Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Monday - August 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FE-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-3   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-5   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(8/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-7   WIN (8/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4)-(8/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DE ONLY SOLUTION Aug19 Aug03 Jun23 Jun09 May27 (raghunat)BUCHANAN Z 122 12.00    
2  BEN LOMOND Aug15 Jul18 Jul03 Jun13 May23 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 8.00    
3  BRADY O'BRADY Aug08 Jul10 May30 Oct24 Oct17 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 120 3.00    
4  MONEY MATTERS Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 Jul03 Jun27 (bird alan)MAILHOT P 122 1.80 56% 0.80    
5  LETTING LOOSE Jul24 Jul10 May30 Oct24 Oct04 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
6  W W SPRINGTIME Aug08 Jul20 Jul01 Jun15 May27 (mcmahon wi)KING MARIE 122 2.50    
 
FE-2   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Aug15 Jul24 Jul04 Jun26 Dec09 (simm)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 1.60 39% 1.50    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNA'S A BREEZE by DYNAFORMER)
2  VICTORIOUS TAPIT Jun25 Dec10 Nov12     (simms )ALDERSON IAN 120 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of VICTORIOUS AMI by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  SLOANS SKY Aug04         (robillard jo)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SAMSAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
4  PERFECTION SAVER Aug08 Apr25 Jan19 Nov16   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of STORMY PERFECTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  SPIRIT BELLE Aug15 Aug07 Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 (meli s)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 5.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of TINKERBELLA by REDDING COLLIERY)
 
FE-3   08/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEYS DIAMOND Aug15 Jul31 Oct07     (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  LEA'S SUNSHINE Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Jun13 (albu ken)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 110 8.00    
3  ALWAY'S ROSIE Aug13 Jul31 Jul16 Jun29   (albu k)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 2.00    
4  WHISPER ME A SONG Jul29 Jun11       (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 3.00    
5  PICK A PENNY Jul31 Jul10 May05 Dec08 Nov18 (fournier mark)DAVID MICHAEL 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  SAGED ENERGY Aug13 Jul31 Jul16     (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 10.00    
7  CLOSING BRIEF'S Jul31 Jun26 Jun06     (robill)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FE-4   08/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS DIDI Jul31 May25 Dec10     (will)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
2  MIZZ GEMMA Aug08 Jul24 Jul04 Jun12 Jun06 (agostino roy)CHEYNE A 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
3  LADY OF THE FORT Aug13 Jul31 Jul25 Jul16 Jun12 (cathca)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00    
4  RUMOURS FLY Aug13 Jul31 Jul04 Jun12 May07 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
5  IMPOSSIBLE BERTIE Aug21 Aug10 Jul20 Jun17   (albu ken)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 115 12.00    
6  FAVORITE CHANNEL Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 May13 (desruisseaux)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  NAVY BLUE ANGEL Aug08 Jul13 Jun23 May27 Dec09 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 120 15.00    
 
FE-5   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG ATTITUDE Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 Oct11 Aug30 (smith )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 15.00    
2  NAVAL OFFICER Aug13 Jul24 Jul10 Jun27 Jun06 (mitchell joan )JOHNSON KIRK 120 5.00    
3  RICKI TORNADO Jul10 Jun04 Dec12 Nov28 Nov15 (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 120 10.00    
4  BEND IN THE RIVER Aug13 Jul24 Jun17 Jun02 Apr14 (robillard julie)JADOO STEVE 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
5  SUPREMEACTION Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 May20 Dec09 (rombis debra)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 3.50    
6  JAMAICAN JIMMY Aug13 Jul11 Jun06 Sep20 Aug30 (fourni)ALDERSON IAN 120 1.80 54% 0.90    
7  SAME AGAIN DOC Jul24 Nov11 Nov04 Oct08 Sep25 (cohen mi)BUCHANAN Z 122 15.00 9% 9.60    
 
FE-6   08/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR DOCTOR Jun13 May21 Dec06 Nov22 Nov09 (powe)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00    
SCR  NO MORE Aug13 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 3.00    
3  MISS D'S PRIDE Aug08 Jul25 Jul18 Jun13 Oct04 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00    
4  IRIE ISLAND MAN Aug08 Aug01 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
5  ARTIE'S ALL IN Aug01 Jul18 Jul11 Apr23 Oct03 (crete )ALDERSON IAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG BROWN BREWSKII Aug22 Jul31 Jul18 Jul10 Jun26 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
7  SANTIAGO SALSA Aug08 Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Jun06 (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 112 4.00    
 
FE-7   08/28/2023 3300ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLACK TAFFY Aug01 Jul10 Jun22 May30 Jul25 (crete pier)KING MARIE 122 15.00    
2  MUSICAL RIDE Jul25 Jul11 Jun18 Jan18 Jan03 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
3  GREEN GABLES Aug15 Aug07 Jul25 Jul13 Jun22 (capi m)RAMSAMMY E 122 6.00    
4  FOREST B Aug22 Jul16 Jun06 Apr30 Dec01 (powell a)CRAWFORD J 122 8.00 6% 15.00    
5  SILVER TUNES Jul16 Jun23 Apr22 May26 Apr30 (robillard josh)SALLES LEO 122 10.00    
6  SPARKLE SAMMY Aug03 Jul20 Jun15 Jun04 Apr29 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 8.00    
7  SILENT GUROO Aug03 Jul25 Jun29 Jun15 May27 (voyce jeff)FLORES ESWAN 122 3.00 19% 4.30    
8  STORMING LADY Aug17 Jul18 Jun18 Apr23 Mar30 (adamo )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.