Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-2   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/8/5)-(3/6/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-5   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-6   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-7   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(2/6/5/1/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-8   WIN (2/6/5/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/1/3)-(2/6/5/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/1/3)-(2/6/5/1/3)-(2/6/5/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENSING HOLIDAY Aug21 Jul31 Jul07 Jun11 May21 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.00    
2  DR CHAPPELL Aug13 Jul21 Jul06 Nov11 Oct24 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50    
SCR  THY KINGDOM Aug21 Aug05 Jul24 Jul03 Jun06 (shirley lu)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
4  EXECUTIVE CHAIRMAN Aug18 Jul21 Jun16 Jun01 Apr30 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
5  MAYITO Aug21 Aug13 Aug03 Jun15 May23 (loescher paula)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
 
FE-2   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  M C JACKHAMMER Aug22 Aug07 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
2  BLUES POWER Aug07 Jun12 Oct15 Aug31   (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  VOYANT Aug22 Aug07 Jun27 Jun12 Sep27 (alderson)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00    
4  RAGING BEAR Aug22 Aug08 Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
5  HARDWARE GAP Aug06 Jul06 Jun02 May14 Dec11 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 2.50    
 
FE-3   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINNIE VAN GO Jul31 Jul16 Jul10 Jun18 Mar15 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00    
2  CORE Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.50    
3  MOBILIZER Aug21 Aug11 Jul24 Jul11 Jun18 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00    
4  TAKE A CHANCE Aug21 Aug04 Jul18 Jun16 May14 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  PAPERBACK HERO Aug21 Jul31 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  FAFA FOOEY Aug21 Aug08 Jul24 Nov28 Oct23 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00    
 
FE-4   09/04/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAMOND HEIST Aug13 Jun18       (crete pier)KING MARIE 120 8.00    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of TALE OF HOUDINI by TALE OF EKATI)
2  BAIT N SWITCH Aug25 Aug13 Jul22     (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 8.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of BEAR'S GEM by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
3  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT Aug29 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 May23 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 64% 0.60    
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
4  RELOAD BULLET Aug25 Aug07 Jul18 Jun18 May23 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
  (by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)
5  STREET MAX Aug29 Aug01 Jul03 Jun18 May20 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Aug29 Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 (carter ang)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 13% 6.80    
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
7  GOGO GABRIEL Aug23 Jul25 Jul11 Jun21 May26 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of MONCLOVA by NIIGON)
8  ASHWICKEN Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 May07 (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 119 6.00 ★    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
 
FE-5   09/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED MAPLE Jul31 Jul18 Jun13 May30 Oct24 (humber)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 15.00    
2  BIG TIME LOUIE Aug01 Jul10 Jun13 May23 Nov26 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 9% 10.60    
3  WONNEFRAC Aug21 Jul31 Jul18 Jun06 May23 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120 12.00    
4  SOFIA'S SLUGGER Aug21 Jun12 Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00    
5  SHAKOO MAKOO Aug21 Jul10 Jun13 May23 Nov10 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 17% 4.90    
6  VENOMOUS STATE Aug15 Jul18 Jul10 Jun12 Feb24 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 3.00    
7  STORMY SOUL Aug05 Jul21 Jun22 May27 May06 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
FE-6   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZAFEATHER Aug15 Jul18 Oct27 Oct08 Sep15 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
2  SPRING HIGH Aug25 Aug05 Jun22 May25 May05 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
3  NICOLE'S SONG Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun18 May25 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50    
4  GREEN GABLES Aug28 Aug15 Aug07 Jul25 Jul13 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 4.00    
5  BIG BANG BLUE Aug22 Jul18 Jul04 Jun22 May26 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50    
 
FE-7   09/04/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Horsepeople's Luminary Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GIMBALA Aug22 Jul16 Jul04 Jun18 Jun06 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by SPANIARD out of HIPPICRITICAL by HAIL THE RUCKUS)
2  SNEAKY REBEL Aug15 Aug07 Jul16 Jul10 Jun06 (powell d)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00    
  (by SIGNATURE RED out of CATCH SOME ZS by WHERE'S THE RING)
3  SHEBATOWN Aug22 Aug15 Jul20 Jul02 May27 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 2.50    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of SEEKING SHEBA by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  CANT BEAT THE KATZ Jul18 Jun18 Jun06 Apr12 Mar10 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by KATZ MY SONG out of BET U I WIN by LORDHYEXECUTIONER)
5  LOVE MY CHERYL Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul16 Jul03 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 8.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of LOVE MY LIFE by LATENT HEAT)
6  BORN TO BE GOOD Aug13 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (cathcart steven)CRAWFORD J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of MISS AMBITION by TOUCH GOLD)
7  GETTING AHEAD Aug22 Aug07 Jul03 Jun13 May25 (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of ANOTHER CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
FE-8   09/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Puss Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILBERFORCE Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 8.00 5% 17.70    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of AMAZE ME GRACE by EXPLODENT)
2  NIKOLAOU Aug21 Aug01 Jul06 Jun11 Sep30 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 29% 2.40    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DRUIDESS by MALIBU MOON)
3  HALF LIT Aug21 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RELOAD out of MISS FIONA by GOLD MERIDIAN)
4  MORNING THOUGHTS Aug25 Aug13 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 (voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of DYNARAMA by DYNAFORMER)
5  PARTY OF NO Aug07 Jul31 Jul16 Oct03 Sep27 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 9% 10.00    
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of SETH'S TOY by FULL MANDATE)
6  STRONG ENDING Aug01 Jul10 Jun18 Feb19 Feb08 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of WISE ENDING by END SWEEP)
7  SYNCHROMESH Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Oct03 Sep27 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of DYNASHEALS by DONERAILE COURT)
8  DOCTOR UPTOWN Aug22 Aug11 Jun13 Nov03 Oct16 (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 15.00    
  (by DOCTOR PEACH out of ROSIESUPTOWN by WERBLIN)
9  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE Aug22 Aug07 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 (powell dale )SANCHEZ ALEXIS 120 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of RON'S LADY by ELHAYQ (IRE))
10  SEVEN IS A BREEZE Aug13 Jul24 Jun18 Oct04 Sep19 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 15.00    
  (by ALGORITHMS out of CATEGORY SEVEN by GULF STORM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.