Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-3   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $13.10 $7.10 118%
    DD (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-1 $88.30 $79.30 881%
FE-4   DD (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-6 $15.05 $6.05 67%
FE-7   WIN (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $14.20 $6.20 78%
    EXA (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-8 $22.90 $10.90 91%
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  W W SPRINGTIME 5 1 2½ 1½   11 11¼ (mcmahon wi)KING MARIE 122 2.50 4.85  
4  MONEY MATTERS 3 2 1½ 2½   21 21¼ (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 1.80 56% 0.80 0.75 P
5  LETTING LOOSE 4 4 44 33   42 33¾ (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 6.00 16% 5.20 4.50 S
3  BRADY O'BRADY 2 3 33½ 43   32 44 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 3.30  
2  BEN LOMOND 1 5 54½ 55½   53 55½ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 16.65  
SCR  DE ONLY SOLUTION               (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00    
 
FE-2   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPIRIT BELLE 5 1 12½ 12½   11½ 14 (meli s)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 9.00  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TINKERBELLA by REDDING COLLIERY)
2  VICTORIOUS TAPIT 2 4 22½ 22½   21½ 24 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 120 3.50 1.15  
  (by TAPIT out of VICTORIOUS AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
4  PERFECTION SAVER 4 3 43 45   43 34½ (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 34% 1.90 2.05 S
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
3  SLOANS SKY 3 2 33 57½   54 46 (robillard jo)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 34.50  
  (by SKY MESA out of SAMSAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
1  JIMMY IS A BREEZE 1 5 54 34   33 56¼ (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 1.60 39% 1.50 2.35  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNA'S A BREEZE by DYNAFORMER)
 
FE-3   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEYS DIAMOND 1 6 1½ 11   1½ 12½ (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 22% 3.50 5.55 W
4  WHISPER ME A SONG 4 4 53¾ 21   2½ 22½ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 4.25  
5  PICK A PENNY 5 2 43½ 31½   32½ 36½ (fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00 47% 1.10 1.25 S
3  ALWAY'S ROSIE 3 3 2½ 51¾   42½ 49 (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00 2.80  
7  CLOSING BRIEF'S 6 1 3½ 41½   53½ 510¾ (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.95  
2  LEA'S SUNSHINE 2 5 64¼ 67¼   65 612¾ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 26.30  
SCR  SAGED ENERGY               (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 10.00    
 
FE-4   08/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:15     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FAVORITE CHANNEL 6 7 33½ 33 1nk 11½ 13¾ (desruisseaux)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.00 W
2  MIZZ GEMMA 2 2 67 65½ 43 31½ 23¾ (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 5.00 18% 4.50 2.35 P
3  LADY OF THE FORT 3 1 56 54 32½ 42 36¼ (cathca)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 12.90  
4  RUMOURS FLY 4 3 45 44 54½ 53 46¾ (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 5.50  
1  PRINCESS DIDI 1 4 79½ 78½ 78 65½ 57¼ (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 16% 5.10 16.15  
5  IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE 5 5 11½ 11½ 2nk 21½ 67½ (albu ken)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 12.00 11.85  
7  NAVY BLUE ANGEL 7 6 21½ 21½ 65½ 75¾ 714 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00 17.50  
 
FE-5   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JAMAICAN JIMMY 6 2 33 24   1nk 1½ (fourni)ALDERSON IAN 120 1.80 54% 0.90 1.50 W
5  SUPREMEACTION 5 6 79 69½   42½ 2½ (rombis debra)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 2.55  
2  NAVAL OFFICER 2 4 11½ 14   2nk 31½ (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 3.80  
4  BEND IN THE RIVER 4 5 54 46   31½ 41¾ (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.50 15% 5.90 4.15  
1  STRONG ATTITUDE 1 3 21½ 35   54½ 511¾ (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00 32.70  
7  SAME AGAIN DOC 7 1 66 710   78 613¾ (cohen mi)BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00 9% 9.60 11.20  
3  RICKI TORNADO 3 7 43½ 57   67 717 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 52.40  
 
FE-6   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BIG BROWN BREWSKII 4 5 66 51¾   3.2 1nk (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 59% 0.70 0.20 W
5  ARTIE'S ALL IN 5 6 44 41½   1nk 2nk (crete )ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00   DQ↓6
7  SANTIAGO SALSA 6 1 33 2½   2nk 31½ (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 4.00 5.30  
3  MISS D'S PRIDE 2 3 21 3½   51¾ 45½ (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 7.70  
1  WAR DOCTOR 1 4 11 1½   4¾ 55¾ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 12.00 25.40  
4  IRIE ISLAND MAN 3 2 55 66¼   64¾ 66½ (powell a)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 17% 4.80 12.55  
SCR  NO MORE               (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
 
FE-7   08/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:223 :471       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MUSICAL RIDE 2 5 42 31   2nk 11¼ (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 15% 5.50 6.10 W
8  STORMING LADY 8 6 74½ 62¾   31 21¼ (adamo )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.50 38% 1.60 1.75 P
6  SPARKLE SAMMY 6 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 33 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 12.60  
4  FOREST B 4 7 53 52¼   51¾ 43¾ (powell a)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 6% 15.00 4.20  
1  BLACK TAFFY 1 4 63½ 84¾   62¾ 55½ (crete pier)KING MARIE 122 15.00 36.65  
3  GREEN GABLES 3 8 86 73¾   83 66 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 6.00 16.10  
5  SILVER TUNES 5 2 1½ 2nk   41¼ 710½ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 9.60  
7  SILENT GUROO 7 3 31 41¼   72¾ 812¼ (voyce jeff)FLORES ESWAN 122 3.00 19% 4.30 2.85  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.