tbrs_res_20230730.gf.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Handicappers' Race Results

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Great Falls
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager		Pick											Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay		Pay		Profit/
			Type		Numbers											Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit		Amt		Loss

GF-1			Win		(2/4/5)											3		$2.00	$6.00	5	1		1	$11.00		$11.00		5.00
			Exacta		(2/4/5)-(2/4/5)											6		$3.00	$18.00	5-2	2		1	$61.50		$61.50		43.50
GF-2			Win		(2/3/6/7)											4		$2.00	$8.00	2	1		1	$5.00		$5.00		-3.00
			Exacta		(2/3/6/7)-(2/3/6/7)											12		$3.00	$36.00	2-3	2		1	$19.50		$19.50		-16.50
			Daily Double		(2/4/5)-(2/3/6/7)											12		$2.00	$24.00	5-2	2		1	$27.00		$27.00		3.00
GF-4			Win		(1/3/6)											3		$2.00	$6.00	4	1		0	$8.60				-6.00
			Exacta		(1/3/6)-(1/3/6)											6		$3.00	$18.00	4-6	2		0	$17.40				-18.00
			Trifecta		(1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6)											6		$2.00	$12.00	4-6-5	3		0	$35.40				-12.00
GF-6			Win		(2/3/4/7)											4		$2.00	$8.00	6	1		0	$19.20				-8.00
			Exacta		(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)											12		$3.00	$36.00	6-5	2		0	$53.40				-36.00
			Trifecta		(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)											24		$2.00	$48.00	6-5-4	3		0	$309.40				-48.00
GF-7			Win		(1/2/4/7)											4		$2.00	$8.00	1	1		1	$5.60		$5.60		-2.40
			Exacta		(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)											12		$3.00	$36.00	1-7	2		1	$34.20		$34.20		-1.80
			Trifecta		(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)											24		$2.00	$48.00	1-7-6	3		0	$57.20				-48.00
GF-9			Win		(1/3/6/8)											4		$2.00	$8.00	2	1		0	$5.00				-8.00
			Exacta		(1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8)											12		$3.00	$36.00	2-ALL	2		0	$3.90				-36.00
			Trifecta		(1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8)-(1/3/6/8)											24		$2.00	$48.00	2-4-5	3		0	$261.40				-48.00
GF-10			Win		(4/6/8)											3		$2.00	$6.00	4	1		1	$4.60		$4.60		-1.40
			Exacta		(4/6/8)-(4/5/6/8)											9		$3.00	$27.00	4-1	2		0	$16.50				-27.00

Simulator Race results


GF-1			07/30/2023	3465ft		DIRT			FAST				Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 3:00
	1:06³				1:06³				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
5	SPRINKLES						5	3		1^½		1^1½		1²	1^4¾		(matt l)LARSEN S 122								5.00	14%	6.10	4.50	W
2	LOOPY DUDE						2	4		3^½		2^1½		2²	2^4¾		(nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122								4.00	15%	5.60	0.80	P
4	MARGOT						4	2		4^2½		4^5½		3⁵	3⁸		(schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126								2.00	38%	1.60	3.70	S
3	CUTE RENEGADE						3	5		5^10½		5^10½		5⁹	4¹⁰		(ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 122								2.50			3.80
1	AX 'S SHORE						1	1		2^½		3^4½		4⁷	5^10¼		(dennis clif)IRONEYES R 126								7.00			8.30

GF-2			07/30/2023	3465ft		DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 3:25
	1:06¹				1:06¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
2	SINGANDCRYINDUBAI						2	1		1^½		1³		1³	1^2¼		(nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126								3.50	9%	10.70	1.50	W
3	SAN GIORGIO						3	2		2^½		3^3½		2³	2^2¼		(warren kayla)GERVAIS M 126								1.60	52%	0.90	3.60	P
4	MORO CHARLIE						4	5		5^3½		4^8½		4⁴	3^3¼		(birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126								8.00			9.00
6	EYE CANDY RANDY						6	3		3¹		2³		3^3½	4^4½		(birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126								10.00	7%	14.00	5.00
5	BRUIN MAGIC						5	6		6⁵		5^10½		5⁶	5^5½		(schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126								4.00			5.20
1	OUTRIGHT						1	7		7⁷		6^11½		6⁸	6^6¾		(ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 126								5.00			5.20
7	HEREDIA BOXER						7	4		4^1½		7^12½		7¹²	7^15¾		(birdrattler)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 126								10.00	8%	12.30	17.50

GF-4			07/30/2023	3465ft		DIRT			FAST				Claiming ($2K)									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 4:15
	1:07²				1:07²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
4	OAKDALE ROAD						4	3		2^1½		2²		2^1½	1^1¾		(conway la)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122								3.00			3.30
6	MOONSHINE MAX						6	2		1^1½		1²		1^1½	2^1¾		(nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126								2.00	56%	0.80	0.50	P
5	NINADAVINA						5	1		3^2½		3⁵		3^4½	3⁴		(birdrattle)HERNANDEZ J 121								4.00			4.40
1	FLUSHING FLASH						1	4		4^4½		4⁸		4^8½	4^8¼		(crooked )BIRDRATTLER E 126								3.50	9%	9.50	15.40
2	BERACUDA HEART						2	5		5^5½		5^8½		5^12½	5¹⁴		(birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126								6.00			12.90
3	DARK LEOPARD						3	6		6^7½		6^12½		6^17½	6^19¼		(fitzpatrick r)FENNELL JERAMIE 126								8.00	5%	19.00	14.80

GF-6			07/30/2023	3465ft		DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 5:05
	1:06⁴				1:06⁴				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
6	PREDICATION						6	2		2^½		2^1½		1^½	1^3½		(birdrattler shawn)ROCK ZACH 126								8.00			8.60
5	MAKAH LANE						5	7		4³		3^2½		3^1½	2^3½		(birdrattle)HERNANDEZ J 126								4.50			1.70
4	RIDGEFIELD ROCKET						4	1		1^½		1^1½		2^½	3^5¼		(birdrattler ti)JOHNSON SHANAE 126								6.00	5%	19.00	10.00	S
7	TUSCAN WARRIOR						7	5		5^4½		5^6½		4^4½	4^10½		(birdrattler natha)GERVAIS M 126								3.50	50%	1.00	2.40
1	NIPAWIN						1	3		3³		4^6½		5^4½	5^12½		(schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 126								3.00			7.70
2	THREE POINT CASH						2	4		6⁵		6^7½		6^5½	6^12¾		(birdrattler t)FENNELL JERAMIE 121								15.00	5%	19.00	8.60
3	PALACEDANCER						3	6		7⁹		7^13½		7^10½	7^19¾		(birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121								2.50	22%	3.60	4.50

GF-7			07/30/2023	4620ft		DIRT			FAST				Great Falls Turf Club Special									Purse ($9.4K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 5:30
	1:28¹				1:28¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
1	FIRE WHEN READY						1	6		1¹		1^2½		1^1½	1^1¾		(matt wende)HERNANDEZ J 126								9.00	15%	5.80	1.80	W
7	TEXAS LONG BOW						7	1		2¹		2^2½		2^1½	2^1¾		(nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 126								8.00	15%	5.50	2.90	P
6	TOOTIE						6	2		3^1½		3^4½		3^2½	3²		(nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 121								3.50			2.50
4	SCOOTER'S BOY						4	7		7⁹		7^10½		4^8½	4^9½		(ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 126								10.00	5%	19.00	9.70
2	ARBUCKLE OUTLAW						2	5		6⁵		5^8½		5^10½	5^13¼		(birdrattler nathani)ROCK ZACH 126								3.00	46%	1.20	14.30
3	STEALING HEARTS						3	4		5^4½		6⁹		6^16½	6²⁴		(conway la)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122								12.00			11.40
5	HUG THE MUNNY						5	3		4³		4^8½		7^19½	7²⁹		(schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 126								1.40			6.70

GF-9			07/30/2023	5490ft		DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5K)				3UP	ALL	PT- 6:20
	1:52²				1:52²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
2	CARRIZO SPRINGS						2	1		1^½		1^½	1^1½	1³	1^2¼		(nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122								5.00			1.50
4	REDDISH						4	2		2^½		2^½	2^1½	2³	2^2¼		(meineke jessic)JOHNSON SHANAE 126								3.00			6.90
5	TWO SOCKS MAC						5	7		7^9½		6⁷	6¹⁰	4⁸	3^8¼		(dennis clifto)FENNELL JERAMIE 126								12.00			10.10
7	IMA CARPE DIEM						7	5		3²		3²	5⁸	3⁸	4^8¼		(warren kayl)IRONEYES R 117								15.00			10.60
1	XTREME LYRA						1	4		4^3½		5^6½	3^3½	5^8½	5¹¹		(schindler )HERNANDEZ J 121								10.00	21%	3.80	6.80
6	FORGOTTEN VOWS						6	8		8^11½		8¹⁵	8²²	6^18½	6^26¾		(fantin c)BIRDRATTLER E 126								15.00	11%	8.30	8.40
3	DIXON TUFF						3	6		6^8½		4^2½	4^6½	7^22½	7³³		(matt l)LARSEN S 122								8.00	5%	19.00	3.10
8	HADLEYS CHARM						8	3		5^5½		7⁹	7²⁰	8^24½	8^37½		(birdrattler)BIRDRATTLER BARRY 121								1.20	48%	1.10	10.60

GF-10			07/30/2023	3465ft		DIRT			FAST				Allowance									Purse ($5.2K)				3UP	M/F	PT- 6:45
	1:06¹				1:06¹				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN									M/L	W/P	B/E	F/O
4	ABRAA JABRAA						3	2		1^nk		1^½		1²	1^6¼		(birdrattle)HERNANDEZ J 126								3.00	68%	0.50	1.30	W
1	HAYNESPUN						1	3		4^1½		3^2½		2²	2^6¼		(warren kayl)IRONEYES R 121								2.50			4.30
6	FOREST SONG						5	5		5^7½		5^7½		4⁹	3¹⁴		(schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 126								8.00	5%	19.00	7.90	S
5	BIG BLUE NOTE						4	1		2^nk		2^½		3⁶	4^15½		(matt l)LARSEN S 126								3.50	★		2.80
8	CECILIA'S HOPE						6	4		3¹		4^4½		5^10½	5¹⁶		(crooked dale)ROCK ZACH 126								12.00	5%	19.00	9.00
2	SANGRE AZUL						2	6		6^13½		6^17½		6^16½	6^23¾		(ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 126								4.50			5.10
SCR	BRITE TAN																(ecoffey gi)HERNANDEZ J 126								20.00
SCR	SERENGETI SIX																(lawrence josti)JOHNSON SHANAE 126								10.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

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	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.