Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.40  
FE-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
FE-3   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
FE-4   Win (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $3.40  
FE-5   Win (2/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
FE-6   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
FE-7   Win (6/2/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :453 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J M R GEMMA 1 4 22 2   2½ 1 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 3.50 3.70  
JARA 3 5 32 3   32 2 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 20% 4.00 2.80 P
HASN'T HIT ME YET 4 3 5 4   4 3 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 10.20  
DETERMINED LOVE 5 1 12 1   1½ 4 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 124 1.60 31% 2.20 1.45  
FRESH DREAMS 2 2 4 510   5 5 (keen how)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00 18% 4.40 3.20  
 
FE-2   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAFA FOOEY 3 2 3.2 1nk   11 1nk (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 32% 2.20 2.45 W
BRADY O'BRADY 6 4 5 5   31 2nk (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 6.80  
W W SPRINGTIME 5 1 2nk 2nk   21 31 (sullivan elliott)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00 1.70  
BE THE CHANGE 4 3 4 4   4 4 (robillar)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.50 11.85  
ARTIE MY BOY 1 6 1nk 3½   5 5 (robillard julie)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 40% 1.50 4.45  
BEASTFROMTHEEAST 2 5 6 616½   616¼ 613¾ (maver mario)CRAWFORD J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
 
FE-3   08/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMMINS 4 2 43 3 21 1 1 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 41% 1.40 0.40 W
SANTIAGO SALSA 5 5 54 54 44 2 2 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 12.00 5% 19.00 11.15 P
GOLDEN CHELLA 2 4 1 1½ 11 3 37 (sullivan elliott)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.80 3.20  
IRIE ISLAND MAN 3 1 2 2½ 3 4 47 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 33% 2.00 12.35  
LUNATICA 1 3 32 4 55 57 512¼ (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 117 3.50 7.75  
SCR  HEAR ME KNOCKING               (capi lou)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 4.00    
 
FE-4   08/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS D'S PRIDE 5 1 2 23   2 11 (albu ken)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 0.70  
CHICAGO FREDDY 1 6 1 13   1 21 (goldenberg m)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 33% 2.10 8.60 P
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 4 4 6 6   6 3 (sullivan elliott)VIVES SOFIA 110 4.00 37% 1.70 4.95 S
EL BANDOLERO 3 5 5 57   56 4 (humb)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 40.75  
MY SONG BABY 7 2 33 44   3 56 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 8.00 13.40  
MY WROTE 6 3 76 7   7 6 (maver mario)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 6% 15.90 3.30  
FIRST ROUND 2 7 44 34   4 7 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 120 5.00 28.20  
 
FE-5   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBEROLDTYMES 2 3 1 13   1 1 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 33% 2.00 0.50 W
ORBITING THE SKY 4 5 68 67   56 2 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 6.00 11% 8.20 10.25 P
LOUEMMA 6 2 45 3   3 3 (blake j)DAVID MICHAEL 124 5.00 8.55  
WEST PAW 1 6 2 23   2 4 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 11% 8.30 5.25  
KOZY KAT 5 1 33 4   4 5 (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50 5.30  
J M R BOLD VISION 3 4 55 5   6 613¾ (albu)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 8.00 37.85  
SCR  JUNGLE GODDESS               (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
FE-6   08/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY MARCH 4 4 5 5   4 1¾ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 21% 3.90 1.70 W
RAGING BEAR 2 3 1nk 1   1 2¾ (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 3.50 3.15  
ACTION POINT 1 5 3½ 4   2 3 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 122 6.00 8% 11.10 4.80 S
ERNIE'S MARTINI 3 1 2nk 2   3 4 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 2.60  
WORKIN OUT 5 2 4¾ 3   5 59 (gilifort)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 1.60 43% 1.30 5.65  
 
FE-7   08/08/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY WITH AMY 2 6 4 3   1nk 1nk (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 24% 3.20 1.10 W
ASHWICKEN 7 7 6 6   65 2nk (chudobia)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.50 8% 11.00 11.45 P
PERFECTION SAVER 5 4 7 7   5 33 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 35% 1.90 3.30 S
MIZZ GEMMA 6 5 5 4   43 4 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 15.00 34.15  
EYE GOT IT GOOD 3 1 1nk 2nk   3 5 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 4.90  
SOPRISE ASTRAY 8 2 3 1nk   2nk 613¼ (maver mario)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.95  
SUPER FOLLOW 1 8 917¼ 918¼   917 718¼ (neubauer)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 10% 8.70 17.20  
10  LOADED MISTRESS 9 9 8 8   815 826¼ (maynard desmond)VIVES SOFIA 115 20.00 35.95  
NAVY BLUE ANGEL 4 3 2nk 5   714 929 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 20.00 18.00  
SCR  SILENT CREEK               (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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