Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-2   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-4   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-6   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   08/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 May26 May12 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 115 3.50    
BROADWAY RUCKUS Jul25 Jul11 May30 Mar18 Mar10 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
BREACH OF TRUST Jul24 Jul03 May30 Dec09 Nov25 (goldenbe)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 18% 4.50    
LETS SAY THIS Jul24 Jul03 Oct10 Sep27 Sep06 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
THIS CAT IS BY JAX Jul25 Jun18       (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 4.00 7% 13.60    
 
FE-2   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREEN GABLES Jul25 Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 Apr30 (simms c)RAMSAMMY E 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
LOVE MY CHERYL Jul25 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 3.00    
SNEAKY REBEL Jul16 Jul10 Jun06 May12 Apr22 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50    
PASSION TO PLEASE Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 Nov17 Nov05 (maynard desmond)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
GETTING AHEAD Jul03 Jun13 May25 Nov17 Oct29 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
FE-3   08/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LE GRAND GARCON         (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
RELOAD BULLET Jul18 Jun18 May23     (agostino geo)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
I LIVE BY FAITH Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 Dec11 Oct28 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
BUSTA GROOVE Jul25 Jun18 Jun03 May07   (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 12.00 7% 12.70    
WITCH'S NAUGHT Jun18 Jun06       (bennett mi)BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00    
AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 Jun06 May23 (cart)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 5.00 13% 6.40    
SPIRIT BELLE Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 Dec10 Nov05 (meli sal)ALDERSON IAN 115 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
FE-4   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNELL FLICKA Jul18 Jul04 Jun13 May23 Jul17 (blak)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00    
LETS RUN TWO Jul10 Jul04 Jun27 Jun06 May12 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.50 62% 0.60    
SHANGHAI KIMMY Jul25 Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET FINALE Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 Oct17 Oct04 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  I'M A CUTIE Jul20 May23 Apr07 Feb22 Feb12 (krczmar zelko)BYNOE DESEAN 119 2.00    
SHELLY THE ROCKET Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 May12 Apr29 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 124 3.00    
 
FE-5   08/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUR KNIGHTS Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 May23 Nov04 (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00    
CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Jul16 Jun18 Jun13 May30 Nov11 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
THELONIOUS Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun02 May20 (concessi)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
BOCELLI (IRE) Jul24 Jul16 Jun18 May30 Nov06 (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50    
A I INITIATIVE Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 Mar22 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
DIAMONDBACK Jun27 May30 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 (crete pierre)WENC C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
PARTY OF NO Jul31 Jul16 Oct03 Sep27 Sep13 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 6% 15.30    
 
FE-6   08/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOYANT Jun27 Jun12 Sep27 Sep20 Aug08 (alderson anthon)DAVID MICHAEL 122 5.00    
M C JACKHAMMER Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 Jun06 Oct17 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
ROLLING HILLS Jul11 Jun23 Jun11 Dec09 Nov10 (agos)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 1.80 13% 7.00    
GUS'S GAMBLE Jul11 Jun18 May23 Sep27 Sep06 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
BLUES POWER Jun12 Oct15 Aug31     (goldenberg jam)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
FE-7   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNION COLONEL Jul18 Jun06 May30 Oct24 Oct11 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50    
SCR  AM PREPARED Jul24 Jul03 May23 Nov03 Oct02 (cathcart steven)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00    
HALF LIT Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun18 Jun06 (keen howar)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  BEYOND BORDERS Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May14 (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 4.00    
BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May19 (husbands)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00    
UNILATERAL Jul24 Jul10 Jun02 May19 Apr30 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 10.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN Jun13 Nov03 Oct16 Sep12 Aug09 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 124 3.00    
THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 Oct24 Oct17 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.