Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Tillamook County Fair
Saturday - August 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TIL-1   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC1 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIXINTHECITY         (hoover cindy)CRUZ DIAZ null   63% 0.60    
CHEDOODLE RYLEE Aug09 Jul02 Jun11     (lawrence heath)WEBB B null      
SPORTS FOR WOMEN Aug09 Jul04 Jun17 May26 May04 (lyons ke)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null   15% 5.60    
MANUELS TABLE Aug09         (mcdevitt ti)JENSEN P null      
SCR  MORDIGAN         (weissner ta)IRONEYES R null      
 
TIL-3   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW6000NW16M ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZONEY Aug10 Jun24 Jun11 Dec09 Nov15 (sanguino juan)GUERRERO C null   7% 13.10    
HASHTAG BAE Aug09 Jun03 May20 Aug14 Jul24 (hoover cindy)SMITH E null      
BIG BAD BRIAN Jul04 Jun25 Jul23 Jul16 Jul04 (craig r)CONTRERAS CRUZ null   21% 3.80    
MOLAF Aug10 Jul04 Jun25 Jul13 Jul04 (romo jose)GARCIA G null      
MATTAWA N THAT Jul04 Jun24 Aug26 Aug11 Jul15 (boyle mary)LOPEZ E null   50% 1.00    
 
TIL-5   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC0 FAST ALW6000NW2L ($0K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACKRAT BRANT Aug09 Jul12 Jun25 Jun10 Aug11 (stewart larry)SMITH E null   10% 8.90    
LUKE'S PLACE Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 Jun25 Jun18 (hof d)CRUZ DIAZ null   40% 1.50    
SIMONSITO Jul12 Jul04 Jun24 Jun18 Aug11 (cantrell mar)PRECIADO A null   12% 7.20    
FLY PATTI FLY Aug09 Jul12 Jul02 Jun16 May27 (lawrence heath)WEBB B null      
ELECTRIC ELIZABETA Jul01 Jun24 Aug28 Aug19 Jun27 (hurley denn)JENSEN P null      
JADED SECRETS Jul01 Jun18 Mar08 Feb07 Jan12 (lopez s)LOPEZ E null   17% 4.80    
LONGFORD Aug09 Jul12 Jun18 Jun11 Jun10 (guerrero dieg)GUERRERO C null      
 
TIL-7   08/12/2023 5940ft DIRT RC2 FAST STK6300 ($0K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ CURLY JOE Aug10 Jun18 Jun11 Apr17   (crystal dus)JENSEN P null      
ORCZY (IRE) Jul22 Jul01 Jun25 Jun03 Mar26 (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   16% 5.30    
HAKUNUI Jul13 Jul02 Jun18 Jun10 May14 (harshman loega)SMITH E null   5% 19.00    
HYDROGEN Jul30 Jul02 Jun10 May29 Jan31 (lowe nick)CONTRERAS CRUZ null   57% 0.80    
PULPITS POWER Jun25 Jun11 Sep17 Aug26 Aug19 (stillwel)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
SCR  TWO SOCKS MAC Jul30 Jul23 Jul15 Jul09 Jul02 (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD null      
 
TIL-9   08/12/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST CLM3500C ($3.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT-
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARK AND DANDY Jun25 Jun10       (lawrence heath)WEBB B null   46% 1.20    
SMOKE AND BURN Jul28 Aug10 Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P null      
BOY HOWDY Jul04 Jun17 Aug28 Aug21 Jul16 (cantrell margi)CONTRERAS CRUZ null   32% 2.20    
SENSATIONAL CITY Aug10 Jul01 Jun17 May04   (lyons ke)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS null      
SHOCKAZULU Jun24 Sep17 Aug12 Jul29 Jul15 (harris john)SMITH E null   5% 19.00    
DARK LEOPARD Aug09 Jul30 Jul22 Jul16 Sep25 (dennis clif)IRONEYES R null      
SCR  LILY PAD LAKE Aug10 Jun24 Jun10 Jun04 May21 (harshman loeg)GUERRERO C null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.