Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.30 $2.30  
FE-2   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 2.60
FE-3   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.00  
FE-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $26.40  
FE-5   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $12.00  
FE-6   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
FE-7   Win (4/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.50 $6.50  

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BANG BLUE 5 2 1½ 13   1 1 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00 31% 2.30 0.15 W
ONLY BELIEVE 4 1 3½ 23   2 2 (corbett )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 5.00 14.35  
LUNATICA 3 4 5 59   411 310¾ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 3.00 22% 3.50 12.30 S
MISS MOLLY LALOU 1 5 4 45   3 411¼ (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 1.80 4.90  
HEAR ME KNOCKING 2 3 2½ 34   513 525½ (capi m)SINGH S 120 8.00 15.50  
 
FE-2   08/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACTION POINT 2 3 37 33   1nk 1nk (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 122 4.50 25% 3.00 3.30 W
RAGING BEAR 4 2 22 1½   2nk 2nk (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 2.00 29% 2.50 0.70 P
GRAND GIZMO 1 5 12 2½   3 3 (davis m)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00 4.15  
BIG BROWN BREWSKII 6 1 410 4   4 4 (blake mi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 24% 3.10 9.85  
LE GRAND GARCON 3 6 513 515½   59 514¾ (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 10.00 32.40  
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE 5 4 613½ 617½   611 622 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00 11.30  
 
FE-3   08/22/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:252 :483 1:133     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WENJACK 2 2 23 24   11 1 (grant carlos)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.50 1.50  
WILLIAM BOY 3 4 3 3   3 2 (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 6% 17.10 12.80 P
VETTORI KIN (BRZ) 1 1 13 14   21 3 (adamo anthony)DAVID MICHAEL 120 2.00 73% 0.40 3.65 S
DOCTOR UPTOWN 7 3 4 58   55 4 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 1.45  
SAVVY'S SISTER 6 6 5 48   44 5 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 117 4.00 22.05  
BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) 5 5 610½ 710   6 6 (husbands antho)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 15.00 29.30  
AM PREPARED 4 7 711 6   77 7 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 15.00 5% 19.00 25.70  
SCR  BRADY O'BRADY               (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL               (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00    
 
FE-4   08/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:124 1:41   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY RUCKUS 1 1 1 13 12 11 1 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 12.20  
BREACH OF TRUST 4 3 2 23 22 21 2 (goldenberg m)SINGH S 122 3.50 53% 0.90 1.95 P
OPEECHEE 5 4 54 36 35 3 36 (grant carlos)STEIN JUSTIN 120 2.50 13% 6.40 1.40 S
NGABE 3 2 43 46 4 46 416 (grant ca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 13% 6.50 4.95  
WIN THE DRAW 6 5 67 5 5 58 522¼ (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 5.00 4.65  
PRETZLICK 2 6 32 611¼ 630½ 632 6100 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 8.00 31.40  
SCR  THIS CAT IS BY JAX               (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 6.00    
 
FE-5   08/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:222 :454       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEBATOWN 2 7 7 7   72 1nk (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 5.00 5.00  
GIMBALA 3 3 42 5   5½ 2nk (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 26% 2.80 4.25 P
GETTING AHEAD 4 1 2½ 3.2   1nk 3 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 21% 3.80 9.45 S
J M R GEMMA 5 8 53 4   3.2 42 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00 5.30  
FOREST B 6 4 31 1nk   2nk 5 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00 14% 6.00 2.90  
LOVE MY CHERYL 8 5 6 6   62 65 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 3.50 5.40  
BILLYJANE 1 2 1½ 2nk   4¼ 7 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 15.00 4.95  
TRISH THE DISH 7 6 8 811¾   8 8 (capi m)SINGH S 122 10.00 12% 7.20 66.10  
 
FE-6   08/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:23 :471       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIN'S WAY 6 7 6 64   2nk 1nk (fournier)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.00 73% 0.40 0.75 W
VERY DEBONAIRE 8 3 1½ 11   1nk 2nk (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 10.00 30.15  
VOYANT 3 4 4 42   3½ 3 (alderson a)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 14.00  
I LIVE BY FAITH 5 5 5 53   5 4 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 119 4.50 5.50  
M C JACKHAMMER 2 1 2½ 21   4¾ 5 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.35  
BODIE 1 6 8 85   72 6 (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 5% 19.00 10.55  
PRINCE FOR A DAY 4 2 3 3   6 77 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 15.00 36.20  
DON'T STOP DREAMIN 7 8 7 75   85 812 (ceccato sharon)STEIN JUSTIN 120 3.00 4.70  
 
FE-7   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLY THE ROCKET 8 7 4 3½   1nk 1½ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 21% 3.90 2.25 W
IS THERE A FOREST 3 2 1nk 1½   2nk 2½ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 46% 1.20 1.55 P
LOUEMMA 1 1 3½ 63   31 31 (blake j)DAVID MICHAEL 124 15.00 11.50  
SUBZERO PLUS 5 4 6 5   4 4 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
SHANGHAI KIMMY 7 3 2nk 2½   5 56 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 12.00 6% 16.80 11.10  
I'M A CUTIE 6 6 53 4   6 6 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 7.35  
WEST PAW 2 8 8 7   7 7 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 6.00 25.95  
KOZY KAT 4 5 7 8   8 810½ (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 20.00 29.20  
SCR  MY GIRL GABBY               (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.