Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/1/7)-(4/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(4/3/5)-(5/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(5/2/3)-(2/6/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/6/5)-(5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-5   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(5/1)-(1/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   08/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 May20 (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 9% 10.00    
BARBARIAN Jul08 Jul01 Jun09 May29 May20 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
TWO PRINCES Aug12 Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 Feb20 (raudal)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 2.50    
RIVER ROSE Aug13 Jul28 May29 Apr15 Mar25 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.50 63% 0.60    
SENOR FABULOSO Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 Jun24 (perez hilario)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
LARSEN BAY Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 10.00    
STREET DEMAND Aug12 Jul23 Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 (bean rober)ORANTES R 120 20.00    
 
EMD-2   08/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN GRIT Aug11 Jun17 Jun09 May13 Apr25 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 5.00 19% 4.20    
WEAR THE CROWN Aug12 Jul09 Jul01 Jun18 May28 (toye joe)RADKE K 123 6.00    
ORCZY (IRE) Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun25 Jun03 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 4.00    
BABY FRANKIE Jun17 May20 May06 Apr02 Mar09 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
HYDROGEN Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 May29 (lowe nick)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00    
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Jul30 Jul08 Jul01 Jun10 Apr08 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 123 12.00    
BEL RAGAZZO Aug05 Jul07 Jun17 May28 Apr26 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
EMD-3   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 9:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TREASURE THE TIME         (freeman scot)OROZCO E 119 8.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of FIRETRAIL by DEFENSIVE PLAY)
SCR  MALIBU DREAMS         (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 119 6.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of SUZY MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
SHELBY SHORTSTOP Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17   (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of VAL DE SAIRE by HARBOR THE GOLD)
SPEIGHTFUL CAT Aug11         (wright blaine)CRUZ M 119 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of METRY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SHILSHOLE BAY Aug11 Jul23       (martinez davi)VALDES ALEXIS 119 8.00 6% 14.70    
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CARRICK BAY by LEMON DROP KID)
MOMOO (FR)         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 119 4.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of BRIDALED TEMPER by WAR FRONT)
CHIRISCA Aug12         (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 20.00    
  (by STANFORD out of PRETTY SYRIE by STREET BOSS)
ROCKIT A DAY Aug11 Jul29 Jul15 Jun25   (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 119 12.00    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of JACOBITA by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
EMD-4   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LASSIE CAT Aug06 Jul14 Jun24 May29 Sep10 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50    
CAMDEN HIGH Aug06 Jul23 Jul07 Jun16 May29 (morris l)MATIAS J 125 8.00 25% 3.00    
AWESOME DAZE Aug12 Jul21 Jul09 Jul01 Jun17 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
OUT OF STARS Aug13 Jul21 Sep17 Aug28 Jul31 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50    
TENNESSEE MOON Aug12 Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May13 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 1.40 43% 1.30    
G G RULES Aug12 Jul07 Jun17 Jun10 May27 (bean rober)ORANTES R 116 20.00    
NOMI LACKEE Jul08 May06 Apr16 Apr09 Mar04 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 121 12.00    
 
EMD-5   08/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMERALD SEA Jul21 Jul03 Jun09 May27 Sep18 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 8.00    
MY LEGAL BET Aug18 Jun03 May07 Mar31 Feb25 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
CAN'THELPFALLIN (IRE) Aug03 Jul28 Jun18 Mar31 Mar03 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 123 3.50    
OREO'S DREAM Jul03 Jun09 May20 Jan06 Dec16 (moore a)MONTALVO C 123 15.00    
CLASSIC LEAH Jul22 Jul08 Jul02 May21 Sep11 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
PEARL RIVER DELTA Aug04 Jul22 Jul02 Jun09 May20 (velasquez rigoberto)RADKE K 125 4.50 21% 3.70    
SMILING THUNDER Aug04 Jul08 Jun23 May28 May21 (nunnally j)ORANTES R 120 6.00    
 
EMD-6   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS BELLA Jul30 Jun17 May27 May14 Jan22 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
SCR  CAUSE SHE'S A LADY Jul23 Jun25 May27 Dec30 Dec10 (wright blaine)MONTALVO C 123 3.00 10% 9.30    
NAN ELIZABETH Aug13 Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 123 5.00    
STEPUP Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 121 12.00    
SILVERY ORB Jul30 Jun25 May20 Jul03   (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 125 4.50 39% 1.60    
ZIPPIN SEVENZ Jul23 Jun04 Sep18 Aug14 Jul03 (bozell alan)RADKE K 123 4.00    
MISS DYNAMIC Jul29 Jul16 Jun18 May20 Aug28 (velasquez rigob)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
 
EMD-7   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUARE FUN Aug19 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
ANOTHER TEN Aug12 Jul30 Jul07 May29 Apr04 (evans justin)MONTALVO C 121 6.00    
SECRET HOTTIE Aug12 Jul14 Jul03 Jun16 May29 (jenne bonnie)RADKE K 121 5.00    
SCR  CONCENTRATE         (cooper kay)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
A FRIEND INDEED Aug12 May14       (balcom cliff)OROZCO E 121 20.00    
MY PERFECT TOWN Jul03         (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 8.00    
RAVEN'S QUEST Jul14 Jun24 May28 Oct29 Oct12 (lucarelli frank)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 17% 4.70    
ITSTEQUILA TALKIN Sep17         (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 19% 4.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.