Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-2   EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-7 $6.70 $0.70 12%
EMD-7   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-8 $26.50 $20.50 342%
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-8-1 $31.50 $28.50 950%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:124 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBARIAN 2 3 11 11 1 16 112¾ (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50 1.50  
LARSEN BAY 6 2 21 4 2 26 212¾ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 10.00 12.30  
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN 1 4 5 21 3 36 313½ (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 9% 10.00 2.80 S
TWO PRINCES 3 7 6 6 6 49 415½ (raudal)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 2.50 3.80  
STREET DEMAND 7 1 31 31 44 5 520½ (bean rober)ORANTES R 120 20.00 63.10  
RIVER ROSE 4 6 4 5 56 611¼ 621¾ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.50 63% 0.60 4.00  
SENOR FABULOSO 5 5 7 7 7 711¾ 728¼ (perez hilario)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
 
EMD-2   08/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:104 1:372   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BABY FRANKIE 4 3 34 2 2 2 1 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 123 2.50 27% 2.70 1.60 W
BEL RAGAZZO 7 7 7 5 3 3 2 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50 19% 4.30 2.60 P
WEAR THE CROWN 2 1 13 1 1 1 3 (toye joe)RADKE K 123 6.00 4.70  
ORCZY (IRE) 3 4 23 3 47 4 4 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00 4.90  
HYDROGEN 5 2 44 4 5 59 511 (lowe nick)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 15.40  
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 6 5 5 6 69 6 612 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 123 12.00 14.70  
AMERICAN GRIT 1 6 6 7 713 721½ 733½ (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 5.00 19% 4.20 12.80  
 
EMD-3   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 9:01
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELBY SHORTSTOP 1 2 1 13   15 1 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 2.50 34% 2.00 1.20 W
  (by COAST GUARD out of VAL DE SAIRE by HARBOR THE GOLD)
SPEIGHTFUL CAT 2 3 4 46   25 2 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 119 3.00 35% 1.80 2.20 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of METRY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
ROCKIT A DAY 6 4 3 35   35 310½ (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 119 12.00 17.60  
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of JACOBITA by FOREST WILDCAT)
SHILSHOLE BAY 3 1 2 23   4 414 (martinez davi)VALDES ALEXIS 119 8.00 6% 14.70 7.50  
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CARRICK BAY by LEMON DROP KID)
MOMOO (FR) 4 6 67 59   5 516 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 119 4.00 3.20  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of BRIDALED TEMPER by WAR FRONT)
CHIRISCA 5 5 54 69   613½ 625 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 20.00 41.20  
  (by STANFORD out of PRETTY SYRIE by STREET BOSS)
SCR  MALIBU DREAMS               (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 119 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of SUZY MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TREASURE THE TIME               (freeman scot)OROZCO E 119 8.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of FIRETRAIL by DEFENSIVE PLAY)
 
EMD-4   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:29
See original race card.
:223 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TENNESSEE MOON 5 2 11 1   13 1 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 1.40 43% 1.30 0.10 W
LASSIE CAT 1 4 21 2   23 2 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 11.60  
NOMI LACKEE 7 1 34 3   3 3 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 121 12.00 12.80  
OUT OF STARS 4 7 66 56   57 4 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 16.20  
G G RULES 6 3 45 46   47 510¼ (bean rober)ORANTES R 116 20.00 69.00  
CAMDEN HIGH 2 6 79 7   69 615½ (morris l)MATIAS J 125 8.00 25% 3.00 14.10  
AWESOME DAZE 3 5 56 6   712 724¾ (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
 
EMD-5   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:56
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD SEA 1 4 42 5   2 1 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 8.00 4.60  
MY LEGAL BET 2 2 52 42   4 2 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.50 32% 2.10 5.80 P
CLASSIC LEAH 5 3 1½ 1½   1 3 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 3.00 18% 4.60 2.10 S
PEARL RIVER DELTA 6 5 2½ 2½   3 4 (velasquez rigoberto)RADKE K 125 4.50 21% 3.70 2.90  
SMILING THUNDER 7 1 3 31   5 5 (nunnally j)ORANTES R 120 6.00 9.00  
OREO'S DREAM 4 7 65 64   6 6 (moore a)MONTALVO C 123 15.00 13.70  
CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) 3 6 77 76   7 7 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50 6.30  
 
EMD-6   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
See original race card.
:213 :443 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAN ELIZABETH 2 6 69 66   3.2 13 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 123 5.00 2.70  
SILVERY ORB 4 5 54 53   2nk 23 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 4.50 39% 1.60 3.50 P
ZIPPIN SEVENZ 5 3 4 4   4¼ 34 (bozell alan)RADKE K 123 4.00 4.90  
STEPUP 3 4 32 3   5¾ 4 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 121 12.00 8.40  
MISS DYNAMIC 6 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 56 (velasquez rigob)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5.70  
MISS BELLA 1 2 1nk 2nk   6 6 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 22% 3.60 2.50  
SCR  CAUSE SHE'S A LADY               (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 123 3.00 10% 9.30    
 
EMD-7   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:50
See original race card.
:214 :452 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAVEN'S QUEST 6 1 5 31   1nk 14 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 17% 4.70 3.30 W
ITSTEQUILA TALKIN 7 2 3 2nk   2nk 24 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 19% 4.30 6.00 P
SQUARE FUN 1 4 2nk 1nk   3 3 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.50 36% 1.80 0.70 S
ANOTHER TEN 2 6 6 5   55 412¼ (evans justin)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 8.60  
SECRET HOTTIE 3 5 42 42   4 513¾ (jenne bonnie)RADKE K 121 5.00 8.20  
A FRIEND INDEED 4 7 711½ 712½   613 623¼ (balcom cliff)OROZCO E 121 20.00 57.00  
MY PERFECT TOWN 5 3 1nk 6   718 737¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 8.00 27.40  
SCR  CONCENTRATE               (cooper kay)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.