Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!

Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FE-1   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/2)-(1/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-4   WIN (4/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3)-(4/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/3)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(6/2/1/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
FE-7   WIN (6/2/1/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/1/8/9)-(6/2/1/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/1/8/9)-(6/2/1/8/9)-(6/2/1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FE-1   08/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J M R GEMMA Jul25 Jul04 Jun26 Jun12 Nov10 (simms )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 3.50    
FRESH DREAMS Jul25 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May23 (keen h)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00 18% 4.40    
JARA Jul04 Jun06 Apr29 Apr07 Sep05 (davis m)MAILHOT P 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
HASN'T HIT ME YET Jul25 Jul04 Jun18 May23 May14 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00    
DETERMINED LOVE Jun18 Jun06 Jan28 Oct10 Aug08 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
 
FE-2   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTIE MY BOY Jul03 Jun12 May30 Apr04 Feb22 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
BEASTFROMTHEEAST Jul11 Apr19 Oct04 Sep06 Apr10 (maver mario)CRAWFORD J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FAFA FOOEY Jul24 Nov28 Oct23 Aug30 Aug16 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
BE THE CHANGE Jul10 Jun13 Nov12 Oct24 Oct17 (robill)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.50    
W W SPRINGTIME Jul20 Jul01 Jun15 May27 May07 (sullivan elliot)VIVES SOFIA 119 3.00    
BRADY O'BRADY Jul10 May30 Oct24 Oct17 Sep27 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 4.00    
 
FE-3   08/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNATICA Jul24 Jul11 Jun26 May30 Dec08 (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 117 3.50    
SCR  HEAR ME KNOCKING Jul11 Jul03 Jun18 May27 Sep16 (capi l)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 110 4.00    
GOLDEN CHELLA Jul13 Apr03 Mar15 Feb22 Feb08 (sullivan elliot)VIVES SOFIA 117 1.80    
IRIE ISLAND MAN Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 Apr12 (powell a)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 33% 2.00    
TIMMINS Jul18 Jun26 May30 Mar12 Feb22 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
SANTIAGO SALSA Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 May23 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   08/08/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICAGO FREDDY Jul18 Jun18 May26 May13   (goldenberg james )MAILHOT P 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
FIRST ROUND Jul25 Jul18 Jun18 May30 May07 (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 120 5.00    
EL BANDOLERO May23 Oct11       (hu)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Jul12 Jun09 May25 May02 Mar29 (sullivan elliot)VIVES SOFIA 110 4.00 37% 1.70    
MISS D'S PRIDE Jul25 Jul18 Jun13 Oct04 Sep19 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.00    
MY WROTE Mar29 Oct02 Mar06     (maver mario)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 6% 15.90    
MY SONG BABY Jul21         (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 8.00    
 
FE-5   08/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST PAW Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 Jun18 Jun10 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
REMEMBEROLDTYMES Jul18 Jul04 Jun12 May30 Oct10 (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
J M R BOLD VISION Jul18 Jul04 May25 May13 Dec01 (al)BOULANGER CHANCE 124 8.00    
ORBITING THE SKY Jul11 Jun27 Mar07 Feb14 Feb07 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 122 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  JUNGLE GODDESS Jul18 Jun27 Jun12 May23 May01 (ceccato sharon)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 15% 5.50    
KOZY KAT Aug01 Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 Oct10 (ezra d)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.50    
LOUEMMA Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 Sep05 Aug16 (blake michael)DAVID MICHAEL 124 5.00    
 
FE-6   08/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTION POINT Jul24 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 Oct17 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 122 6.00 8% 11.10    
RAGING BEAR Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 May28 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 120 3.50    
ERNIE'S MARTINI Jul25 Jun22 Jun10 May20 Dec04 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50    
VICTORY MARCH Jul03 Jun16 May26 Apr21 Mar10 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 21% 3.90    
WORKIN OUT Jul18 Jun27 May30 May06 Oct17 (gilifo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 1.60 43% 1.30    
 
FE-7   08/08/2023 4620ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER FOLLOW Jun26 Feb27 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 (neubauer micha)STEIN JUSTIN 120 8.00 10% 8.70    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of FOLLOW by SEEKING THE GOLD)
HOLIDAY WITH AMY Jul23 Jul02 Jun11 May19 May05 (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of PROUD VIXEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
EYE GOT IT GOOD Jul24 Jul10 Jun29 Jun17 May26 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00    
  (by MR. SCOTTY out of ONE WAY EXPRESS by ONE WAY LOVE)
SCR  SILENT CREEK Jul01 Jun16 Dec08 Nov18 Oct20 (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
  (by SILENT NAME (JPN) out of CREEKSIDE CAFE by TRAJECTORY)
NAVY BLUE ANGEL Jul13 Jun23 May27 Dec09   (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 20.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of BEAUTY'S INA TIZZY by TIZNOW)
PERFECTION SAVER Apr25 Jan19 Nov16     (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
MIZZ GEMMA Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 Jun06 Oct24 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 15.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of MADAME G by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ASHWICKEN Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 May07 Mar29 (chudobiak gary)HOYTE JASON 122 4.50 8% 11.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of WARM FRONT by WAR FRONT)
SOPRISE ASTRAY Apr19 Sep05       (maver mario)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of CAMP SURPRISE by FOREST CAMP)
10  LOADED MISTRESS Jul13 Jun16 May27 May07 Dec09 (maynard desmond)VIVES SOFIA 115 20.00    
  (by RELOAD out of ASHEBA by QUIET AMERICAN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.