Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $18.80 $12.80 213%
FE-6   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.70 $2.70 45%
    DD (1/5/3)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-7 $23.15 $14.15 157%

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123 1:392   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKOLAOU 1 1 33 32 2 21 1 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.40 71% 0.40 0.35 W
GRAND GIZMO 5 3 13 1 1 11 2 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 12.00 3.95  
RAGING BEAR 2 4 57 5 4 3 3 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 2.00 5.00  
VITAL SIGNS 3 2 23 2 34 47 417¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 12.55  
STREET MAX 4 5 4 42 5 59 519¼ (powell a)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 5% 19.00 20.55  
 
FE-2   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 2 3 34 34   2 1 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 5.00 1.10  
VERI UNIFIED 4 2 21 1nk   1 2 (wills )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 3.00 34% 1.90 3.70 P
ONLY BELIEVE 1 4 57 5   4 3 (corbett brian)DAVID MICHAEL 120 6.00 8.20  
SHES ASTYLISH KATZ 5 1 11 2nk   3 47 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00 27% 2.60 2.00  
HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO 3 5 45 4   58 518 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 4.00 10.60  
SCR  BEA MAJESTIC G G               (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00    
 
FE-3   08/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123 1:401   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE SAVVY 3 2 1½ 1 15 13 16 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 42% 1.40 0.25 W
DOODLE DANDY 5 4 57 5 25 23 26 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 10.00 22.95  
SAN NICOLA STAR 4 5 43 4 5 48 311¾ (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50 4.35  
KOZY KAT 2 1 3½ 3 4 5 414¾ (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 20% 4.00 7.70  
ROYAL CITY REIGN 1 3 2½ 2 3 37 516 (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 120 3.00 10.70  
SCR  MONASTERY LANE               (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
 
FE-4   08/01/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:132     1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSIBLE PORTIONS 8 3 14 16   1 13 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 6.80  
SYNCHROMESH 2 7 6 610   34 23 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 3.50 21% 3.70 3.90 P
DRAGON'S KEY 3 2 24 26   2 3 (wills )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 36% 1.80 3.00 S
ROCKLAND EXPRESS 5 5 4 48   45 4 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 8.00 10.65  
UNBRIDLED INFERNO 6 6 5 59   6 5 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 17% 4.90 1.70  
IRIE ISLAND MAN 4 8 710½ 710½   7 6 (powell dale )CHEYNE A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
ARTIE'S ALL IN 7 4 3 37   5 711¼ (crete pierre)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 19.95  
DYNAMIC MISSION 1 1 811½ 811   811 813¾ (rabstein cla)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 6.00 12.45  
 
FE-5   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAFTY CONQUEST 3 2 3 1½   1 1 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 6.00 5% 17.50 8.40 W
STRONG ENDING 4 5 5 3   3 2 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 1.80 0.80  
CORE 2 3 4 5   4 3 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 13.10  
SUMMER RETREAT 6 1 11 2½   2 4 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 10.45  
MONEY MATTERS 1 4 21 4   5 56 (bird a)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 47% 1.10 2.30  
BIG TIME LOUIE 5 6 6 6   6 6100 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 8.00 22% 3.50 10.10  
 
FE-6   08/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:22 :45 :58     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIBARO 6 1 1 13   1 1¼ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 32% 2.10 3.35 W
BIG WARDEN 2 6 2 23   2 2¼ (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 2.50  
WILBERFORCE 4 2 69 5   65 3¾ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 17% 5.00 6.45 S
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 5 4 5 613½   44 41 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 7.05  
MY GIRL GABBY 1 5 4 4   54 5 (warner)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 15.00 6.35  
WOOD BE WILD 3 3 3 35   3 6 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.00 19% 4.10 2.30  
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT               (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 120 12.00    
 
FE-7   08/01/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWILDAS TREASURE 1 3 32 2   1nk 13 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 118 10.00 3.00  
SILENT BUT VIOLENT 5 6 54 54   3 23 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 14% 6.40 7.70 P
NADIABIZNIZ 6 4 44 4   43 3 (thomps)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 15.00 6% 14.50 3.55 S
BLACK TAFFY 2 2 11 1   2nk 4 (crete pierre)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 2.25  
SECRET ARCHANGEL 7 7 7 65   54 57 (capi m)CHEYNE A 118 20.00 34.15  
NICOLE'S SONG 4 5 66 7   6 6 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00 4.25  
HONEY GIRL 3 1 21 32   7 713¾ (maynard desm)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 49% 1.00 9.15  
SCR  CALL ME BROOKE               (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00    
SCR  MY GIRL HOOTER               (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.