Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $20.60 $14.60 243%
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6 $50.30 $44.30 738%
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.20 $1.20  4-6-5 $37.61 $36.41 3034%
FE-4   DD (5/4/6)-(5/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-1 $36.90 $24.90 208%
FE-5   WIN (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $17.90 $11.90 198%
    EXA (1/8/3)-(1/6/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  8-6 $44.50 $35.50 394%
    DD (5/1/7/2)-(1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-8 $40.90 $28.90 241%
FE-7   EXA (7/5/4/10/1)-(7/5/4/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-7 $21.60 $1.60 8%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:224 :463 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DON'T STOP DREAMIN 5 2 1nk 12½   17 115 (depaulo michae)STEIN JUSTIN 118 2.00 2.45  
4  BREACH OF TRUST 4 1 42 32½   27 215 (golden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 33% 2.00 3.40 P
3  LETS SAY THIS 3 3 31 42¾   38 317¼ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 45% 1.20 0.95 S
2  CATRIN 2 4 57 58¾   511½ 423¼ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 29.25  
1  INFINITELY KATZ 1 5 2nk 22½   49 523½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00 5.75  
 
FE-2   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:13     1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOOSWEETFORME 2 4 31 32½   11 14¾ (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 120 2.50 2.50  
1  LUNATICA 1 5 510 512   44½ 24¾ (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00 9.50  
5  UNABLE 5 1 1nk 1nk   21 35¼ (maynard de)KING MARIE 120 1.40 54% 0.80 0.45 S
3  SHE AINT NO JOKE 3 3 2nk 2nk   31 46¾ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.65  
4  PAPA'S SILVER 4 2 44 46   54¾ 513½ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 4.50 6% 15.20 14.70  
 
FE-3   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FAFA FOOEY 4 5 32 31   1½ 1¼ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 18% 4.40 9.30 W
6  HIATUS 6 1 11 11   2½ 2¼ (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.85 P
5  DOTTED LINE 5 2 21 21   3½ 31¾ (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 52% 0.90 1.65 S
1  LETTING LOOSE 1 6 64½ 43½   42 45 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 3.00 2.45  
3  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE 3 4 43½ 55½   54½ 59 (agostino r)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 3.50 8.55  
2  FOUR KNIGHTS 2 3 54½ 68½   65½ 69 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 11.05  
 
FE-4   07/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:24 :48       1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENAGERIE 1 6 32 32½ 2nk 2nk 1½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 20% 4.00 1.80 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of HOLY FLAME by PULPIT)
7  SUPER COOL STORM 7 1 64½ 76¾ 53¼ 41¾ 2½ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.60 17% 5.00 1.60 P
  (by SUPER SAVER out of COOL STORM by STORM CAT)
4  ASHWICKEN 4 4 75 55 63¼ 51¾ 3½ (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 120 4.50 10.60  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
2  EYE GOT IT GOOD 2 3 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 41 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 11% 7.80 9.00  
  (by MR. SCOTTY out of ONE WAY EXPRESS by ONE WAY LOVE)
3  MIZZ GEMMA 3 7 54 44 31½ 31½ 51¼ (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 15.00 18.10  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of MADAME G by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  BABA'S GIRL 6 2 43½ 65¼ 41¾ 63¾ 610½ (hinds austin)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 20.00 33.50  
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of BOLD SKY by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
5  JIMMY IS A BREEZE 5 5 21 2nk 73½ 75¾ 717½ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 29% 2.50 3.95  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNA'S A BREEZE by DYNAFORMER)
 
FE-5   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:124     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BOCELLI (IRE) 8 2 711 710½   61½ 1½ (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00 7.95 W
6  BEND IN THE RIVER 6 4 55 44½   2nk 2½ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.00 ★ 2.85 P
4  FAST LANE 4 5 65½ 67   41¼ 3½ (johnston t)ELLIS S 120 4.50 2.60  
5  RADCLIFFE 5 3 31½ 21½   1nk 42¼ (ro)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00 4.15  
7  STRONG ATTITUDE 7 1 42½ 33   51¼ 53½ (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 65.50  
3  DIMMI QUANDO 3 7 812½ 813½   74½ 64½ (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 13.05  
1  NAVAL OFFICER 1 6 1nk 11½   31 78½ (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 73% 0.40 3.50  
2  QUICK RELOAD 2 8 2nk 55½   812½ 8100 (chudobiak ga)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 15.60  
 
FE-6   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOBILIZER 2 4 11 11   11½ 1½ (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 30.10  
8  MORNING THOUGHTS 7 2 43 33   31½ 2½ (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.00 26% 2.90 0.70 P
1  ACTION POINT 1 7 55 55   42½ 31 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 120 15.00 8% 12.00 7.90 S
7  SEVEN IS A BREEZE 6 6 87 44½   52¾ 41¼ (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 27% 2.70 2.75  
9  ONE MORE RING 8 1 21 21   21½ 51½ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00 13.00  
4  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 4 8 76½ 67   65¾ 69½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 13.90  
3  THY KINGDOM 3 5 65½ 77½   76¾ 712 (shirley luth)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00 16% 5.40 21.00  
5  SAME AGAIN DOC 5 3 31 88½   822¾ 8100 (cohen michael)ELLIS S 120 20.00 25.45  
SCR  ONE MORE BREW               (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 113 2.00    
 
FE-7   07/24/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:12     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BEYOND BORDERS 4 7 3.2 32   11 14½ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00 9% 10.50 2.90 W
7  A I INITIATIVE 7 9 84¾ 75   52¾ 24½ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 41% 1.40 4.50 P
8  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 8 5 52¾ 43½   42½ 34½ (robill)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 15.70  
5  HALF LIT 5 2 2nk 21½   21 44¾ (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 12% 7.70 4.05  
2  CRYPTIC CREED 2 6 74¼ 64½   32½ 55 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 37.95  
1  UNILATERAL 1 4 1013¼ 1012   107¼ 66½ (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 4.50 8% 11.90 8.40  
6  AM PREPARED 6 10 99¾ 910   75¼ 76¾ (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00 19.70  
9  BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) 9 8 64¼ 85½   96¼ 810 (husbands anthon)HOYTE JASON 117 6.00 9.75  
10  WILLIAM BOY 10 3 42¼ 54   85¾ 912½ (cathca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 8% 11.00 6.50  
3  BOUND LUCKY 3 1 1nk 11½   63¼ 1020 (newland )BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00 8.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.