Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-1   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
See original race card.
1:022         1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPORTS FOR WOMEN 3 3 24 24   21½ 1hd (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   15% 5.60 0.80 W
2  CHEDOODLE RYLEE 2 1 14 14   11½ 2hd (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   1.90  
1  SIXINTHECITY 1 2 34½ 36½   311½ 315½ (hoover cin)CRUZ DIAZ null   63% 0.60 4.50 S
5  MANUELS TABLE 4 4 44½ 410½   421½ 430¼ (mcdevitt )JENSEN P null   3.30  
SCR  MORDIGAN               (weissner )IRONEYES R null      
 
TIL-3   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW6000NW16M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:003         1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MATTAWA N THAT 5 4 13 15   18 111¼ (boyle mary)LOPEZ E null   50% 1.00 1.50 W
2  HASHTAG BAE 2 1 34 25   28 211¼ (hoover cindy)SMITH E null   2.20  
3  BIG BAD BRIAN 3 3 46½ 57¾   312 315½ (craig james )CONTRERAS CRUZ null   21% 3.80 2.50 S
4  MOLAF 4 5 57 47½   512¼ 416 (romo jo)GARCIA G null   8.30  
1  MIZONEY 1 2 23 35   412 517¼ (sanguino ju)GUERRERO C null   7% 13.10 4.30  
 
TIL-5   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW6000NW2L ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACKRAT BRANT 1 1 32 33½   1½ 1¼ (stewart larr)SMITH E null   10% 8.90 4.70 W
4  FLY PATTI FLY 4 2 22 22½   2½ 2¼ (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   8.80  
7  LONGFORD 7 5 75½ 54½   31 32 (guerrero di)GUERRERO C null   5.70  
2  LUKE'S PLACE 2 6 54½ 44½   42½ 44¼ (hof d)CRUZ DIAZ null   40% 1.50 7.70  
5  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA 5 4 65 77¼   66 56¾ (hurley de)JENSEN P null   15.10  
6  JADED SECRETS 6 7 12 12½   55 68 (lopez s)LOPEZ E null   17% 4.80 1.50  
3  SIMONSITO 3 3 43 64¾   79 711½ (cantrell m)PRECIADO A null   12% 7.20 2.40  
 
TIL-7   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST STK6300 ($0K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:582         1:582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PULPITS POWER 5 4 45 32½ 31½ 1nk 1¼ (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   1.80  
3  ORCZY (IRE) 2 5 517 515½ 59½ 31½ 2¼ (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   16% 5.30 4.00 P
5  HYDROGEN 4 2 2nk 1nk 1½ 2nk 33¼ (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ null   57% 0.80 1.40 S
4  HAKUNUI 3 1 1nk 2nk 2½ 46½ 420¾ (harshman loe)SMITH E null   5% 19.00 3.70  
1  TIZ CURLY JOE 1 3 34 47½ 49½ 514½ 527¼ (crystal d)JENSEN P null   8.80  
SCR  TWO SOCKS MAC               (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD null      
 
TIL-9   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM3500C ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT-
See original race card.
1:004         1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHOCKAZULU 5 3 1nk 11½   16 17¾ (harris john)SMITH E null   5% 19.00 2.50 W
4  BOY HOWDY 3 1 2nk 21½   26 27¾ (cantrell mar)CONTRERAS CRUZ null   32% 2.20 3.60 P
2  SMOKE AND BURN 2 2 44 47½   39 311¼ (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   5.40  
1  DARK AND DANDY 1 5 512 513½   515 417¾ (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   46% 1.20 2.90  
7  DARK LEOPARD 6 4 32 36½   413 518 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R null   3.60  
5  SENSATIONAL CITY 4 6 618 628½   635 657¾ (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   5.00  
SCR  LILY PAD LAKE               (harshman lo)GUERRERO C null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.