Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(5)-(4/6/5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
EMD-2   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5)-(4/6/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5)-(4/6/5)-(3/6/4) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
EMD-3   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/6/4)-(1/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(1/3/6)-(4/5/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(4/5/2)-(5/2/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-7   WIN (5/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1)-(5/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAPUSH         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 4.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of WEEKEND ROMANCE by KEY RECOGNITION)
2  TRES VITE         (harwood ryland)ANAYA V 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RISE UP out of SPECTACULAR SUE by GRINDSTONE)
3  CHIRISCA         (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00    
  (by STANFORD out of PRETTY SYRIE by STREET BOSS)
4  DREWY Jul09 Jun17       (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of RACY RASCAL by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  COASTAL GIRL Jul29         (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by COAST GUARD out of MS MOSCOW MATTIE by MATTY G)
6  SHELBY SHORTSTOP Jul29 Jul08 Jun17     (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by COAST GUARD out of VAL DE SAIRE by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
EMD-2   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY Jul28 Jul09 Jun23     (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 8.00 10% 9.20    
2  NIGHT TO REMEMBER Jul16 Jul03 Jun16     (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50    
3  WESTERBERG Aug04 Jun24 Jun04 May21 Apr18 (alvarez sergio)ZUNINO L 121 6.00    
SCR  CHARLIE'S MAN Aug04 Jun24 Jun04 May21 Apr22 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50    
5  START THEM UP Jul29 Jul07 Jun18 May29 May06 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.00 65% 0.50    
SCR  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Aug04 Jul09 Jul02 Jun24 Jun04 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CONCENTRATE         (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50    
2  GLIMPSE OF GOLD Feb01 Jan10       (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 4.00    
3  A FRIEND INDEED May14         (balcom cliff)RADKE K 121 12.00    
4  SANDY HARBOR Jul14         (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 2.00 45% 1.20    
5  DREAMINGOFBLING Apr12 Mar20 Mar07 Feb27 Nov12 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SECRET HOTTIE Jul14 Jul03 Jun16 May29 May14 (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
EMD-4   08/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G G RULES Jul07 Jun17 Jun10 May27 May06 (bean a)RADKE K 121 8.00    
2  TED'S CANDY GIRL Aug04 Jul07 May29 May21 May06 (nunnally j)ORANTES R 120 10.00    
3  TENNESSEE MOON Jul08 Jun18 Jun03 May13 Mar31 (baze robert)CRUZ M 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
4  BIKINI NATION Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 May27 May12 (markle dan)NEGRON LUIS 121 6.00 10% 8.90    
5  MIST OONA B Jul21 May29 Apr26 Mar28 Mar08 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 3.00    
6  AWESOME DAZE Jul21 Jul09 Jul01 Jun17 May29 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
EMD-5   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYF Jul28 Jul14 Jun17 May29 Mar13 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 1.60 32% 2.10    
2  STREET DEMAND Jul23 Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun03 (bean rober)ORANTES R 120 15.00    
3  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 May20 Sep10 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00 30% 2.30    
4  UNION BLISS Jul16 Jun17 Sep11 Aug26 Aug13 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 125 3.50    
5  TWO PRINCES Jul28 Jul07 Jun10 Feb20 Feb08 (raudal)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 125 8.00    
6  SILENT DECLARATION Jul22 Jul03 Jun09 May21 May13 (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  POPPY'S C NOTE Jul28 Jul14 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (madrigal elod)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.50    
 
EMD-6   08/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (bean a)MONTALVO C 122 10.00    
2  STEPHEN JAMES Jul15 Jul01 Jun18 Sep02 Aug13 (pirone m)AMADOR RUIZ 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ATTORNEY LOUIS Jul30 Jul23 Jun11 Jun04 May13 (chattong v)ORANTES R 117 15.00    
4  WHATWASITHINKING Jul23 May29 Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 1.20 55% 0.80    
5  FRANKS FIX IT Jul30 Jul15 Jun18 Jun10 May28 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 122 2.50 12% 7.50    
6  WEAR THE CROWN Jul09 Jul01 Jun18 May28 May13 (toye joe)RADKE K 122 3.50    
 
EMD-7   08/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER AMBER Jul28 Jul07 May20 Sep17 Sep02 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BABY MARTINI Jul28 Jul21 Jul03     (navarro jose)CRUZ M 125 5.00 8% 11.50    
3  ANOTHER TEN Jul30 Jul07 May29 Apr04 Mar05 (troiani niccol)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 6% 14.80    
4  NOW SAY SO Jul30         (patino fausti)VALDES ALEXIS 125 20.00    
5  SAILING IN Jul29 Jul07 Jun16 May29 Jun19 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 3.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  MY YVONNE Jul07 Jun23 May13 Nov27 Nov06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50    
7  GOIN' COASTAL Jul21 Jun24 Jun11 May28 Sep17 (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 4.50    
8  PISTA GIRL Jul30 Jul03 Jun17 Jun03 May13 (madrigal elodio)MONTALVO C 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.