Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-2   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-4   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (2/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   08/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE MORE RING Aug13 Jul24 Jul11 Jun12 May23 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 27% 2.60    
BOUND LUCKY Jul24 Jul18 Jul11 Jun17 Dec02 (ceccato )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 20% 4.00    
CANT GLIDE BY KATZ Aug13 Aug01 Jul24 Jul11 May23 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00    
GUNZIG STINGER Aug13 Jul10 Jun18 Jun06 May23 (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 2.50    
ROYAL BIZ Aug13 Jul10 Jun27 Nov25 Oct17 (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 4.50    
 
FE-2   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKES SENSE TO ME Aug15 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 (powell)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
ZIPPITY DAY Aug15 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 May06 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50    
FLAT OUT ANGEL Jun12 Jun06 Dec09 Nov11 Oct27 (will)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 5.00    
HEADING WEST Aug15 Jul25 Jul10 Jun13 May23 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
ISA BREEZE Aug15 Jul16 Jun26     (simms c)MAILHOT P 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
HERMIONE GRANGER Aug15 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26   (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 8.00    
 
FE-3   08/29/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT WARNING Aug15 Jul31 Jul20 Jul10   (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
MISS SCHILLER Jul31 Jul10 Jun13 May30 May13 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
LUNATICA Aug22 Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 Jun26 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 12.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SMARTY ILLUSION Aug03 Jul06 Nov12 Oct24 Oct11 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 122 3.00    
MISS MOLLY LALOU Aug22 Jul31 Jul16 Jun27 Jun15 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 6.00    
SEEDS OF GRANDEUR Jul11 Jun26 Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00    
 
FE-4   08/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE DOMI Aug06 Jul09 May26 Dec02 Nov12 (maynard desmond)FLORES ESWAN 120 4.00 11% 7.90    
BEYOND TALENTED Jul18 Jul03 Jun18 May20 Apr29 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 120 12.00    
STREET MAX Aug01 Jul03 Jun18 May20 May06 (powell a)HEARN T 122 10.00    
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 Jun06 (carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 14% 6.40    
LETS SAY THIS Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 Oct10 Sep27 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00    
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 May23   (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
VIDEO VIDA Aug06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun18 Jun03 (mcclachr)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.50    
 
FE-5   08/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONASTERY LANE Aug13 Jul25 Jun15 Nov26 Nov05 (buttigieg kevin)SALLES LEO 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
GLITTER BAY Jul25 Jul08 Jun26 Jun06 Apr23 (bailey)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 15% 5.80    
PLUIE D'AVRIL Aug10 Jul25 Jun29 Jun18 Jun06 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
MORE SAVVY Aug01 Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50    
AWILDAS TREASURE Aug13 Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun12 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00    
DOODLE DANDY Aug21 Aug01 Jul11 Jul03 Jun06 (hoad lindsey)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 10.00    
 
FE-6   08/29/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHATSWRONGWITHYOU Jul25 Jul10 Oct11 Sep19   (thomps)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
NATASHA'S BIZNIZ Aug15 Aug01 Jul04 Jun16 May25 (ceccato sharon)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 5.00 25% 3.00    
ONE LAST FLING Aug15 Jul25 Jun13 May30 Mar31 (mileni n)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00    
HONEY GIRL Aug15 Aug01 Jul11 Jun27 Oct24 (maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 16% 5.30    
MY GIRL GABBY Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun16 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 2.00    
PASSION TO PLEASE Aug07 Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 Nov17 (maynard desmond)FLORES ESWAN 120 12.00    
PENNIESFROMABOVE Aug15 Jul25 Jul04 May30 Oct24 (steer tom)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00 13% 6.50    
 
FE-7   08/29/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND MY DREAMS Aug15 Jul31 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 8.00    
HIATUS Jul31 Jul24 Jun26 Jun15 May23 (voyce jeff)SALLES LEO 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 Oct24 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00    
SOCIETY JOE Aug03 Dec02 Nov25 Nov04 Oct16 (holder t)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 10.00    
A I INITIATIVE Aug15 Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
FOUR KNIGHTS Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 May23 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 124 15.00    
UNION COLONEL Aug15 Jul18 Jun06 May30 Oct24 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50 9% 10.00    
BEYOND BORDERS Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May14 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 3.00 9% 10.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.