Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(7/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-3   WIN (7/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4)-(7/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/6/4)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-7   WIN (3/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/8)-(3/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/07/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M NO SLEEPY JOE Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 May26 May12 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 115 3.50    
2  BROADWAY RUCKUS Jul25 Jul11 May30 Mar18 Mar10 (mandalfino pau)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
3  BREACH OF TRUST Jul24 Jul03 May30 Dec09 Nov25 (golden)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.00 18% 4.50    
4  LETS SAY THIS Jul24 Jul03 Oct10 Sep27 Sep06 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
5  THIS CAT IS BY JAX Jul25 Jun18       (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 118 4.00 7% 13.60    
 
FE-2   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN GABLES Jul25 Jul13 Jun22 Jun02 Apr30 (simms c)RAMSAMMY E 122 5.00 35% 1.80    
2  LOVE MY CHERYL Jul25 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 (robillard ju)CHEYNE A 120 3.00    
3  SNEAKY REBEL Jul16 Jul10 Jun06 May12 Apr22 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 124 2.50    
4  PASSION TO PLEASE Jul18 Jun27 Jun10 Nov17 Nov05 (maynard desmond)VIVES SOFIA 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
5  GETTING AHEAD Jul03 Jun13 May25 Nov17 Oct29 (mitche)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.00 40% 1.50    
 
FE-3   08/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LE GRAND GARCON         (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
  (by CONQUEST CURLINATE out of GENTLE JAZZ by MALIBU MOON)
2  RELOAD BULLET Jul18 Jun18 May23     (agostino g)JOHNSON KIRK 122 4.00    
  (by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)
3  I LIVE BY FAITH Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 Dec11 Oct28 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 3.00    
  (by GIANT GIZMO out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
4  BUSTA GROOVE Jul25 Jun18 Jun03 May07   (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 12.00 7% 12.70    
  (by ARPISTA out of SYDNEY'S SPIRIT by GIANT GIZMO)
5  WITCH'S NAUGHT Jun18 Jun06       (bennett )BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00    
  (by NAUGHTY NEW YORKER out of BEWITCHING LADY by SCAT DADDY)
6  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY Jul25 Jul11 Jul03 Jun06 May23 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 5.00 13% 6.40    
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
7  SPIRIT BELLE Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 Dec10 Nov05 (meli s)ALDERSON IAN 115 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TINKERBELLA by REDDING COLLIERY)
 
FE-4   08/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNELL FLICKA Jul18 Jul04 Jun13 May23 Jul17 (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 4.00    
2  LETS RUN TWO Jul10 Jul04 Jun27 Jun06 May12 (voyce jeff)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.50 62% 0.60    
3  SHANGHAI KIMMY Jul25 Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 Aug09 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET FINALE Jul25 Jul04 Jun12 Oct17 Oct04 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 6% 16.40    
SCR  I'M A CUTIE Jul20 May23 Apr07 Feb22 Feb12 (krczmar zelko)BYNOE DESEAN 119 2.00    
6  SHELLY THE ROCKET Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 May12 Apr29 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 124 3.00    
 
FE-5   08/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOUR KNIGHTS Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 May23 Nov04 (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 124 10.00    
2  CRUMLIN EXPERIENCE Jul16 Jun18 Jun13 May30 Nov11 (simms c)MAILHOT P 122 2.50 36% 1.70    
3  THELONIOUS Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun02 May20 (conces)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
4  BOCELLI (IRE) Jul24 Jul16 Jun18 May30 Nov06 (keen h)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50    
5  A I INITIATIVE Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 Mar22 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
6  DIAMONDBACK Jun27 May30 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19 (crete pierr)WENC C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PARTY OF NO Jul31 Jul16 Oct03 Sep27 Sep13 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 6% 15.30    
 
FE-6   08/07/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOYANT Jun27 Jun12 Sep27 Sep20 Aug08 (alderson anth)DAVID MICHAEL 122 5.00    
2  M C JACKHAMMER Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 Jun06 Oct17 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
3  ROLLING HILLS Jul11 Jun23 Jun11 Dec09 Nov10 (ag)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 1.80 13% 7.00    
4  GUS'S GAMBLE Jul11 Jun18 May23 Sep27 Sep06 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
5  BLUES POWER Jun12 Oct15 Aug31     (goldenberg j)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
FE-7   08/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNION COLONEL Jul18 Jun06 May30 Oct24 Oct11 (warner k)MAILHOT P 124 2.50    
SCR  AM PREPARED Jul24 Jul03 May23 Nov03 Oct02 (cathcart stev)DAVID MICHAEL 122 6.00    
3  HALF LIT Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun18 Jun06 (keen how)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 60% 0.70    
SCR  BEYOND BORDERS Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 May14 (agostino roy)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 114 4.00    
5  BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May19 (husban)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00    
6  UNILATERAL Jul24 Jul10 Jun02 May19 Apr30 (maynard desm)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 10.00    
SCR  DOCTOR UPTOWN Jun13 Nov03 Oct16 Sep12 Aug09 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 124 3.00    
8  THE NEWFIE EXPRESS Jul24 Jul03 Jun18 Oct24 Oct17 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.