Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-6   TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20  3-5-2 $2.03 $0.83 69%
FE-7   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.30 $1.30 33%
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00  3-8 $4.10 $2.10 105%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:132 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 1 2 42½ 45½ 41¼ 2nk 11¼ (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 115 3.50 1.05  
3  BREACH OF TRUST 3 4 1nk 1½ 11 1nk 21¼ (golden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 18% 4.50 2.50 P
4  LETS SAY THIS 4 1 31 31½ 31 31½ 32¼ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 48% 1.10 2.25 S
2  BROADWAY RUCKUS 2 3 2nk 2½ 21 42 410¼ (mandalfino pau)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 12.35  
5  THIS CAT IS BY JAX 5 5 56 511½ 510¼ 57½ 515½ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 4.00 7% 13.60 14.70  
 
FE-2   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LOVE MY CHERYL 2 3 55½ 54   31 12 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 3.00 3.40  
5  GETTING AHEAD 5 4 31 33   21 22 (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 P
1  GREEN GABLES 1 5 1nk 11½   11 34 (simms c)RAMSAMMY E 122 5.00 35% 1.80 4.90 S
3  SNEAKY REBEL 3 1 42½ 43   43 49½ (powell a)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 4.45  
4  PASSION TO PLEASE 4 2 2nk 21½   53½ 513 (maynard desmond)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50 5% 19.00 4.50  
 
FE-3   08/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:231 :464       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  I LIVE BY FAITH 3 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 11 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 0.80  
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
6  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 6 2 52½ 45   41½ 21 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 5.00 13% 6.40 3.20 P
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
4  BUSTA GROOVE 4 4 31 1nk   2nk 32 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 12.00 7% 12.70 8.15 S
  (by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)
2  RELOAD BULLET 2 1 1½ 3½   3½ 42 (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 5.70  
  (by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)
1  LE GRAND GARCON 1 5 65 610½   65 55 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 17% 5.00 10.20  
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of GENTLE JAZZ by MALIBU MOON)
7  SPIRIT BELLE 7 6 42½ 56½   54 69¼ (meli s)ALDERSON IAN 115 2.00 36% 1.80 13.75  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TINKERBELLA by REDDING COLLIERY)
5  WITCH'S NAUGHT 5 7 79 715   78 724½ (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00 73.65  
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
 
FE-4   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:223 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNELL FLICKA 1 1 11½ 11½   11½ 12¾ (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00 4.35  
2  LETS RUN TWO 2 4 41¾ 32½   31½ 22¾ (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.50 62% 0.60 1.30 P
4  SWEET FINALE 4 5 53¾ 53   42½ 33¼ (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 6% 16.40 4.60 S
6  SHELLY THE ROCKET 5 3 21½ 21½   21½ 43¼ (simms )ALDERSON IAN 124 3.00 3.35  
3  SHANGHAI KIMMY 3 2 31½ 42½   54 59½ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
SCR  I'M A CUTIE               (krczmar zelko)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.00    
 
FE-5   08/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123 1:401   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PARTY OF NO 7 6 21 21½ 21 1nk 1½ (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 6% 15.30 2.00 W
6  DIAMONDBACK 6 3 11 11½ 11 2nk 2½ (crete pierr)WENC C 122 10.00 5% 19.00   DQ↓7
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 2 5 75 79¼ 710½ 55½ 32 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 36% 1.70 1.90 P
1  FOUR KNIGHTS 1 2 31½ 33 34 32 42¼ (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00 4.90  
3  THELONIOUS 3 1 43 45½ 49 44 54½ (conces)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 7.50  
5  A I INITIATIVE 5 7 64 65¾ 59 65¾ 611 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 30% 2.30 4.50  
4  BOCELLI (IRE) 4 4 54 55½ 69½ 78¾ 720¾ (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50 15.10  
 
FE-6   08/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :462       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ROLLING HILLS 3 3 21½ 21½   21 1hd (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 1.80 13% 7.00 0.75 W
5  BLUES POWER 5 5 11½ 11½   11 2hd (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.00 48% 1.10 3.20 P
2  M C JACKHAMMER 2 1 32½ 34½   33 32¾ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 15% 5.70 3.90 S
4  GUS'S GAMBLE 4 4 44 46   44½ 45 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 13.10  
1  VOYANT 1 2 55 56   54½ 55½ (alderson anth)DAVID MICHAEL 122 5.00 6.75  
 
FE-7   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:122 1:40   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HALF LIT 1 1 11 13½ 14 13½ 12 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 60% 0.70 1.65 W
8  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 4 2 21 23½ 24 23½ 22 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 13% 6.50 1.15 P
6  UNILATERAL 3 3 33 45 36 35 34¼ (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 10.00 4.25  
5  BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) 2 4 43 34½ 47 48½ 413 (husban)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00 4.60  
SCR  AM PREPARED               (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00    
SCR  BEYOND BORDERS               (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 4.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN               (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 124 3.00    
SCR  UNION COLONEL               (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.