Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - July 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-4   Win (5/8/9/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FE-5   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-6   Win (1/3/2/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FE-7   Win (9/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST PAW Jul18 Jul04 Jun18 Jun10 Jun01 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 5.00 9% 10.80    
EASY ACCESS Jul25 Jul11 Jun27 Jun06 May23 (newland george)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 6.00    
REIGN BY REIN Jul18 Jun27 Jun18 May30 Dec10 (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 18% 4.60    
SUBZERO PLUS Jul18 Jul11 Jun26 Jun18 Jun06 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00    
IS THERE A FOREST Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May30 Nov10 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.60 49% 1.00    
 
FE-2   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTIAGO SALSA Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 May23 Nov04 (keen howard)ELLIS S 120 10.00    
SOUP SPOON Jun16 Jun01       (biamonte j)SALLES LEO 120 1.80 35% 1.90    
NO MORE Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May23 May14 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
JOE CHROME Jun26 Jun06 May23 May07 Nov10 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 118 8.00    
SENSING HOLIDAY Jul07 Jun11 May21 Dec09 Oct28 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 118 3.00    
BIG BROWN BREWSKII Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 Nov04 (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
FE-3   07/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOQUACIOUS Jul10 Jul03 Jun18 Oct24 Oct03 (davis m)CRAWFORD J 120 12.00    
BEYOND MY DREAMS Jun27 Jun13 May23 Apr04 Mar20 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 6.00    
LIL GREEN MACHINE Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun12 Jun06 (davies ronal)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 3.00 18% 4.70    
HIATUS Jul24 Jun26 Jun15 May23 Dec03 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
PARTY OF NO Jul16 Oct03 Sep27 Sep13 Sep06 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 10% 9.10    
PAPERBACK HERO Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 May30 Oct17 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.00 9% 10.50    
GLITTER MOUNTAIN Jul10 Jun13 May30 Oct24 Oct17 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00    
 
FE-4   07/31/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY OF THE FORT Jul25 Jul16 Jun12 Jul26 Jul04 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 5.00 12% 7.50    
SILENT WARNING Jul20 Jul10       (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 118 10.00    
RUMOURS FLY Jul04 Jun12 May07 Dec09 Nov11 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 10.00    
WICKEN CENTS Jul16 May30 Oct24 Oct10 Sep20 (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 120 12.00    
TANGERINE TWIST Jul16 Jul04 May30 Jul19 Jun27 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 3.00 25% 2.90    
LEA'S SUNSHINE Jul10 Jun26 Jun13     (albu)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 12.00    
BELLE FEMME Jun13 May30 Sep20 Aug29 Jul19 (williams a)HEARN T 120 20.00    
LIGHTNING MARIE Jul16 Jun13 Sep12     (rabstein s)MAILHOT P 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
LIGHTS AND SIRENS Jul16 Sep20 Aug16     (jennings alison)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
10  PRINCESS DIDI May25 Dec10       (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 118 4.00 6% 14.80    
 
FE-5   07/31/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACE DESTROYER Jul18 Jul03 Nov12 Oct24 Oct04 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
EXCEED Jul18 Jun27 Jun09 May19 Apr23 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 122 2.00    
WONNEFRAC Jul18 Jun06 May23 May07 Oct17 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 12.00    
COO BIRD Jul10 Jun27 Nov11 Oct27 Sep25 (robi)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 4.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  PUGIN (IRE) Nov26 Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 Sep13 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 120 12.00    
RED MAPLE Jul18 Jun13 May30 Oct24 Oct10 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 20.00    
VINNIE VAN GO Jul16 Jul10 Jun18 Mar15 Feb17 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
FE-6   07/31/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICK A PENNY Jul10 May05 Dec08 Nov18   (fournier mark)STEIN JUSTIN 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
CLOSING BRIEF'S Jun26 Jun06       (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 118 12.00 14% 6.00    
HERMIONE GRANGER Jul10 Jun26       (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 4.50 17% 5.10    
TEQUILAS MELODY Jul16 Jul04       (rabstein)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.50    
HONEYS DIAMOND Oct07         (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 15.00    
SAGED ENERGY Jul16         (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
ALWAY'S ROSIE Jul16 Jun29       (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 118 4.00    
LOKI'S LIGHTNING Jul10 Jun26 May30 May23 May07 (chudobia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 113 8.00 12% 7.70    
ONLY AT MIDNITE Jul16 Jun26 Jun06 Oct22 Oct14 (mandalfino r)RAMSAMMY E 118 8.00    
 
FE-7   07/31/2023 4620ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTAL BETTY Jul09 Jun22 Sep17 Aug26 Aug06 (dixon patrick)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00    
SCR  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR Jul11 Jun26 Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 120 15.00    
SCR  FLAT OUT ANGEL Jun12 Jun06 Dec09 Nov11 Oct27 (wills daniel)MAILHOT P 118 12.00    
BRIENNE OF TARTH Jul20 Jul10 Jun13 May30 Mar01 (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 120 4.50    
LOADED SECRET Jul11 Nov24 Nov10 Oct13 Sep19 (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS MOLLY LALOU Jul16 Jun27 Jun15 May25 May07 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 118 12.00    
DONNARUMMA Jun26 Jun13 May23 Apr05 Feb20 (buttigie)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
MISS SCHILLER Jul10 Jun13 May30 May13 Dec01 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
MENAGERIE Jul24 Jul13 Jun26 Jun13 May23 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.