Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.90 $0.90 15%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:223 :453 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J M R GEMMA 1 4 22 23½   2½ 13½ (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 3.50 3.70  
3  JARA 3 5 32 35½   32 23½ (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 20% 4.00 2.80 P
4  HASN'T HIT ME YET 4 3 52¾ 47½   43½ 34¾ (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 10.20  
5  DETERMINED LOVE 5 1 12 13½   1½ 45¾ (mileni nic)KING MARIE 124 1.60 31% 2.20 1.45  
2  FRESH DREAMS 2 2 42¼ 510   54½ 55¾ (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00 18% 4.40 3.20  
 
FE-2   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FAFA FOOEY 3 2 3.2 1nk   11 1nk (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 32% 2.20 2.45 W
6  BRADY O'BRADY 6 4 54¼ 52½   31 2nk (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 4.00 6.80  
5  W W SPRINGTIME 5 1 2nk 2nk   21 31 (sullivan elliot)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00 1.70  
4  BE THE CHANGE 4 3 41¼ 41½   41¼ 43¼ (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.50 11.85  
1  ARTIE MY BOY 1 6 1nk 3½   52¼ 54¾ (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 40% 1.50 4.45  
2  BEASTFROMTHEEAST 2 5 64¾ 616½   616¼ 613¾ (maver mario)CRAWFORD J 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
 
FE-3   08/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TIMMINS 4 2 43 31½ 21 12½ 14¾ (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 41% 1.40 0.40 W
6  SANTIAGO SALSA 5 5 54 54 44 22½ 24¾ (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 12.00 5% 19.00 11.15 P
3  GOLDEN CHELLA 2 4 11½ 1½ 11 32½ 37 (sullivan elliot)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.80 3.20  
4  IRIE ISLAND MAN 3 1 21½ 2½ 31½ 43½ 47 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 33% 2.00 12.35  
1  LUNATICA 1 3 32 41½ 55 57 512¼ (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 117 3.50 7.75  
SCR  HEAR ME KNOCKING               (capi l)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 4.00    
 
FE-4   08/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :47       :60   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MISS D'S PRIDE 5 1 21½ 23   21½ 11 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00 0.70  
1  CHICAGO FREDDY 1 6 11½ 13   11½ 21 (goldenberg james )MAILHOT P 120 3.00 33% 2.10 8.60 P
4  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 4 4 65½ 67¼   66¼ 34¾ (sullivan elliot)VIVES SOFIA 110 4.00 37% 1.70 4.95 S
3  EL BANDOLERO 3 5 55½ 57   56 44¾ (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 5% 19.00 40.75  
7  MY SONG BABY 7 2 33 44   34½ 56 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 8.00 13.40  
6  MY WROTE 6 3 76 78¼   77¼ 67¼ (maver mario)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 6% 15.90 3.30  
2  FIRST ROUND 2 7 44 34   44½ 77¾ (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120 5.00 28.20  
 
FE-5   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REMEMBEROLDTYMES 2 3 12½ 13   13½ 15¾ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 33% 2.00 0.50 W
4  ORBITING THE SKY 4 5 68 67   56 25¾ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 6.00 11% 8.20 10.25 P
7  LOUEMMA 6 2 45 33½   33½ 36¾ (blake michael)DAVID MICHAEL 124 5.00 8.55  
1  WEST PAW 1 6 22½ 23   23½ 47¾ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 11% 8.30 5.25  
6  KOZY KAT 5 1 33 43½   44½ 58½ (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50 5.30  
3  J M R BOLD VISION 3 4 55 55½   66½ 613¾ (al)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 8.00 37.85  
SCR  JUNGLE GODDESS               (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
 
FE-6   08/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VICTORY MARCH 4 4 51¼ 54¼   41¾ 1¾ (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 21% 3.90 1.70 W
2  RAGING BEAR 2 3 1nk 12½   11½ 2¾ (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 3.50 3.15  
1  ACTION POINT 1 5 3½ 42¾   21½ 36¼ (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 122 6.00 8% 11.10 4.80 S
3  ERNIE'S MARTINI 3 1 2nk 22½   31½ 46¼ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 2.60  
5  WORKIN OUT 5 2 4¾ 32½   53¼ 59 (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 1.60 43% 1.30 5.65  
 
FE-7   08/08/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOLIDAY WITH AMY 2 6 41¾ 31½   1nk 1nk (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 24% 3.20 1.10 W
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of PROUD VIXEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  ASHWICKEN 7 7 65¾ 62¾   65 2nk (chudob)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.50 8% 11.00 11.45 P
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
6  PERFECTION SAVER 5 4 76¾ 74¾   53½ 33 (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 35% 1.90 3.30 S
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  MIZZ GEMMA 6 5 54¾ 41¾   43 44¼ (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 15.00 34.15  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of MADAME G by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  EYE GOT IT GOOD 3 1 1nk 2nk   31½ 54¾ (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 4.90  
  (by MR. SCOTTY out of ONE WAY EXPRESS by ONE WAY LOVE)
9  SOPRISE ASTRAY 8 2 31½ 1nk   2nk 613¼ (maver mario)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 9.95  
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of CAMP SURPRISE by FOREST CAMP)
1  SUPER FOLLOW 1 8 917¼ 918¼   917 718¼ (neubau)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 10% 8.70 17.20  
  (by SUPER SAVER out of FOLLOW by SEEKING THE GOLD)
10  LOADED MISTRESS 9 9 87¼ 86¼   815 826¼ (maynard desmond)VIVES SOFIA 115 20.00 35.95  
  (by RELOAD out of ASHEBA by QUIET AMERICAN)
5  NAVY BLUE ANGEL 4 3 2nk 51¾   714 929 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 20.00 18.00  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of BEAUTY'S INA TIZZY by TIZNOW)
SCR  SILENT CREEK               (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
  (by SILENT NAME (JPN) out of CREEKSIDE CAFE by TRAJECTORY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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