Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - July 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (5/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-5   Win (1/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-7   Win (7/5/4/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   07/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INFINITELY KATZ Jun18 May28 Dec11 Nov19 Oct17 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 5.00    
CATRIN Jul11 Jun18 Sep20 Sep06 Aug21 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
LETS SAY THIS Jul03 Oct10 Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 1.60 45% 1.20    
BREACH OF TRUST Jul03 May30 Dec09 Nov25 Oct28 (goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 3.50 33% 2.00    
DON'T STOP DREAMIN Jul07 May28 May13 Nov20 Oct27 (depaulo michael )STEIN JUSTIN 118 2.00    
 
FE-2   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNATICA Jul11 Jun26 May30 Dec08 Nov24 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 3.00    
TOOSWEETFORME Jun26 Jun06 May07 Mar29 Mar08 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 2.50    
SHE AINT NO JOKE Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 Apr30 Nov15 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAPA'S SILVER Jul04 Jun26 Jun06 May23 Oct24 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 4.50 6% 15.20    
UNABLE Jul03 Jun18 Jun01 May12 Apr22 (maynard desm)KING MARIE 120 1.40 54% 0.80    
 
FE-3   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETTING LOOSE Jul10 May30 Oct24 Oct04 Sep13 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 3.00    
FOUR KNIGHTS Jul03 Jun18 May23 Nov04 Sep27 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
ONE PUNCH CHARLIE Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 May07 (agostino roy)ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 3.50    
FAFA FOOEY Nov28 Oct23 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 18% 4.40    
DOTTED LINE Jul10 Jun27 Sep18 Aug14 Jul10 (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 52% 0.90    
HIATUS Jun26 Jun15 May23 Dec03 Oct24 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   07/24/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MENAGERIE Jul13 Jun26 Jun13 May23 Nov19 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
EYE GOT IT GOOD Jul10 Jun29 Jun17 May26   (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 11% 7.80    
MIZZ GEMMA Jul04 Jun12 Jun06 Oct24 Oct04 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 15.00    
ASHWICKEN Jul04 Jun12 May07 Mar29 Mar08 (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 120 4.50    
JIMMY IS A BREEZE Jul04 Jun26 Dec09 Sep29 Sep09 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
BABA'S GIRL Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Aug27   (hinds austin)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 20.00    
SUPER COOL STORM Jul04 May03 Mar09 Jan12 Oct28 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 1.60 17% 5.00    
 
FE-5   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAVAL OFFICER Jul10 Jun27 Jun06 May14 Feb26 (mitchell m)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 73% 0.40    
QUICK RELOAD Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 Dec11 Dec02 (chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00    
DIMMI QUANDO Jul16 Jun27 Jun13 May05 Apr16 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
FAST LANE Jul07 Jun01 Apr29 Apr15 Mar12 (johnston t)ELLIS S 120 4.50    
RADCLIFFE Jun18 May30 Apr30 Nov25 Oct24 (robi)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 6.00    
BEND IN THE RIVER Jun17 Jun02 Apr14 Mar30 Mar19 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.00    
STRONG ATTITUDE Jul10 Oct11 Aug30 Aug08 Jul26 (smith kenneth )CHEYNE A 120 12.00    
BOCELLI (IRE) Jul16 Jun18 May30 Nov06 Oct24 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-6   07/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTION POINT Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Oct17 Sep27 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 120 15.00 8% 12.00    
MOBILIZER Jul11 Jun18 May30 Sep13 Aug01 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00    
THY KINGDOM Jul03 Jun06 May23 Oct24 Oct03 (shirley luthia)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00 16% 5.40    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Jul11 May23 May09 May01 Apr07 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
SAME AGAIN DOC Nov11 Nov04 Oct08 Sep25 Sep02 (cohen )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 20.00    
SCR  ONE MORE BREW Jul16 Jun18 Sep11 Aug28 Jul31 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 113 2.00    
SEVEN IS A BREEZE Jun18 Oct04 Sep19 Sep06 Aug20 (simm)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
MORNING THOUGHTS Jul11 Jun27 Jun16 May14 Dec09 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
ONE MORE RING Jul11 Jun12 May23 May07 Mar22 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 6.00    
 
FE-7   07/24/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNILATERAL Jul10 Jun02 May19 Apr30 Dec08 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 4.50 8% 11.90    
CRYPTIC CREED Jun27 Jun13 Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00    
BOUND LUCKY Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Dec02 Nov10 (newland ge)BUCHANAN Z 120 10.00    
BEYOND BORDERS Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May14 Nov25 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00 9% 10.50    
HALF LIT Jul10 Jun27 Jun18 Jun06 Oct17 (keen howard)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 12% 7.70    
AM PREPARED Jul03 May23 Nov03 Oct02 Sep05 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 20.00    
A I INITIATIVE Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 Mar22 Dec06 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Jul03 Jun18 Oct24 Oct17 Oct11 (robillar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00    
BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May19 Apr30 (husbands anthony)BYNOE DESEAN 117 6.00    
10  WILLIAM BOY Jul10 Jul03 Jun13 Oct03 Sep18 (cathcart)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 8% 11.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.