Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $5.60 $1.60 40%
FE-2   EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $8.90 $2.90 48%
FE-5   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.10 $2.10 35%
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $12.25 $6.25 104%
FE-6   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $23.10 $17.10 285%
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $28.55 $22.55 376%
    DD (1/3/2)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-2 $54.95 $45.95 511%
FE-7   WIN (2/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $12.50 $4.50 56%
    DD (2/4/7)-(2/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $88.20 $76.20 635%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:224 :462       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE RING 1 5 33 43¾   21 1¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 27% 2.60 1.80 W
3  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ 3 3 44½ 33½   41¼ 2¾ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 2.00  
4  GUNZIG STINGER 4 1 1½ 1nk   11 31½ (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 120 2.50 4.75  
2  BOUND LUCKY 2 4 56 510¾   53¼ 42¾ (ceccat)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 20% 4.00 2.95  
5  ROYAL BIZ 5 2 2½ 2nk   31 57½ (humber josep)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 4.50 9.95  
 
FE-2   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:112     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEADING WEST 4 3 33 31   11 12 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 29% 2.50 0.85 W
1  MAKES SENSE TO ME 1 4 43½ 43½   31 22 (powe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 19% 4.20 11.45 P
2  ZIPPITY DAY 2 5 55 54½   42 33¾ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 3.05  
5  ISA BREEZE 5 1 2nk 21   52½ 45¾ (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 21% 3.70 3.65  
3  FLAT OUT ANGEL 3 6 68 67   62¾ 56 (wi)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00 27.85  
6  HERMIONE GRANGER 6 2 1nk 11   21 67 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 122 8.00 9.00  
 
FE-3   08/29/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:511 1:172     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 5 3 11 11   1nk 1¼ (cathca)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00 1.30  
1  SILENT WARNING 1 1 31 21   2nk 2¼ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00 3.80  
5  MISS MOLLY LALOU 4 5 53½ 53   43 33¼ (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00 10.20  
3  LUNATICA 3 2 21 31   32½ 43¼ (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 21% 3.80 2.05  
2  MISS SCHILLER 2 4 42½ 41½   511 515 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 122 3.50 26% 2.90 5.50  
SCR  SMARTY ILLUSION               (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00    
 
FE-4   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VIDEO VIDA 7 1 11 11½   13 15¼ (mcclac)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.50 4.30  
  (by OXBOW out of RANSOM ROSE by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 4 3 53½ 54½   34½ 25¼ (carter ang)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 14% 6.40 4.20 P
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
6  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 6 4 31 43½   45 36¾ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 44% 1.30 1.60 S
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
2  BEYOND TALENTED 2 6 41½ 21½   23 47¾ (robill)ALDERSON IAN 120 12.00 3.60  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of GABBYWITHA G by TRIPPI)
1  LITTLE DOMI 1 7 64½ 64¾   56½ 514¼ (maynard desmon)FLORES ESWAN 120 4.00 11% 7.90 6.25  
  (by OLD FORESTER out of LEMONCELLA KID by LEMON DROP KID)
5  LETS SAY THIS 5 2 21 33½   66½ 615¾ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00 13.90  
  (by DYNAMIC SKY out of BRISKLY by CITY ZIP)
3  STREET MAX 3 5 75½ 79¼   78½ 717¼ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00 40.55  
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
FE-5   08/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:233 :483 1:132 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MONASTERY LANE 1 4 54½ 53 56 2nk 13 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 28% 2.60 3.05 W
2  GLITTER BAY 2 2 33 3½ 13 1nk 23 (bailey barbara)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 15% 5.80 2.75 P
5  AWILDAS TREASURE 5 1 2½ 2nk 23 31 33½ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00 21.25  
6  DOODLE DANDY 6 6 610½ 69 610 66¼ 47¼ (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 10.00 61.65  
4  MORE SAVVY 4 3 1½ 1nk 45 43½ 57¼ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 7.50  
3  PLUIE D'AVRIL 3 5 44 42½ 35 53¾ 610 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 1.80 28% 2.60 0.90  
 
FE-6   08/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:224 :454       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NATASHA'S BIZNIZ 1 1 11 11½   13½ 14 (ceccato shar)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 5.00 25% 3.00 10.55 W
4  HONEY GIRL 3 4 34 35   23½ 24 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 16% 5.30 1.50 P
6  PASSION TO PLEASE 5 5 55½ 45   44 37½ (maynard desmon)FLORES ESWAN 120 12.00 5.55  
5  MY GIRL GABBY 4 6 65¾ 67   55 48 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 2.00 2.30  
7  PENNIESFROMABOVE 6 3 45½ 56   65¼ 58½ (steer tom)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00 13% 6.50 8.45  
3  ONE LAST FLING 2 2 21 21½   33½ 69½ (mileni)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 5.15  
SCR  WHATSWRONGWITHYOU               (thom)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
 
FE-7   08/29/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:483 1:143     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  UNION COLONEL 7 1 11 11½   11 1½ (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50 9% 10.00 5.25 W
4  SOCIETY JOE 4 5 21 21½   21 2½ (holder)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 10.00 8.55  
8  BEYOND BORDERS 8 8 65 53¼   41¼ 32¼ (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 3.00 9% 10.70 3.55 S
2  HIATUS 2 2 32 31½   31 42½ (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 42% 1.40 0.85  
1  BEYOND MY DREAMS 1 3 87 85¾   74¼ 53 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00 17.95  
5  A I INITIATIVE 5 7 76½ 75¾   64¼ 63½ (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 15% 5.50 14.75  
6  FOUR KNIGHTS 6 6 43 43   52¾ 73¾ (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00 44.95  
3  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 3 4 54 64¼   84½ 84¾ (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 17.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.