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Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

FE-2			WIN	(4/5/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$11.90			$5.90				98%
			EXA	(4/5/1)-(4/5/1)						6	$1.00	$6.00	5-1		$18.75			$12.75				213%
			DD	(2/4/5)-(4/5/1)						9	$1.00	$9.00	2-5		$10.10			$1.10				12%
FE-3			DD	(4/5/1)-(9/5/6/7)						12	$1.00	$12.00	5-5		$28.40			$16.40				137%
FE-4			EXA	(1/6/2)-(1/6/2)						6	$1.00	$6.00	1-2		$7.50			$1.50				25%
			TRI	(1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2)						6	$0.20	$1.20	1-2-6		$3.67			$2.47				206%
FE-5			WIN	(7/4/6/1)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$37.10			$29.10				364%
			EXA	(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1)						12	$1.00	$12.00	1-7		$63.45			$51.45				429%
			DD	(1/6/2)-(7/4/6/1)						12	$1.00	$12.00	1-1		$42.35			$30.35				253%
FE-6			DD	(7/4/6/1)-(5/1/7/4)						16	$1.00	$16.00	1-5		$28.75			$12.75				80%
FE-7			WIN	(5/1/3)						3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$14.00			$8.00				133%
			DD	(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/3)						12	$1.00	$12.00	5-1		$19.10			$7.10				59%
FE-8			EXA	(1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)						20	$1.00	$20.00	1-8		$39.90			$19.90				100%
			TRI	(1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)						60	$0.20	$12.00	1-8-2		$45.69			$33.69				281%
			SFT	(1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)						120	$0.20	$24.00	1-8-2-3		$169.84			$145.84				608%
			DD	(5/1/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)						15	$1.00	$15.00	1-1		$26.65			$11.65				78%

Simulator Race results


FE-1			08/21/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($6.25K)					Purse ($19.8K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	FEELING									(robillard jo)CHEYNE A 120						1.60		27%		2.70		0.80	W
5	UNILATERAL									(maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120						3.50		24%		3.20		5.35	P
3	THY KINGDOM									(shirley luth)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110						4.50						6.80
1	DOODLE DANDY									(hoad l)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 117						6.00						8.45
4	TIMMINS									(davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124						2.50		25%		3.00		2.80

FE-2			08/21/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($15.75K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:38
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	DIAMONDBACK									(crete pierr)WENC C 122						3.00		17%		5.00		4.95	W
1	THELONIOUS									(conces)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124						4.50		8%		12.10		3.65	P
6	CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE									(simms c)MAILHOT P 122						4.00						1.05
4	LOQUACIOUS									(cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124						2.50		50%		1.00		1.90
SCR	BOCELLI (IRE)									(keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114						5.00
SCR	CRYPTIC CREED									(albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122						6.00

FE-3			08/21/2023		3300ft	TURF	RC7	FIRM	Claiming ($6.25K)					Purse ($19.8K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 5:06
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	FRERET									(fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122						6.00		23%		3.40		3.20	W
4	HASN'T HIT ME YET									(maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122						10.00						5.85
7	MY FINAL TRICK									(humber joseph)VIVES SOFIA 115						12.00		5%		18.30		3.20	S
8	MS. P'S BELLA									(robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122						8.00						32.05
9	CRUMLIN BIRD									(chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124						3.00		33%		2.00		4.20
1	COLOR FORCE									(johnston t)ELLIS S 122						2.50						3.75
3	SECRET ARCHANGEL									(capi m)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110						15.00						68.95
6	BABY MO									(maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120						4.00		16%		5.40		6.15
SCR	CALL ME BROOKE									(chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117						20.00

FE-4			08/21/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($8K)					Purse ($22.2K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	TAKE A CHANCE									(mileni nic)KING MARIE 124						2.00		25%		3.10		1.00	W
2	CORE									(warner k)MAILHOT P 124						3.50		17%		4.70		5.10	P
6	PAPERBACK HERO									(agostino)BUCHANAN Z 124						3.00		24%		3.10		2.95	S
4	ACE DESTROYER									(robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124						4.00						3.90
3	HALF LIT									(keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119						8.00						15.15
5	ONE PUNCH CHARLIE									(agostino )SEECHARAN A 122						8.00						30.05

FE-5			08/21/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($15.75K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:02
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	SOFIA'S SLUGGER									(robill)ALDERSON IAN 124						8.00		7%		12.90		17.55	W
7	BE THE CHANGE									(robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124						4.00		30%		2.40		2.80	P
2	BIG WARDEN									(voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 122						2.00						0.95
4	COO BIRD									(robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122						3.00		21%		3.80		3.25
3	WONNEFRAC									(humber jo)SEECHARAN A 122						6.00						37.25
6	EXECUTIVE SIGHT									(robillard ju)CHEYNE A 122						8.00		18%		4.50		9.00
5	GLITTER MOUNTAIN									(humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122						10.00						38.35

FE-6			08/21/2023		4620ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($24.6K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	NIKOLAOU									(buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124						2.50		38%		1.60		0.90	W
1	WILBERFORCE									(ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122						3.00		20%		4.00		7.20	P
2	BRIENNE OF TARTH									(robillard ju)CHEYNE A 119						5.00						14.55
4	RENEGADE SERENADE									(capi m)SINGH S 120						12.00		5%		19.00		30.80
6	JMR PURE SENSATION									(chirco)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117						4.00						15.75
3	SENSING HOLIDAY									(wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120						6.00						18.70
7	MAYITO									(loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122						8.00		20%		4.00		1.75

FE-7			08/21/2023		3300ft	DIRT	RC6	FAST	Optional Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($21.3K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	FAFA FOOEY									(ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120						3.50		19%		4.20		6.00	W
2	MOBILIZER									(keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124						8.00						19.90
6	JACK BEANSTALK									(maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122						4.00						3.10
5	SHAKOO MAKOO									(alders)ALDERSON IAN 122						3.00		48%		1.10		2.20
4	PACENZA									(humber joseph)VIVES SOFIA 110						8.00						15.25
3	CRAFTY CONQUEST									(robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122						2.00		12%		7.20		1.45

FE-8			08/21/2023		3300ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Maiden Claimer ($8K)					Purse ($21.3K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 7:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	EYE GOT IT GOOD									(humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120						6.00		41%		1.40		2.30	W
8	TANGERINE TWIST									(robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120						5.00		9%		10.70		13.35	P
2	MISS LINDYSUE									(robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120						4.00		18%		4.50		6.50	S
3	LOKI'S LIGHTNING									(chudobiak )CAMPOS LUIS 118						8.00		5%		19.00		8.95
4	TEQUILAS MELODY									(rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 122						10.00						8.75
7	BABA'S GIRL									(alders)ALDERSON IAN 122						20.00						39.65
5	IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE									(tharrenos willi)MORENO OMAR 118						10.00						27.55
9	ONLY AT MIDNITE									(mandalfi)BUCHANAN Z 120						12.00						46.70
10	COSMIC SHOT									(fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 122						12.00						19.85
6	CRIMSON SKY									(simon )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117						3.00		6%		16.70		1.70



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.