Handicappers' Race Results

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Fort Erie
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $11.70  
FE-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $20.00  
FE-3   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $13.10 $13.10 7.10
FE-4   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
FE-5   Win (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
FE-6   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  
FE-7   Win (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $14.20 $14.20 6.20

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W W SPRINGTIME 5 1 2½ 1½   11 1 (mcmahon will)KING MARIE 122 2.50 4.85  
MONEY MATTERS 3 2 1½ 2½   21 2 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 1.80 56% 0.80 0.75 P
LETTING LOOSE 4 4 44 33   42 3 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 120 6.00 16% 5.20 4.50 S
BRADY O'BRADY 2 3 3 43   32 44 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.00 3.30  
BEN LOMOND 1 5 5 5   53 5 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00 16.65  
SCR  DE ONLY SOLUTION               (raghunath )BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00    
 
FE-2   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT BELLE 5 1 1 1   1 14 (meli sal)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00 9.00  
VICTORIOUS TAPIT 2 4 2 2   2 24 (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.50 1.15  
PERFECTION SAVER 4 3 43 45   43 3 (neubauer michae)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 34% 1.90 2.05 S
SLOANS SKY 3 2 33 5   54 46 (robillard josh)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 34.50  
JIMMY IS A BREEZE 1 5 54 34   33 5 (simms )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 1.60 39% 1.50 2.35  
 
FE-3   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYS DIAMOND 1 6 1½ 11   1½ 1 (wills )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 22% 3.50 5.55 W
WHISPER ME A SONG 4 4 5 21   2½ 2 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00 4.25  
PICK A PENNY 5 2 4 3   3 3 (fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00 47% 1.10 1.25 S
ALWAY'S ROSIE 3 3 2½ 5   4 49 (albu ken)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00 2.80  
CLOSING BRIEF'S 6 1 3½ 4   5 510¾ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.95  
LEA'S SUNSHINE 2 5 6 6   65 612¾ (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00 26.30  
SCR  SAGED ENERGY               (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 10.00    
 
FE-4   08/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:24 :492 1:15     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAVORITE CHANNEL 6 7 3 33 1nk 1 1 (desruisseaux d)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.00 36% 1.80 1.00 W
MIZZ GEMMA 2 2 67 6 43 3 2 (agostino g)CHEYNE A 122 5.00 18% 4.50 2.35 P
LADY OF THE FORT 3 1 56 54 3 42 3 (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 12.90  
RUMOURS FLY 4 3 45 44 5 53 4 (buttigie)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00 5.50  
PRINCESS DIDI 1 4 7 7 78 6 5 (wills daniel)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 16% 5.10 16.15  
IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE 5 5 1 1 2nk 2 6 (albu ken)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 12.00 11.85  
NAVY BLUE ANGEL 7 6 2 2 6 7 714 (agostino r)BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00 17.50  
 
FE-5   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMAICAN JIMMY 6 2 33 24   1nk 1½ (fournier)ALDERSON IAN 120 1.80 54% 0.90 1.50 W
SUPREMEACTION 5 6 79 6   4 2½ (rombis e)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50 2.55  
NAVAL OFFICER 2 4 1 14   2nk 3 (mitchell m)JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00 3.80  
BEND IN THE RIVER 4 5 54 46   3 4 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.50 15% 5.90 4.15  
STRONG ATTITUDE 1 3 2 35   5 511¾ (smith ke)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00 32.70  
SAME AGAIN DOC 7 1 66 710   78 613¾ (cohen mich)BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00 9% 9.60 11.20  
RICKI TORNADO 3 7 4 57   67 717 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 10.00 52.40  
 
FE-6   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG BROWN BREWSKII 4 5 66 5   3.2 1nk (blake j)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 59% 0.70 0.20 W
ARTIE'S ALL IN 5 6 44 4   1nk 2nk (crete pi)ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00   DQ↓6
SANTIAGO SALSA 6 1 33 2½   2nk 3 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 4.00 5.30  
MISS D'S PRIDE 2 3 21 3½   5 4 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 7.70  
WAR DOCTOR 1 4 11 1½   4¾ 5 (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 12.00 25.40  
IRIE ISLAND MAN 3 2 55 6   6 6 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 17% 4.80 12.55  
SCR  NO MORE               (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
 
FE-7   08/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:223 :471       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUSICAL RIDE 2 5 42 31   2nk 1 (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 15% 5.50 6.10 W
STORMING LADY 8 6 7 6   31 2 (adamo an)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.50 38% 1.60 1.75 P
SPARKLE SAMMY 6 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 33 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00 12.60  
FOREST B 4 7 53 5   5 4 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 6% 15.00 4.20  
BLACK TAFFY 1 4 6 8   6 5 (crete pierre)KING MARIE 122 15.00 36.65  
GREEN GABLES 3 8 86 7   83 66 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 6.00 16.10  
SILVER TUNES 5 2 1½ 2nk   4 710½ (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 10.00 9.60  
SILENT GUROO 7 3 31 4   7 812¼ (voyce jeff)FLORES ESWAN 122 3.00 19% 4.30 2.85  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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