The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Great Falls
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

GF-1   Win (3/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $11.60 $11.60 3.60
    Exacta (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 12 $3.00 $36.00 7-5 2 1 $78.90 $78.90 42.90
    Trifecta (3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7)-(3/5/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 7-5-3 3 1 $86.80 $86.80 38.80
GF-2   Win (2/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.80 -8.00
    Exacta (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 12 $3.00 $36.00 6-3 2 0 $67.50 -36.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-3-4 3 0 $101.00 -48.00
    Daily Double (3/5/6/7)-(2/3/4/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 7-6 2 0 $92.00 -32.00
GF-3   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 2.60
    Exacta (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $3.00 $6.00 1-2 2 0 $19.50 -6.00
GF-5   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $3.00 $18.00 5-6 2 0 $23.70 -18.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6-2 3 0 $46.80 -12.00
GF-6   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $3.00 $18.00 1-2 2 1 $28.80 $28.80 10.80
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2-5 3 0 $41.00 -12.00
GF-7   Win (1/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.80 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 12 $3.00 $36.00 6-4 2 0 $29.10 -36.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7)-(1/2/5/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-4-7 3 0 $139.20 -48.00
GF-8   Win (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $3.20 -8.00
    Exacta (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $3.00 $36.00 1-6 2 0 $12.30 -36.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-6-3 3 0 $99.40 -48.00

Simulator Race results

 
GF-1   07/22/2023 3465ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THREE RED SEVENS 7 3 36 39   32 1(reevis nars)IRONEYES R 126 3.00 23% 3.40 4.80 W
MAKAH LANE 5 5 58 410½   44 2(birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 7% 13.50 3.10 P
SAND WALKER 3 2 23 23   2½ 3(depew jim)GAMEZ M 126 1.40 48% 1.10 1.10 S
TOOL BOX 2 1 13 13   1½ 43 (birdratt)BIRDRATTLER E 126 9.00 8.50  
PASCO 1 7 713 718½   510 518¼ (whiteman jordan)LARSEN S 126 12.00 29.70  
DARK LEOPARD 4 6 4 514½   610½ 625 (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 3.50 7.80  
FULL OF DRIVE 6 4 69 616½   712½ 733½ (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 10.00 5% 19.00 6.60  
 
GF-2   07/22/2023 3465ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSHINE MAX 6 1 11 13   18 110½ (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.50 2.40  
AFTER THE CANDY 3 2 21 23   28 210½ (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 15.00 11% 8.00 4.60 P
PRAIRIE SQUALL 4 6 64 46   4312¾ (ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 2.50 39% 1.50 1.10 S
TCHULA SUNSET 7 3 32 34   3413 (lawrence jo)IRONEYES R 121 4.50 8.50  
TOSS THE FLAG 1 4 43 5   513½ 520¼ (meineke )BIRDRATTLER E 126 6.00 15.60  
BARKEEPER 5 7 74 614½   621½ 632¾ (goodluck coty)ROCK ZACH 126 3.00 13% 6.50 9.10  
STAR OF KOBOL 2 5 5 715   731½ 749 (fantin caitlin)LARSEN S 121 8.00 10% 9.00 17.40  
 
GF-3   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
1:31         1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREME LYRA 1 1 1 11   12 1¼ (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 56% 0.80 2.30 W
REDDISH 2 2 2 21   22 2¼ (meineke j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.00 2.50  
AFLEETASHA 3 3 3 3   310 311¾ (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 4.00 13% 6.50 1.30 S
GRIEF 4 4 419½ 421½   430 430¼ (birdrattler nathani)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 3.10  
SCR  BOBNBILLIE               (laforge kirt)ROCK ZACH 126 7.00    
 
GF-5   07/22/2023 3465ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($3.2K) Purse ($5.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:40
1:064         1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG MACINTOSH 5 2 1nk 1   11½ (cross p)GERVAIS M 126 2.50 4.00  
ABRAA JABRAA 6 1 2nk 2   22½ (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 1.60 68% 0.50 2.20 P
LOST THE MINISTER 2 4 33 3   33¾ (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 121 3.50 8% 12.10 2.80 S
WILSON TO LOCKETT 4 6 610½ 59   44 4(schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 8.00 3.10  
DANCE FOR RANSOM 3 3 5 46   56 5(ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 5.00 8.40  
THREE POINT CASH 1 5 44 611   614 621½ (birdrattler tim)GAMEZ M 126 12.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
 
GF-6   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
1:303         1:303   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE JEFF 1 1 13 1   11(meineke )BIRDRATTLER E 126 2.00 32% 2.10 0.70 W
FREIBURG 2 2 23 3   22(schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00 10% 9.10 3.80 P
HOLIDAY JOKE 4 3 3 2   33 310¼ (ecoffey gilbe)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 3.50 7.40  
JOHNNY JUDE 5 4 46 4   411 422¼ (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00 26% 2.80 5.00  
AFFLUENT ASSET 3 5 512 518½   517 527½ (lawrence jo)IRONEYES R 121 8.00 4.10  
SCR  CYPRIANO               (birdrattler nathani)GAMEZ M 126 6.00    
 
GF-7   07/22/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
:543         :543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH DAWN 6 3 2nk     22 1nk (birdrattle)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 3.40  
JOE G'S PAYBACK 4 1 1nk     12 2nk (cross p)GERVAIS M 126 4.00 1.50  
FIREFLOWER 7 6 5     35 3(meineke j)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.50 11% 8.00 9.10 S
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY 1 2 33     47 4(burd marci)IRONEYES R 121 3.00 37% 1.70 2.70  
JUS MY IMAGINATION 2 4 4     515 516¼ (birdratt)BIRDRATTLER E 126 8.00 20% 4.00 14.00  
SHE GLITTERS 3 5 66     618 620¾ (reevis narsis)LARSEN S 126 7.00 23.70  
AUNT GAYLE 5 7 7     722 727¾ (reevis narsis)ROCK ZACH 126 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
DECADENT DIAMOND 8 8 812½     830 840¼ (laforge kirt)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 10.00 19.50  
 
GF-8   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($4K) Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
1:293         1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRIZO SPRINGS 1 1 12 11   110 116½ (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 3.00 0.60  
FORGOTTEN VOWS 6 3 44 47   313 216½ (dennis cli)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 41% 1.40 4.20 P
SUPERSERG 3 5 22 21   210 318 (birdrattl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 7.00 5% 19.00 17.30 S
CREASY 4 6 7 613½   421 427½ (falls joshua)LARSEN S 126 8.00 8.30  
HENNING 5 7 65 5   527 540 (schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 126 4.50 31% 2.20 5.60  
CATS OUT TONITE 7 4 3 37   631 643¾ (birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126 5.00 7.80  
CO CO KID 2 2 5 715   746 764 (laforge kirt)ROCK ZACH 126 6.00 5% 19.00 22.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.