT Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
MORNING THOUGHTS Aug25 Aug13 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00    
PARTY OF NO Aug07 Jul31 Jul16 Oct03 Sep27 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
STRONG ENDING Aug01 Jul10 Jun18 Feb19 Feb08 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
SYNCHROMESH Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Oct03 Sep27 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00    
DOCTOR UPTOWN Aug22 Aug11 Jun13 Nov03 Oct16 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00    
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 (powell a)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 20.00    
10  SEVEN IS A BREEZE Aug13 Jul24 Jun18 Oct04 Sep19 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.