The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
    Exacta (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 1-3 2 0 $5.90 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 1-3-4 3 0 $2.55 0.00
FE-2   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -2.30
    Exacta (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-1 2 1 $8.90 $8.90 2.90
    Trifecta (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 4-1-2 3 0 $4.72 -1.20
    Daily Double (1/2)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4 2 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
FE-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $4.60 -4.00
    Exacta (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 6-1 2 0 $7.60 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 6-1-5 3 0 $5.78 0.00
    Daily Double (4/5/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6 2 0 $4.55 -6.00
FE-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.60 -6.00
    Exacta (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-4 2 0 $22.85 -6.00
    Trifecta (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 7-4-6 3 0 $10.27 -1.20
    Daily Double (2/3)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-7 2 0 $11.85 -6.00
FE-5   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.10 $8.10 2.10
    Exacta (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 1 $12.25 $12.25 6.25
    Trifecta (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 1-2-5 3 0 $14.77 -1.20
    Daily Double (6/4/1)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-1 2 0 $40.25 -9.00
FE-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $23.10 $23.10 17.10
    Exacta (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 1 $28.55 $28.55 22.55
    Trifecta (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.20 $1.20 2-4-6 3 0 $36.68 -1.20
    Daily Double (1/3/2)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-2 2 1 $54.95 $54.95 45.95
FE-7   Win (2/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $12.50 $12.50 4.50
    Exacta (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-4 2 0 $54.05 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8) 24 $0.20 $4.80 7-4-8 3 0 $48.73 -4.80
    Daily Double (2/4/7)-(2/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-7 2 1 $88.20 $88.20 76.20

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/29/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:224 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE RING 1 5 33 4   21 1¾ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 27% 2.60 1.80 W
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 3 3 4 3   42¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 2.00  
GUNZIG STINGER 4 1 1½ 1nk   11 3(rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 4.75  
BOUND LUCKY 2 4 56 510¾   54(ceccato )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 20% 4.00 2.95  
ROYAL BIZ 5 2 2½ 2nk   31 5(humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 4.50 9.95  
 
FE-2   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
:224 :46 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEADING WEST 4 3 33 31   11 12 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 29% 2.50 0.85 W
MAKES SENSE TO ME 1 4 4 4   31 22 (powell)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 19% 4.20 11.45 P
ZIPPITY DAY 2 5 55 5   42 3(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 3.05  
ISA BREEZE 5 1 2nk 21   54(simms c)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 21% 3.70 3.65  
FLAT OUT ANGEL 3 6 68 67   656 (will)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00 27.85  
HERMIONE GRANGER 6 2 1nk 11   21 67 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 8.00 9.00  
 
FE-3   08/29/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
:511 1:172     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 5 3 11 11   1nk 1¼ (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 1.30  
SILENT WARNING 1 1 31 21   2nk 2¼ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 3.80  
MISS MOLLY LALOU 4 5 5 53   43 3(agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 10.20  
LUNATICA 3 2 21 31   34(ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 21% 3.80 2.05  
MISS SCHILLER 2 4 4 4   511 515 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 3.50 26% 2.90 5.50  
SCR  SMARTY ILLUSION               (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00    
 
FE-4   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
:232 :463 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIDEO VIDA 7 1 11 1   13 1(mcclachr)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.50 4.30  
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 4 3 5 5   32(carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 14% 6.40 4.20 P
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 6 4 31 4   45 3(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.60 S
BEYOND TALENTED 2 6 4 2   23 4(robillar)ALDERSON IAN 120 12.00 3.60  
LITTLE DOMI 1 7 6 6   5514¼ (maynard desmond)FLORES ESWAN 120 4.00 11% 7.90 6.25  
LETS SAY THIS 5 2 21 3   6615¾ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 13.90  
STREET MAX 3 5 7 7   7717¼ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00 40.55  
 
FE-5   08/29/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
:233 :483 1:132 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONASTERY LANE 1 4 5 53 56 2nk 13 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 28% 2.60 3.05 W
GLITTER BAY 2 2 33 3½ 13 1nk 23 (bailey j)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 15% 5.80 2.75 P
AWILDAS TREASURE 5 1 2½ 2nk 23 31 3(powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00 21.25  
DOODLE DANDY 6 6 610½ 69 610 64(hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 10.00 61.65  
MORE SAVVY 4 3 1½ 1nk 45 45(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 7.50  
PLUIE D'AVRIL 3 5 44 4 35 5610 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 1.80 28% 2.60 0.90  
 
FE-6   08/29/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
:224 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 1 1 11 1   114 (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 5.00 25% 3.00 10.55 W
HONEY GIRL 3 4 34 35   224 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 16% 5.30 1.50 P
PASSION TO PLEASE 5 5 5 45   44 3(maynard desmond)FLORES ESWAN 120 12.00 5.55  
MY GIRL GABBY 4 6 6 67   55 48 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 2.30  
PENNIESFROMABOVE 6 3 4 56   65(steer tom)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00 13% 6.50 8.45  
ONE LAST FLING 2 2 21 2   36(mileni n)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 5.15  
SCR  WHATSWRONGWITHYOU               (thomps)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
 
FE-7   08/29/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
:483 1:143     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION COLONEL 7 1 11 1   11 1½ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50 9% 10.00 5.25 W
SOCIETY JOE 4 5 21 2   21 2½ (holder t)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 10.00 8.55  
BEYOND BORDERS 8 8 65 5   43(agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 3.00 9% 10.70 3.55 S
HIATUS 2 2 32 3   31 4(voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 42% 1.40 0.85  
BEYOND MY DREAMS 1 3 87 8   753 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 17.95  
A I INITIATIVE 5 7 7 7   66(ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 15% 5.50 14.75  
FOUR KNIGHTS 6 6 43 43   57(blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00 44.95  
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 3 4 54 6   88(robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 17.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.