Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-1   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SPORTS FOR WOMEN   (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   15% 5.60 0.80 W
2  CHEDOODLE RYLEE   (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   1.90  
1  SIXINTHECITY   (hoover cin)CRUZ DIAZ null   63% 0.60 4.50 S
5  MANUELS TABLE   (mcdevitt )JENSEN P null   3.30  
SCR  MORDIGAN   (weissner )IRONEYES R null      
 
TIL-3   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW6000NW16M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MATTAWA N THAT   (boyle mary)LOPEZ E null   50% 1.00 1.50 W
2  HASHTAG BAE   (hoover cindy)SMITH E null   2.20  
3  BIG BAD BRIAN   (craig james )CONTRERAS CRUZ null   21% 3.80 2.50 S
4  MOLAF   (romo jo)GARCIA G null   8.30  
1  MIZONEY   (sanguino ju)GUERRERO C null   7% 13.10 4.30  
 
TIL-5   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW6000NW2L ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACKRAT BRANT   (stewart larr)SMITH E null   10% 8.90 4.70 W
4  FLY PATTI FLY   (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   8.80  
7  LONGFORD   (guerrero di)GUERRERO C null   5.70  
2  LUKE'S PLACE   (hof d)CRUZ DIAZ null   40% 1.50 7.70  
5  ELECTRIC ELIZABETA   (hurley de)JENSEN P null   15.10  
6  JADED SECRETS   (lopez s)LOPEZ E null   17% 4.80 1.50  
3  SIMONSITO   (cantrell m)PRECIADO A null   12% 7.20 2.40  
 
TIL-7   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST STK6300 ($0K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT-
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PULPITS POWER   (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   1.80  
3  ORCZY (IRE)   (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   16% 5.30 4.00 P
5  HYDROGEN   (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ null   57% 0.80 1.40 S
4  HAKUNUI   (harshman loe)SMITH E null   5% 19.00 3.70  
1  TIZ CURLY JOE   (crystal d)JENSEN P null   8.80  
SCR  TWO SOCKS MAC   (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD null      
 
TIL-9   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM3500C ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT-
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SHOCKAZULU   (harris john)SMITH E null   5% 19.00 2.50 W
4  BOY HOWDY   (cantrell mar)CONTRERAS CRUZ null   32% 2.20 3.60 P
2  SMOKE AND BURN   (gilmour j)JENSEN P null   5.40  
1  DARK AND DANDY   (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   46% 1.20 2.90  
7  DARK LEOPARD   (dennis cl)IRONEYES R null   3.60  
5  SENSATIONAL CITY   (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   5.00  
SCR  LILY PAD LAKE   (harshman lo)GUERRERO C null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.