Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:221 :461 :583     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAPUSH 1 6 1½ 1   14 1 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 4.50 2.40  
  (by WEST COAST out of WEEKEND ROMANCE by KEY RECOGNITION)
COASTAL GIRL 5 2 3 3   34 2 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 4.00 27% 2.70 6.70 P
  (by COAST GUARD out of MS MOSCOW MATTIE by MATTY G)
SHELBY SHORTSTOP 6 1 4 4   4 3 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 1.80 43% 1.30 0.90 S
  (by COAST GUARD out of VAL DE SAIRE by HARBOR THE GOLD)
DREWY 4 3 2½ 2   24 4 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.00 5.10  
  (by TAPIZAR out of RACY RASCAL by INTO MISCHIEF)
CHIRISCA 3 5 65 66   5 515¾ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 15.50  
  (by STANFORD out of PRETTY SYRIE by STREET BOSS)
TRES VITE 2 4 5 54   6 620 (harwood ryla)OROZCO E 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.40  
  (by RISE UP out of SPECTACULAR SUE by GRINDSTONE)
 
EMD-2   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:251 :49 1:133 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERBERG 2 1 2 32 3 2 1¾ (alvarez sergio)ZUNINO L 121 6.00 2.20  
START THEM UP 3 3 32 2 1½ 1 2¾ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.00 65% 0.50 0.80 P
NIGHT TO REMEMBER 1 2 1 1 2½ 32 3 (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 1.80  
SCR  CHARLIE'S MAN               (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50    
SCR  MY DAD IS THIRSTY               (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY               (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 8.00 10% 9.20    
 
EMD-3   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLIMPSE OF GOLD 1 3 4 21   2 1¾ (toye joe)MONTALVO C 121 4.00 3.50  
SANDY HARBOR 3 4 11 11   1 2¾ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 2.00 45% 1.20 1.50 P
SECRET HOTTIE 5 1 21 31   34 3 (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 31% 2.20 1.60 S
A FRIEND INDEED 2 5 5 56   49 414¼ (balcom cliff)RADKE K 121 12.00 16.20  
DREAMINGOFBLING 4 2 31 44   511 528¼ (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 125 8.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
SCR  CONCENTRATE               (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50    
 
EMD-4   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIST OONA B 5 1 32 3   2 11 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 3.00 4.70  
TENNESSEE MOON 3 3 1½ 11   1 21 (baze robert)CRUZ M 121 1.80 49% 1.00 0.60 P
AWESOME DAZE 6 2 2½ 21   3 3 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 16% 5.30 4.00 S
BIKINI NATION 4 4 54 55   4 410 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 10% 8.90 8.30  
TED'S CANDY GIRL 2 6 67 6   6 511¼ (nunnally j)ORANTES R 120 10.00 29.60  
G G RULES 1 5 44 4   5 611½ (bean a)RADKE K 121 8.00 13.90  
 
EMD-5   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:112 1:243   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DYF 1 5 42 42 32 2nk 1hd (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 1.60 32% 2.10 1.10 W
TWO PRINCES 5 2 6 5 4 43 2hd (raudal)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00 10.30  
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN 3 3 11 1nk 11 1nk 3¾ (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00 30% 2.30 3.20 S
SILENT DECLARATION 6 1 31 2nk 21 3 4 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 8% 12.10 7.10  
UNION BLISS 4 4 21 3½ 5 56 59 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 3.50 2.90  
STREET DEMAND 2 6 5 6 6 68 611¾ (bean rober)ORANTES R 120 15.00 32.80  
SCR  POPPY'S C NOTE               (madrigal elod)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.50    
 
EMD-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:48
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEAR THE CROWN 6 2 1nk 11   13 1nk (toye joe)RADKE K 122 3.50 4.10  
STEPHEN JAMES 2 3 4 43   3 2nk (pirone m)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 P
WHATWASITHINKING 4 1 2nk 21   23 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.20 55% 0.80 1.00 S
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 1 6 67 610   611½ 4 (bean a)MONTALVO C 122 10.00 23.70  
FRANKS FIX IT 5 5 3 3   4 5 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 2.50 12% 7.50 2.50  
ATTORNEY LOUIS 3 4 54 56   5 6 (chattong v)ORANTES R 117 15.00 24.60  
 
EMD-7   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:14
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:134 1:264   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAILING IN 5 1 1½ 11 11 1 1 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 3.00 62% 0.60 1.30 W
ANOTHER TEN 3 5 2½ 21 21 2 2 (troiani niccol)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 6% 14.80 2.10 P
GOIN' COASTAL 6 4 32 53 3 3 3 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 4.50 6.70  
BABY MARTINI 2 6 64 77 710 6 412½ (navarro jose)CRUZ M 125 5.00 8% 11.50 4.10  
FOREVER AMBER 1 7 75 66 67 5 513¼ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 30.70  
NOW SAY SO 4 2 43 43 56 4 613½ (patino fausti)VALDES ALEXIS 125 20.00 54.40  
PISTA GIRL 7 3 53 32 44 714½ 734¼ (madrigal elodio)MONTALVO C 118 10.00 13.20  
SCR  MY YVONNE               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.