Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fort Erie
Tuesday - August 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FE-2   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-3   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-5   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FE-6   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FE-7   Win (4/9/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FE-1   08/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MOLLY LALOU Jul31 Jul16 Jun27 Jun15 May25 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 1.80    
HEAR ME KNOCKING Jul11 Jul03 Jun18 May27 Sep16 (capi m)SINGH S 120 8.00    
LUNATICA Aug08 Jul24 Jul11 Jun26 May30 (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 122 3.00 22% 3.50    
ONLY BELIEVE Aug01 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 May30 (corbett )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 5.00    
BIG BANG BLUE Jul18 Jul04 Jun22 May26 Jun12 (adamo anthony)VIVES SOFIA 115 2.00 31% 2.30    
 
FE-2   08/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND GIZMO Aug01 Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 May20 (davis m)MORENO OMAR 122 3.00    
ACTION POINT Aug08 Jul24 Jul18 Jul11 Jun27 (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 122 4.50 25% 3.00    
LE GRAND GARCON Aug07         (steer tom)MAILHOT P 122 10.00    
RAGING BEAR Aug08 Aug01 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 (mileni nick)KING MARIE 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
I'M NO SLEEPY JOE Aug07 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 May26 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 115 5.00    
BIG BROWN BREWSKII Jul31 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 (blake mi)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 4.00 24% 3.10    
 
FE-3   08/22/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VETTORI KIN (BRZ) Jul10 May23 Mar24 Mar04 Jan25 (adamo anthony)DAVID MICHAEL 120 2.00 73% 0.40    
WENJACK Aug11 Aug03 Jul21 Jul07 Jun01 (grant carlos)STEIN JUSTIN 122 3.50    
WILLIAM BOY Jul24 Jul10 Jul03 Jun13 Oct03 (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 6% 17.10    
AM PREPARED Jul24 Jul03 May23 Nov03 Oct02 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
BLOCKBUSTER (ARG) Aug07 Jul24 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 (husbands antho)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 15.00    
SAVVY'S SISTER Jul25 Jul11 Jun13 Jun06 May23 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 117 4.00    
DOCTOR UPTOWN Aug11 Jun13 Nov03 Oct16 Sep12 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
SCR  BRADY O'BRADY Aug08 Jul10 May30 Oct24 Oct17 (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00    
SCR  HADDASSAH'S DEVIL Jul16 Jul03 May30 Jan07 Dec21 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 2.00    
 
FE-4   08/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY RUCKUS Aug07 Jul25 Jul11 May30 Mar18 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00    
PRETZLICK Aug06         (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 8.00    
NGABE Aug04 Jul08 Jun16 May28 May12 (grant ca)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.50 13% 6.50    
SCR  THIS CAT IS BY JAX Aug07 Jul25 Jun18     (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 6.00    
BREACH OF TRUST Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 May30 Dec09 (goldenberg m)SINGH S 122 3.50 53% 0.90    
OPEECHEE Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 May28 May12 (grant carlos)STEIN JUSTIN 120 2.50 13% 6.40    
WIN THE DRAW Jul25 Jul07 Jun16 May28 Dec09 (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 5.00    
 
FE-5   08/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BILLYJANE Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 May13 Apr22 (maynard desmon)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 15.00    
SHEBATOWN Aug15 Jul20 Jul02 May27 May05 (pion sylvain)HOYTE JASON 124 5.00    
GIMBALA Jul16 Jul04 Jun18 Jun06 Oct24 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
GETTING AHEAD Aug07 Jul03 Jun13 May25 Nov17 (mitchell)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
J M R GEMMA Aug08 Jul25 Jul04 Jun26 Jun12 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00    
FOREST B Jul16 Jun06 Apr30 Dec01 Oct29 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 117 8.00 14% 6.00    
TRISH THE DISH Jul25 Jul14 Jun29 May27 Mar24 (capi m)SINGH S 122 10.00 12% 7.20    
LOVE MY CHERYL Aug07 Jul25 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 120 3.50    
 
FE-6   08/22/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BODIE Aug13 Aug05 Jun16 May26 Nov27 (voyce jeff)MAILHOT P 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
M C JACKHAMMER Aug07 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 Jun06 (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
VOYANT Aug07 Jun27 Jun12 Sep27 Sep20 (alderson a)BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00    
PRINCE FOR A DAY Jul25 Jul18 Jun18 Jun13 May23 (humber)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 15.00    
I LIVE BY FAITH Aug07 Jul25 Jul03 Jun18 Dec11 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 119 4.50    
JUSTIN'S WAY Jul16 May28 May06 Dec11 Nov20 (fournier)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.00 73% 0.40    
DON'T STOP DREAMIN Jul24 Jul07 May28 May13 Nov20 (ceccato sharon)STEIN JUSTIN 120 3.00    
VERY DEBONAIRE Jul18 Jun18 Jun06     (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 10.00    
 
FE-7   08/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUEMMA Aug08 Jul10 Jun27 Jun12 Sep05 (blake j)DAVID MICHAEL 124 15.00    
SCR  MY GIRL GABBY Aug15 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 Jun16 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
WEST PAW Aug08 Jul31 Jul18 Jul04 Jun18 (robillard juli)CHEYNE A 122 6.00    
IS THERE A FOREST Jul31 Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May30 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
KOZY KAT Aug08 Aug01 Jul10 Jun27 Jun13 (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 20.00    
SUBZERO PLUS Aug13 Jul31 Jul18 Jul11 Jun26 (powell a)VIVES SOFIA 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
I'M A CUTIE Jul20 May23 Apr07 Feb22 Feb12 (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
SHANGHAI KIMMY Aug07 Jul25 Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 (robillard josh)JOHNSON KIRK 124 12.00 6% 16.80    
SHELLY THE ROCKET Aug07 Jul25 Jul04 Jun10 May12 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.