The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.10 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-3 2 0 $5.20 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 1-3-4 3 0 $2.21 -1.20
FE-2   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $8.80 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5 2 0 $13.25 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 2-5-1 3 0 $9.92 -1.20
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 1-2 2 0 $17.85 -9.00
FE-3   Win (1/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $3.60 -8.00
    Exacta (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-6 2 0 $3.85 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 3-6-4 3 0 $2.88 -4.80
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(1/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-3 2 0 $11.05 -12.00
FE-4   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.70 -6.00
    Exacta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 0 $13.75 -6.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 1-2-4 3 0 $7.78 -1.20
    Daily Double (1/4/6/7)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1 2 0 $10.90 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/4/6/7)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-5 2 0 $1.80 -12.00
FE-5   Win (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
    Exacta (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 1 $6.75 $6.75 -5.25
    Trifecta (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $0.20 $4.80 7-2-1 3 0 $5.53 -4.80
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-6 2 0 $4.10 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-7 2 0 $13.60 -12.00
FE-6   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-5 2 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 3-5-2 3 1 $2.03 $2.03 0.83
    Daily Double (2/5/6/7)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-3 2 1 $4.65 $4.65 -7.35
FE-7   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.30 $5.30 1.30
    Exacta (3/8)-(3/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 3-8 2 1 $4.10 $4.10 2.10
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 3-8-6 3 0 $1.26 0.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-3 2 1 $4.55 $4.55 -1.45

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/07/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:231 :47 1:132 1:413   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 1 2 4 4 4 2nk 1(powell a)VIVES SOFIA 115 3.50 1.05  
BREACH OF TRUST 3 4 1nk 1½ 11 1nk 2(goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 18% 4.50 2.50 P
LETS SAY THIS 4 1 31 3 31 33(humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 48% 1.10 2.25 S
BROADWAY RUCKUS 2 3 2nk 2½ 21 42 410¼ (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 12.35  
THIS CAT IS BY JAX 5 5 56 511½ 510¼ 5515½ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 4.00 7% 13.60 14.70  
 
FE-2   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
:221 :454 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE MY CHERYL 2 3 5 54   31 12 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 3.00 3.40  
GETTING AHEAD 5 4 31 33   21 22 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 40% 1.50 1.20 P
GREEN GABLES 1 5 1nk 1   11 34 (simms c)RAMSAMMY E 122 5.00 35% 1.80 4.90 S
SNEAKY REBEL 3 1 4 43   43 4(powell a)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50 4.45  
PASSION TO PLEASE 4 2 2nk 2   5513 (maynard desmond)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50 5% 19.00 4.50  
 
FE-3   08/07/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
:231 :464       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I LIVE BY FAITH 3 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 11 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00 0.80  
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY 6 2 5 45   421 (cart)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 5.00 13% 6.40 3.20 P
BUSTA GROOVE 4 4 31 1nk   2nk 32 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 12.00 7% 12.70 8.15 S
RELOAD BULLET 2 1 1½ 3½   3½ 42 (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00 5.70  
LE GRAND GARCON 1 5 65 610½   65 55 (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 17% 5.00 10.20  
SPIRIT BELLE 7 6 4 5   54 6(meli sal)ALDERSON IAN 115 2.00 36% 1.80 13.75  
WITCH'S NAUGHT 5 7 79 715   78 724½ (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00 73.65  
 
FE-4   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
:223 :463 :593     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNELL FLICKA 1 1 1 1   11(blak)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00 4.35  
LETS RUN TWO 2 4 4 3   32(voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.50 62% 0.60 1.30 P
SWEET FINALE 4 5 5 53   43(agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 6% 16.40 4.60 S
SHELLY THE ROCKET 5 3 2 2   24(simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 124 3.00 3.35  
SHANGHAI KIMMY 3 2 3 4   54 5(robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
SCR  I'M A CUTIE               (krczmar zelko)VIVES SOFIA 119 2.00    
 
FE-5   08/07/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
:24 :473 1:123 1:401   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARTY OF NO 7 6 21 2 21 1nk 1½ (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 6% 15.30 2.00 W
DIAMONDBACK 6 3 11 1 11 2nk 2½ (crete pierre)WENC C 122 10.00 5% 19.00   DQ↓7
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE 2 5 75 7 710½ 532 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 36% 1.70 1.90 P
FOUR KNIGHTS 1 2 3 33 34 32 4(blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00 4.90  
THELONIOUS 3 1 43 4 49 44 5(concessi)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 7.50  
A I INITIATIVE 5 7 64 6 59 6611 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 30% 2.30 4.50  
BOCELLI 4 4 54 5 6 7720¾ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50 15.10  
 
FE-6   08/07/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
:224 :462       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLLING HILLS 3 3 2 2   21 1hd (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 1.80 13% 7.00 0.75 W
BLUES POWER 5 5 1 1   11 2hd (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.00 48% 1.10 3.20 P
M C JACKHAMMER 2 1 3 3   33 3(humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 15% 5.70 3.90 S
GUS'S GAMBLE 4 4 44 46   445 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 13.10  
VOYANT 1 2 55 56   55(alderson anthon)DAVID MICHAEL 122 5.00 6.75  
 
FE-7   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
:232 :464 1:122 1:40   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF LIT 1 1 11 1 14 112 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 60% 0.70 1.65 W
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS 4 2 21 2 24 222 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 13% 6.50 1.15 P
UNILATERAL 3 3 33 45 36 35 3(maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 10.00 4.25  
BLOCKBUSTER 2 4 43 3 47 4413 (husbands)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00 4.60  
SCR  AM PREPARED               (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00    
SCR  BEYOND BORDERS               (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 4.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN               (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 124 3.00    
SCR  UNION COLONEL               (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.