Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
FE-2   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $18.90  
FE-3   Win (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
FE-4   Win (5/8/9/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $21.80  
FE-5   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $5.50 $5.50  
FE-6   Win (1/3/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $15.20 $15.20 5.20
FE-7   Win (9/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $6.10  
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  IS THERE A FOREST 5 1 1nk 1nk   11 11¾ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.60 49% 1.00 0.60 W
1  WEST PAW 1 4 51¾ 53¾   42 21¾ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 9% 10.80 9.25 P
3  REIGN BY REIN 3 3 3.2 3.2   21 32¾ (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 18% 4.60 2.75 S
4  SUBZERO PLUS 4 2 2nk 2nk   31½ 44½ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00 5.20  
2  EASY ACCESS 2 5 41¼ 41¼   55 517½ (newland george)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 6.00 15.50  
 
FE-2   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SENSING HOLIDAY 5 4 43 32   11½ 11¾ (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00 8.45  
6  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 6 5 54½ 42½   31½ 21¾ (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 27% 2.70 3.10 P
2  SOUP SPOON 2 3 1½ 11   21½ 32 (biamonte j)SALLES LEO 120 1.80 35% 1.90 0.55 S
3  NO MORE 3 2 2½ 21   44½ 46¼ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 14% 6.10 5.25  
4  JOE CHROME 4 1 31 53½   57 59¼ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00 29.45  
1  SANTIAGO SALSA 1 6 65½ 67½   68 612 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 10.00 27.45  
 
FE-3   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:223 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PAPERBACK HERO 6 4 32 21½   2½ 1¾ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 9% 10.50 1.80 W
1  LOQUACIOUS 1 5 52½ 44½   42 2¾ (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00 14.95  
4  HIATUS 4 3 11½ 11½   1½ 32¼ (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 120 2.00 42% 1.40 1.95 S
5  PARTY OF NO 5 2 21½ 32½   32 43 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 10% 9.10 11.65  
2  BEYOND MY DREAMS 2 6 63 57   63¾ 53¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00 8.75  
3  LIL GREEN MACHINE 3 7 73½ 67   53½ 65½ (davies ronal)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 18% 4.70 3.05  
7  GLITTER MOUNTAIN 7 1 42½ 78   77¼ 717¼ (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 38.10  
 
FE-4   07/31/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:242 1:142       1:282   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SILENT WARNING 2 2 33 31   41½ 1nk (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00 9.90  
9  LIGHTS AND SIRENS 9 5 1½ 2nk   2½ 2nk (jennings alison)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 13% 6.90 30.90 P
5  TANGERINE TWIST 5 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 3.2 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 25% 2.90 3.60 S
3  RUMOURS FLY 3 4 66 67¾   62¾ 41¼ (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00 4.80  
4  WICKEN CENTS 4 9 1011 109½   95¼ 51½ (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00 33.60  
1  LADY OF THE FORT 1 3 77 88¼   84¼ 62 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 5.00 12% 7.50 1.70  
8  LIGHTNING MARIE 8 7 43 41¼   31½ 73½ (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 24% 3.20 14.60  
10  PRINCESS DIDI 10 8 88 78¼   74¼ 83½ (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 4.00 6% 14.80 4.65  
6  LEA'S SUNSHINE 6 6 53½ 56¼   52½ 94½ (albu)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 12.00 21.80  
7  BELLE FEMME 7 10 99 99¼   109¼ 1014¾ (williams a)HEARN T 120 20.00 67.95  
 
FE-5   07/31/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:221 :45       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  VINNIE VAN GO 6 2 1½ 11½   11½ 13 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 1.80 36% 1.80 1.75 W
1  ACE DESTROYER 1 1 33½ 21½   21½ 23 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 21% 3.80 0.80 P
4  COO BIRD 4 4 45 44½   34 35¼ (robi)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 14% 6.00 9.15 S
2  EXCEED 2 6 56 54¾   44½ 46¾ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00 6.75  
3  WONNEFRAC 3 5 67½ 68¾   67½ 513¾ (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00 19.30  
6  RED MAPLE 5 3 2½ 31½   54½ 615½ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00 47.30  
SCR  PUGIN (IRE)               (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 120 12.00    
 
FE-6   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:114     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HERMIONE GRANGER 3 3 1½ 14   15½ 19 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 4.50 17% 5.10 6.60 W
5  HONEYS DIAMOND 5 8 911 914   910¾ 29 (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00 4.00  
8  LOKI'S LIGHTNING 8 1 51½ 34   25½ 39¾ (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00 12% 7.70 4.45 S
4  TEQUILAS MELODY 4 4 2½ 64½   45¾ 411 (rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50 10.60  
9  ONLY AT MIDNITE 9 6 63½ 44¼   35½ 511 (mandalfino r)RAMSAMMY E 118 8.00 38.20  
7  ALWAY'S ROSIE 7 2 41 24   67¼ 613¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00 18.60  
1  PICK A PENNY 1 9 31 54¼   56¾ 713½ (fournier mark)STEIN JUSTIN 120 3.00 37% 1.70 1.00  
6  SAGED ENERGY 6 5 89 812   810¼ 813¾ (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 82.70  
2  CLOSING BRIEF'S 2 7 74½ 79½   79¾ 918½ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 12.00 14% 6.00 41.85  
 
FE-7   07/31/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:14     1:272   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRIENNE OF TARTH 2 1 51¾ 51¾   2nk 12 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 4.50 2.05  
1  TOTAL BETTY 1 2 41½ 41½   1nk 22 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 1.65  
5  LOADED SECRET 3 5 1nk 1½   3.2 35¾ (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.95 S
9  MENAGERIE 7 4 61¾ 72¼   54¼ 48¼ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 42% 1.40 6.25  
7  DONNARUMMA 5 6 3½ 3½   41¾ 58¼ (buttigie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
6  MISS MOLLY LALOU 4 3 2nk 2½   64¼ 614 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 12.00 29.60  
8  MISS SCHILLER 6 7 72¾ 62¼   77¾ 716¾ (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 29% 2.50 11.60  
SCR  FLAT OUT ANGEL               (wills daniel)MAILHOT P 118 12.00    
SCR  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR               (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.