Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Great Falls
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GF-1   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $3.00 $18.00  5-2 $61.50 $43.50 242%
GF-2   DD (4/2/5)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-2 $27.00 $3.00 13%

Simulator Race results

 
GF-1   07/30/2023 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
1:063         1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRINKLES 5 3 1½ 1   12 1 (matt l)LARSEN S 122 5.00 14% 6.10 4.50 W
  (by SOL INVICTUS out of BETEMSTRAIGHT by RED)
LOOPY DUDE 2 4 3½ 2   22 2 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 4.00 15% 5.60 0.80 P
  (by FIRST DUDE out of LOOPETY LOO by AFLEET ALEX)
MARGOT 4 2 4 4   35 38 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.00 38% 1.60 3.70 S
  (by KABORI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
CUTE RENEGADE 3 5 510½ 510½   59 410 (ecoffey gil)FENNELL JERAMIE 122 2.50 3.80  
  (by JERANIMO out of CAMEO CUTIE by SLEWDLEDO)
AX 'S SHORE 1 1 2½ 3   47 510¼ (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 126 7.00 8.30  
  (by AXIOMATIC out of SOUNDLESS SHORE by LATIGO SHORE)
 
GF-2   07/30/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 2 1 1½ 13   13 1 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126 3.50 9% 10.70 1.50 W
SAN GIORGIO 3 2 2½ 3   23 2 (warren kayla)GERVAIS M 126 1.60 52% 0.90 3.60 P
MORO CHARLIE 4 5 5 4   44 3 (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 126 8.00 9.00  
EYE CANDY RANDY 6 3 31 23   3 4 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 10.00 7% 14.00 5.00  
BRUIN MAGIC 5 6 65 510½   56 5 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 5.20  
OUTRIGHT 1 7 77 611½   68 6 (ecoffey gil)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 5.00 5.20  
HEREDIA BOXER 7 4 4 712½   712 715¾ (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126 10.00 8% 12.30 17.50  
 
GF-4   07/30/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:072         1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OAKDALE ROAD 4 3 2 22   2 1 (conway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 3.00 3.30  
MOONSHINE MAX 6 2 1 12   1 2 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 2.00 56% 0.80 0.50 P
NINADAVINA 5 1 3 35   3 34 (birdratt)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 4.40  
FLUSHING FLASH 1 4 4 48   4 4 (crooke)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.50 9% 9.50 15.40  
BERACUDA HEART 2 5 5 5   512½ 514 (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 126 6.00 12.90  
DARK LEOPARD 3 6 6 612½   617½ 619¼ (fitzpatrick)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 8.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
 
GF-6   07/30/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREDICATION 6 2 2½ 2   1½ 1 (birdrattler shawn)ROCK ZACH 126 8.00 8.60  
MAKAH LANE 5 7 43 3   3 2 (birdratt)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.50 1.70  
RIDGEFIELD ROCKET 4 1 1½ 1   2½ 3 (birdrattler )JOHNSON SHANAE 126 6.00 5% 19.00 10.00 S
TUSCAN WARRIOR 7 5 5 5   4 410½ (birdrattler nat)GERVAIS M 126 3.50 50% 1.00 2.40  
NIPAWIN 1 3 33 4   5 512½ (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.00 7.70  
THREE POINT CASH 2 4 65 6   6 612¾ (birdrattler)FENNELL JERAMIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
PALACEDANCER 3 6 79 713½   710½ 719¾ (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 2.50 22% 3.60 4.50  
 
GF-7   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Great Falls Turf Club Special Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:281         1:281   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE WHEN READY 1 6 11 1   1 1 (matt wen)HERNANDEZ J 126 9.00 15% 5.80 1.80 W
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of ARMED N DANGEROUS by GUN RUNNER)
TEXAS LONG BOW 7 1 21 2   2 2 (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 15% 5.50 2.90 P
  (by CROSSBOW out of DETERMINED DARIA by TALE OF THE CAT)
TOOTIE 6 2 3 3   3 32 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 121 3.50 2.50  
  (by EUROEARS out of B G COUNTRY GIRL by CATIENUS)
SCOOTER'S BOY 4 7 79 710½   4 4 (ecoffey gil)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 10.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
  (by FLATTER out of EK HASEENA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
ARBUCKLE OUTLAW 2 5 65 5   510½ 513¼ (birdrattler natha)ROCK ZACH 126 3.00 46% 1.20 14.30  
  (by HOME OF THE BRAVE out of LIL RED RYDER by WILD HORSES)
STEALING HEARTS 3 4 5 69   616½ 624 (conway )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 12.00 11.40  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEAR FAY by GHAZI)
HUG THE MUNNY 5 3 43 4   719½ 729 (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 1.40 6.70  
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
GF-9   07/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
1:522         1:522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRIZO SPRINGS 2 1 1½ 1½ 1 13 1 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 5.00 1.50  
REDDISH 4 2 2½ 2½ 2 23 2 (meineke jess)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 3.00 6.90  
TWO SOCKS MAC 5 7 7 67 610 48 3 (dennis clif)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 12.00 10.10  
IMA CARPE DIEM 7 5 32 32 58 38 4 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 117 15.00 10.60  
XTREME LYRA 1 4 4 5 3 5 511 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 21% 3.80 6.80  
FORGOTTEN VOWS 6 8 811½ 815 822 618½ 626¾ (fantin)BIRDRATTLER E 126 15.00 11% 8.30 8.40  
DIXON TUFF 3 6 6 4 4 722½ 733 (matt l)LARSEN S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
HADLEYS CHARM 8 3 5 79 720 824½ 837½ (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 121 1.20 48% 1.10 10.60  
 
GF-10   07/30/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:45
See original race card.
1:061         1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABRAA JABRAA 3 2 1nk 1½   12 1 (birdratt)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 68% 0.50 1.30 W
HAYNESPUN 1 3 4 3   22 2 (warren ka)IRONEYES R 121 2.50 4.30  
FOREST SONG 5 5 5 5   49 314 (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 8.00 5% 19.00 7.90 S
BIG BLUE NOTE 4 1 2nk 2½   36 415½ (matt l)LARSEN S 126 3.50 2.80  
CECILIA'S HOPE 6 4 31 4   510½ 516 (crooked dale)ROCK ZACH 126 12.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
SANGRE AZUL 2 6 613½ 617½   616½ 623¾ (ecoffey gil)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 4.50 5.10  
SCR  BRITE TAN               (ecoffey )HERNANDEZ J 126 20.00    
SCR  SERENGETI SIX               (lawrence jos)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.