Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $6.90  
FE-2   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.00  
FE-3   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $20.60 $20.60 14.60
FE-4   Win (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
FE-5   Win (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $17.90 $17.90 11.90
FE-6   Win (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $62.20  
FE-7   Win (7/5/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:224 :463 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T STOP DREAMIN 5 2 1nk 1   17 115 (depaulo michael )STEIN JUSTIN 118 2.00 2.45  
BREACH OF TRUST 4 1 42 3   27 215 (goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 33% 2.00 3.40 P
LETS SAY THIS 3 3 31 4   38 317¼ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 45% 1.20 0.95 S
CATRIN 2 4 57 5   511½ 423¼ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
INFINITELY KATZ 1 5 2nk 2   49 523½ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 5.75  
 
FE-2   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOOSWEETFORME 2 4 31 3   11 1 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 2.50 2.50  
LUNATICA 1 5 510 512   4 2 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 9.50  
UNABLE 5 1 1nk 1nk   21 3 (maynard desm)KING MARIE 120 1.40 54% 0.80 0.45 S
SHE AINT NO JOKE 3 3 2nk 2nk   31 4 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.65  
PAPA'S SILVER 4 2 44 46   5 513½ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 4.50 6% 15.20 14.70  
 
FE-3   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAFA FOOEY 4 5 32 31   1½ 1¼ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 18% 4.40 9.30 W
HIATUS 6 1 11 11   2½ 2¼ (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.85 P
DOTTED LINE 5 2 21 21   3½ 3 (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 52% 0.90 1.65 S
LETTING LOOSE 1 6 6 4   42 45 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 3.00 2.45  
ONE PUNCH CHARLIE 3 4 4 5   5 59 (agostino roy)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 3.50 8.55  
FOUR KNIGHTS 2 3 5 6   6 69 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 11.05  
 
FE-4   07/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:24 :48       1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENAGERIE 1 6 32 3 2nk 2nk 1½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 20% 4.00 1.80 W
SUPER COOL STORM 7 1 6 7 5 4 2½ (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.60 17% 5.00 1.60 P
ASHWICKEN 4 4 75 55 6 5 3½ (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 120 4.50 10.60  
EYE GOT IT GOOD 2 3 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 41 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 11% 7.80 9.00  
MIZZ GEMMA 3 7 54 44 3 3 5 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 15.00 18.10  
BABA'S GIRL 6 2 4 6 4 6 610½ (hinds austin)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 20.00 33.50  
JIMMY IS A BREEZE 5 5 21 2nk 7 7 717½ (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 29% 2.50 3.95  
 
FE-5   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:124     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOCELLI (IRE) 8 2 711 710½   6 1½ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00 7.95 W
BEND IN THE RIVER 6 4 55 4   2nk 2½ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.00 2.85 P
FAST LANE 4 5 6 67   4 3½ (johnston t)ELLIS S 120 4.50 2.60  
RADCLIFFE 5 3 3 2   1nk 4 (robi)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00 4.15  
STRONG ATTITUDE 7 1 4 33   5 5 (smith ke)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 65.50  
DIMMI QUANDO 3 7 812½ 813½   7 6 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 13.05  
NAVAL OFFICER 1 6 1nk 1   31 7 (mitchell m)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 73% 0.40 3.50  
QUICK RELOAD 2 8 2nk 5   812½ 8100 (chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 15.60  
 
FE-6   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBILIZER 2 4 11 11   1 1½ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 30.10  
MORNING THOUGHTS 7 2 43 33   3 2½ (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.00 26% 2.90 0.70 P
ACTION POINT 1 7 55 55   4 31 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 120 15.00 8% 12.00 7.90 S
SEVEN IS A BREEZE 6 6 87 4   5 4 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 27% 2.70 2.75  
ONE MORE RING 8 1 21 21   2 5 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 13.00  
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 4 8 7 67   6 6 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 13.90  
THY KINGDOM 3 5 6 7   7 712 (shirley luthia)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00 16% 5.40 21.00  
SAME AGAIN DOC 5 3 31 8   822¾ 8100 (cohen michael)ELLIS S 120 20.00 25.45  
SCR  ONE MORE BREW               (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 113 2.00    
 
FE-7   07/24/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:12     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND BORDERS 4 7 3.2 32   11 1 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00 9% 10.50 2.90 W
A I INITIATIVE 7 9 8 75   5 2 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 41% 1.40 4.50 P
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 8 5 5 4   4 3 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 15.70  
HALF LIT 5 2 2nk 2   21 4 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 12% 7.70 4.05  
CRYPTIC CREED 2 6 7 6   3 55 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 37.95  
UNILATERAL 1 4 1013¼ 1012   10 6 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 4.50 8% 11.90 8.40  
AM PREPARED 6 10 9 910   7 7 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00 19.70  
BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) 9 8 6 8   9 810 (husbands anthony)HOYTE JASON 117 6.00 9.75  
10  WILLIAM BOY 10 3 4 54   8 912½ (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 8% 11.00 6.50  
BOUND LUCKY 3 1 1nk 1   6 1020 (newland ge)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00 8.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.