Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(9/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (9/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/6/7)-(9/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/5/6/7)-(9/5/6/7)-(9/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/5/6/7)-(1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (1/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/2)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/2)-(7/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (7/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1)-(7/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/1)-(5/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4)-(5/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/4)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(1/2/8/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-8   WIN (1/2/8/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3)-(1/2/8/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOODLE DANDY Aug01 Jul11 Jul03 Jun06 May30 (hoad l)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 117 6.00    
2  FEELING Jul18 Jul11 Jun03 Apr22 Feb17 (robillard jo)CHEYNE A 120 1.60 27% 2.70    
3  THY KINGDOM Aug05 Jul24 Jul03 Jun06 May23 (shirley luth)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 4.50    
4  TIMMINS Aug08 Jul18 Jun26 May30 Mar12 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  UNILATERAL Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun02 May19 (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
 
FE-2   08/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELONIOUS Aug07 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun02 (conces)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 4.50 8% 12.10    
SCR  CRYPTIC CREED Jul24 Jun27 Jun13 Oct24 Oct17 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
SCR  BOCELLI (IRE) Aug07 Jul24 Jul16 Jun18 May30 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 5.00    
4  LOQUACIOUS Jul31 Jul10 Jul03 Jun18 Oct24 (cohen michael)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 50% 1.00    
5  DIAMONDBACK Aug07 Jun27 May30 Oct17 Oct03 (crete pierr)WENC C 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
6  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Aug07 Jul16 Jun18 Jun13 May30 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   08/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLOR FORCE Jul14 Jun28 May19 Jun30 May26 (johnston t)ELLIS S 122 2.50    
SCR  CALL ME BROOKE Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 May19 Nov26 (chudob)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 20.00    
3  SECRET ARCHANGEL Aug01 Sep02       (capi m)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 15.00    
4  HASN'T HIT ME YET Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun18 May23 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 10.00    
5  FRERET Jul11 Jun16 May23 Nov03 Oct06 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  BABY MO Jul25 Jun16 May25 Nov03 Oct06 (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 120 4.00 16% 5.40    
7  MY FINAL TRICK Jun06 Apr22 Dec08 Nov19 Nov03 (humber joseph)VIVES SOFIA 115 12.00 5% 18.30    
8  MS. P'S BELLA Aug15 Jul25 Jul18 Jul04 Jun27 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
9  CRUMLIN BIRD Jul25 Jun27 May23 Dec10 Nov10 (chudob)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
FE-4   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE A CHANCE Aug04 Jul18 Jun16 May14 Nov13 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 124 2.00 25% 3.10    
2  CORE Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Jun18 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 3.50 17% 4.70    
3  HALF LIT Aug07 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun18 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 8.00    
4  ACE DESTROYER Jul31 Jul18 Jul03 Nov12 Oct24 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00    
5  ONE PUNCH CHARLIE Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 Jun02 (agostino r)ANDERSON JODEIEN 122 8.00    
6  PAPERBACK HERO Jul31 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 May30 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
FE-5   08/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOFIA'S SLUGGER Jun12 Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 Jul17 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 124 8.00 7% 12.90    
2  BIG WARDEN Aug01 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 Apr23 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 2.00    
3  WONNEFRAC Jul31 Jul18 Jun06 May23 May07 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 122 6.00    
4  COO BIRD Jul31 Jul10 Jun27 Nov11 Oct27 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  GLITTER MOUNTAIN Jul31 Jul10 Jun13 May30 Oct24 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
6  EXECUTIVE SIGHT Jun06 Feb15 Jan22 Nov26 Nov10 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
7  BE THE CHANGE Aug08 Jul10 Jun13 Nov12 Oct24 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
FE-6   08/21/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILBERFORCE Aug01 Jul18 Jul03 Jun18   (ceccato sharon)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  BRIENNE OF TARTH Jul31 Jul20 Jul10 Jun13 May30 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 119 5.00    
3  SENSING HOLIDAY Jul31 Jul07 Jun11 May21 Dec09 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
4  RENEGADE SERENADE Aug13 Jul23 Jun18 May26 Dec09 (capi m)SINGH S 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  NIKOLAOU Aug01 Jul06 Jun11 Sep30 Sep04 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  JMR PURE SENSATION Aug03 Jul06 Jun11 May25 Dec09 (chirco)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00    
7  MAYITO Aug13 Aug03 Jun15 May23 May14 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 20% 4.00    
 
FE-7   08/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAFA FOOEY Aug08 Jul24 Nov28 Oct23 Aug30 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  MOBILIZER Aug11 Jul24 Jul11 Jun18 May30 (keen howard)JOHNSON KIRK 124 8.00    
3  CRAFTY CONQUEST Aug01 Jul08 Jun13 May14 May07 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 2.00 12% 7.20    
4  PACENZA Jun12 May30 May02 Dec13 Nov15 (humber joseph)VIVES SOFIA 110 8.00    
5  SHAKOO MAKOO Jul10 Jun13 May23 Nov10 Oct17 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  JACK BEANSTALK Jul16 Jun26 Jun18 Jun01 Apr23 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00    
 
FE-8   08/21/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE GOT IT GOOD Aug08 Jul24 Jul10 Jun29 Jun17 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 41% 1.40    
2  MISS LINDYSUE Jul13 Jun03       (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  LOKI'S LIGHTNING Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 May30 May23 (chudobiak )CAMPOS LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TEQUILAS MELODY Jul31 Jul16 Jul04     (rabstein claudia )MAILHOT P 122 10.00    
5  IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Aug10 Jul20 Jun17     (tharrenos willi)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00    
6  CRIMSON SKY Jul02 Sep01 Jul23 Jun12 Apr23 (simon )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 3.00 6% 16.70    
7  BABA'S GIRL Jul24 Jul13 Jul01 Jun15 Aug27 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00    
8  TANGERINE TWIST Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jul04 May30 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 5.00 9% 10.70    
9  ONLY AT MIDNITE Jul31 Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 Oct22 (mandalfi)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00    
10  COSMIC SHOT Jul16 Dec01 Nov10 Oct10 Oct04 (fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.