The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5 2 1 $5.85 $5.85 -0.15
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 2-5-3 3 0 $3.38 -1.20
FE-2   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $11.90 $11.90 5.90
    Exacta (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-1 2 1 $18.75 $18.75 12.75
    Trifecta (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 5-1-6 3 0 $5.88 -1.20
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-3 2 0 $1.50 -9.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-5 2 1 $10.10 $10.10 1.10
FE-3   Win (9/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 0.40
    Exacta (9/5/6/7)-(9/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-4 2 0 $16.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (9/5/6/7)-(9/5/6/7)-(9/5/6/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 5-4-7 3 0 $12.70 -4.80
    Daily Double (4/5/1)-(9/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-5 2 1 $28.40 $28.40 16.40
FE-4   Win (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 1 $7.50 $7.50 1.50
    Trifecta (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 1-2-6 3 1 $3.67 $3.67 2.47
    Daily Double (9/5/6/7)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-1 2 1 $7.70 $7.70 -4.30
FE-5   Win (7/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $37.10 $37.10 29.10
    Exacta (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-7 2 1 $63.45 $63.45 51.45
    Trifecta (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 24 $0.20 $4.80 1-7-2 3 0 $31.42 -4.80
    Daily Double (1/6/2)-(7/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-1 2 1 $42.35 $42.35 30.35
FE-6   Win (5/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
    Exacta (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-1 2 1 $11.25 $11.25 -0.75
    Trifecta (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 5-1-2 3 0 $16.46 -4.80
    Daily Double (7/4/6/1)-(5/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 1-5 2 1 $28.75 $28.75 12.75
FE-7   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
    Exacta (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 0 $77.35 -6.00
    Trifecta (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 1-2-6 3 0 $48.70 -1.20
    Daily Double (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-1 2 1 $19.10 $19.10 7.10
FE-8   Win (1/2/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -3.40
    Exacta (1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-8 2 1 $39.90 $39.90 19.90
    Trifecta (1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3) 60 $0.20 $12.00 1-8-2 3 1 $45.69 $45.69 33.69
    Daily Double (5/1/3)-(1/2/8/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 1-1 2 1 $26.65 $26.65 11.65

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
:261 :501 1:144 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING 2 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 11 1(robillard josh)CHEYNE A 120 1.60 27% 2.70 0.80 W
UNILATERAL 5 3 2½ 1nk 2nk 21 2(maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.50 24% 3.20 5.35 P
THY KINGDOM 3 2 43 59 5 54 3(shirley luthia)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 4.50 6.80  
DOODLE DANDY 1 4 3 3 4 34(hoad lin)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 117 6.00 8.45  
TIMMINS 4 5 53 43 32 43 510 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.50 25% 3.00 2.80  
 
FE-2   08/21/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
:243 :48 1:121 1:39   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMONDBACK 3 1 1 15 16 13 1(crete pierre)WENC C 122 3.00 17% 5.00 4.95 W
THELONIOUS 1 2 2 25 26 23 2(concessi)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 4.50 8% 12.10 3.65 P
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 4 3 3 4 48 34 35 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 4.00 1.05  
LOQUACIOUS 2 4 46 36 38 44 411¼ (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 50% 1.00 1.90  
SCR  BOCELLI               (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 5.00    
SCR  CRYPTIC CREED               (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
 
FE-3   08/21/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
:222 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRERET 4 4 3 3   31½ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 6.00 23% 3.40 3.20 W
HASN'T HIT ME YET 3 6 5 5   22½ (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00 5.85  
MY FINAL TRICK 6 1 1nk 1nk   13(humber joseph)VIVES SOFIA 115 12.00 5% 18.30 3.20 S
MS. P'S BELLA 7 3 6 6   64(robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 32.05  
CRUMLIN BIRD 8 2 2nk 2nk   45(chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00 33% 2.00 4.20  
COLOR FORCE 1 8 7 7   76(johnston t)ELLIS S 122 2.50 3.75  
SECRET ARCHANGEL 2 7 85 8   87(capi m)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00 68.95  
BABY MO 5 5 4 4   58(maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 4.00 16% 5.40 6.15  
SCR  CALL ME BROOKE               (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 20.00    
 
FE-4   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
:223 :451 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE A CHANCE 1 3 11 1   11(mileni nick)KING MARIE 124 2.00 25% 3.10 1.00 W
CORE 2 2 3 3   22(warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.50 17% 4.70 5.10 P
PAPERBACK HERO 6 5 55 4   43(agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 124 3.00 24% 3.10 2.95 S
ACE DESTROYER 4 1 21 2   33 4(robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00 3.90  
HALF LIT 3 4 4 5   5512 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 8.00 15.15  
ONE PUNCH CHARLIE 5 6 6 610   610 615 (agostino ro)SEECHARAN A 122 8.00 30.05  
 
FE-5   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
:23 :461 :59     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOFIA'S SLUGGER 1 4 2nk 2nk   2nk 1½ (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 124 8.00 7% 12.90 17.55 W
BE THE CHANGE 7 1 3 3½   1nk 2½ (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00 30% 2.40 2.80 P
BIG WARDEN 2 5 1nk 1nk   3.2 3(voyce jeff)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 0.95  
COO BIRD 4 3 5 53   54(robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 3.00 21% 3.80 3.25  
WONNEFRAC 3 2 4 41   45(humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00 37.25  
EXECUTIVE SIGHT 6 7 7 6   66(robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 8.00 18% 4.50 9.00  
GLITTER MOUNTAIN 5 6 6 77   7711 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 38.35  
 
FE-6   08/21/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
:244 :482 1:134     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NIKOLAOU 5 2 2 22   1nk 1(buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 38% 1.60 0.90 W
WILBERFORCE 1 1 1 12   2nk 2(ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 20% 4.00 7.20 P
BRIENNE OF TARTH 2 6 7 6   33(robillard juli)CHEYNE A 119 5.00 14.55  
RENEGADE SERENADE 4 7 6 7   64(capi m)SINGH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00 30.80  
JMR PURE SENSATION 6 5 3 4   55(chircop )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 15.75  
SENSING HOLIDAY 3 4 5 3   43 610¾ (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 18.70  
MAYITO 7 3 4 5   7710¾ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 20% 4.00 1.75  
 
FE-7   08/21/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:22 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAFA FOOEY 1 4 5 44   1nk 1(ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 19% 4.20 6.00 W
MOBILIZER 2 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 2(keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00 19.90  
JACK BEANSTALK 6 5 4 57   54 3(maynard )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 3.10  
SHAKOO MAKOO 5 6 1nk 1nk   3½ 4(alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 48% 1.10 2.20  
PACENZA 4 2 6 6   65(humber joseph)VIVES SOFIA 110 8.00 15.25  
CRAFTY CONQUEST 3 3 32 32   42 67 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.00 12% 7.20 1.45  
 
FE-8   08/21/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
:224 :471       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE GOT IT GOOD 1 2 1nk 1nk   11(humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 41% 1.40 2.30 W
TANGERINE TWIST 8 1 4 42   22(robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 5.00 9% 10.70 13.35 P
MISS LINDYSUE 2 5 7 75   533 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 4.00 18% 4.50 6.50 S
LOKI'S LIGHTNING 3 7 5 5   64(chudobiak ga)CAMPOS LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.95  
TEQUILAS MELODY 4 6 3.2 31   33 5(rabstein s)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 8.75  
BABA'S GIRL 7 9 9 9   86(alderson)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00 39.65  
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE 5 10 10 10   97(tharrenos william)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00 27.55  
ONLY AT MIDNITE 9 3 6 64   78(mandalfino)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 46.70  
10  COSMIC SHOT 10 4 2nk 2nk   49(fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 122 12.00 19.85  
CRIMSON SKY 6 8 8 8   101012¾ (simon st)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 6% 16.70 1.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.