Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-2   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/6)-(3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-3   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(3/2/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FE-4   WIN (3/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4)-(3/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/4)-(1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(7/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-6   WIN (7/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/5)-(7/4/5)-(7/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/5)-(4/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-7   WIN (4/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/8)-(4/7/8)-(4/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIKOLAOU Jul06 Jun11 Sep30 Sep04 Jul03 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.40 71% 0.40    
2  RAGING BEAR Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 May28 Aug12 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 118 2.00    
3  VITAL SIGNS Jul03 Apr13 Mar25 Mar18   (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00    
4  STREET MAX Jul03 Jun18 May20 May06 Apr29 (powell a)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  GRAND GIZMO Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 May20 Dec09 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 12.00    
 
FE-2   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONLY BELIEVE Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 May30 Nov03 (corbett brian)DAVID MICHAEL 120 6.00    
2  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Jul04 Jun16 May25 May12 Apr22 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 5.00    
3  HONEYBUNNYBOOBOO Jul11 Jun13 May15 Apr09 Mar18 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 4.00    
SCR  BEA MAJESTIC G G Jul16 Jul04 Jun13 May23 Oct11 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00    
5  VERI UNIFIED Jul18 Jun26 Jun18 Oct22 Sep02 (wills )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 3.00 34% 1.90    
6  SHES ASTYLISH KATZ Jul03 May30 Aug14 Jun27 Jun13 (davis m)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00 27% 2.60    
 
FE-3   08/01/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL CITY REIGN Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 Dec08 Nov24 (mcmahon william )RAMSAMMY E 120 3.00    
2  KOZY KAT Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 Oct10 Oct04 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  MORE SAVVY Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  SAN NICOLA STAR Jul11 Jun18 Feb23 Feb10 Jan14 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.50    
5  DOODLE DANDY Jul11 Jul03 Jun06 May30 Oct24 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 10.00    
SCR  MONASTERY LANE Jul25 Jun15 Nov26 Nov05 Oct11 (buttigieg kevin)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
 
FE-4   08/01/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC MISSION Jul18 Jul03 Jun12 Oct28 Oct03 (rabstein cla)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 108 6.00    
2  SYNCHROMESH Jul18 Oct03 Sep27 Aug29 Aug14 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
3  DRAGON'S KEY Jul10 Jun16 Jun01 May05 Oct21 (wills )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  IRIE ISLAND MAN Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 Apr12 Apr05 (powell dale )CHEYNE A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Jul14 Jun24 Jun06 Sep17 Aug13 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 8.00    
6  UNBRIDLED INFERNO Jul25 Jul11 Jun16 Nov25 Oct21 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 17% 4.90    
7  ARTIE'S ALL IN Jul18 Jul11 Apr23 Oct03 Sep19 (crete pierre)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
8  SENSIBLE PORTIONS Jul18 Oct24 Sep19 Aug08 Jul25 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00    
 
FE-5   08/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONEY MATTERS Jul16 Jul03 Jun27 Jun13 May30 (bird a)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  CORE Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Jun18 May23 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 10.00    
3  CRAFTY CONQUEST Jul08 Jun13 May14 May07 Apr04 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 6.00 5% 17.50    
4  STRONG ENDING Jul10 Jun18 Feb19 Feb08 Dec22 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 1.80    
5  BIG TIME LOUIE Jul10 Jun13 May23 Nov26 Oct28 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
6  SUMMER RETREAT Jul16 Jul10 Jun18 Jun12 May30 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50    
 
FE-6   08/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY GIRL GABBY Jul18 Jun27 Jun16 May25 May07 (warner)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 108 15.00    
2  BIG WARDEN Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 Apr23 Dec10 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 120 4.00    
SCR  TWO YEAR CONTRACT Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 May14 Apr23 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 120 12.00    
4  WOOD BE WILD Jul11 Jun18 Jun06 May14 Dec03 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 2.00 19% 4.10    
5  WILBERFORCE Jul18 Jul03 Jun18     (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 17% 5.00    
6  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Jul24 Jul11 May23 May09 May01 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00    
7  JIBARO Jul14 Jun25 Jun09 Dec02 Nov13 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
 
FE-7   08/01/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALL ME BROOKE Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 May19 Nov26 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 12.00    
2  AWILDAS TREASURE Jul18 Jul11 Jun12 Jun06 Apr30 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 118 10.00    
3  BLACK TAFFY Jul10 Jun22 May30 Jul25 Jul05 (crete pierre)SALLES LEO 122 2.50    
4  HONEY GIRL Jul11 Jun27 Oct24 Oct10 Sep19 (maynard desm)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  MY GIRL HOOTER Jul11 Jun26 May27 May12 Apr29 (chubb beverley)JADOO STEVE 120 4.00    
6  NICOLE'S SONG Jul18 Jun18 May25 Nov19 Oct30 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.00    
7  SILENT BUT VIOLENT Jul11 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Aug09 (robillard jos)PINTO MELANIE 118 6.00 14% 6.40    
8  NADIABIZNIZ Jul06 Jun29 May19 May06 Oct20 (thomps)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 15.00 6% 14.50    
9  SECRET ARCHANGEL Sep02         (capi m)CHEYNE A 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.