Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIL-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $24.40 $18.40 307%
TIL-6   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $23.20 $17.20 287%
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-1   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AT U LOVER 4 2 1nk 13   12½ 1¾ (stillwell tuc)LOPEZ E 126 4.00 5% 19.00 11.20 W
2  MY LITE NITE 2 3 33½ 46½   22½ 2¾ (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 45% 1.20 1.00 P
3  POSEIDON'S MAGIC 3 4 43¾ 34   34½ 33¼ (dennis cli)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00 5.60  
1  PHANTOMS BOOK 1 1 2nk 23   44½ 44 (mcdevitt t)PRECIADO A 126 3.00 3.30  
5  CHIEFS LIL PEARL 5 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 33% 2.00 2.10  
 
TIL-3   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AMANDA'S BEACH BOY 3 2 21 2½   11 11 (stillw)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00 3.60  
3  TOM'S MOON 2 4 32 41½   32½ 21 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00 2.20  
1  LONGFORD 1 1 11 1½   21 31¾ (guerrero di)GUERRERO C 126 5.00 3.60  
5  LUKE'S PLACE 4 3 43 31½   44½ 43¾ (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 54% 0.90 0.80  
SCR  GATO NEGRO               (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 1.60 24% 3.10    
SCR  JHAWK FLYER               (stewart la)CRUZ DIAZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIL-5   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:024         1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ZEVA DEE 1 2 24 22   13 17¾ (potts ashley)SMITH E 124 2.50 0.90  
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of MISS FLORIELO by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
3  ZEPHYR CAT 2 3 35 36   33 27¾ (hurley de)JENSEN P 126 10.00 6.60  
  (by SIERRA SUNSET out of STARRY CAT by TABASCO CAT)
4  MISCHIEF MAME 3 1 14 12   23 38½ (harris john)LOPEZ E 124 3.00 0.80  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MAME'S FLAME by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
6  MANUELS TABLE 4 4 417 421   423 438½ (mcdevitt t)PRECIADO A 124 8.00 22% 3.60 10.60  
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of TABLE FOR ONE by RIO VERDE)
SCR  MADAME CAUSEWAY               (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by KING OF JAZZ out of GALLANT TALENT by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  SIXINTHECITY               (hoover cin)CRUZ DIAZ 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by SIXTHIRTEEN out of CHARGING CITY by KANSAS CITY)
 
TIL-6   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ELLE VICTOIRE 5 4 33½ 34½   2nk 13½ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 10% 8.70 10.60 W
  (by BRAVE VICTORY out of CONGO KAYE by CONGAREE)
6  CHEDOODLE RYLEE 6 2 2½ 1½   1nk 23½ (lawrence heath)WEBB B 124 10.00 14.90  
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJAN by GRINDSTONE)
4  WARNING SOUND 4 3 44 47½   34 34 (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 6.00 5% 19.00 7.70 S
  (by MR SPEAKER out of SOUL SOUND by ELUSIVE WARNING)
1  SPORTS FOR WOMEN 1 5 58 611   46 46¼ (lyons kendra)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 2.50 2.20  
  (by BOISTEROUS out of HADARRA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  SHORT JOURNEY 2 6 69 510   58 59 (magallanes)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 124 1.60 61% 0.60 0.70  
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of FREEDOM JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
3  A STORM TOO SOON 3 1 1½ 2½   69 615¾ (potts ash)IRONEYES R 124 4.00 7.30  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of PARKERS DELIGHT by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
 
TIL-7   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
1:021         1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE 1 4 45 46   2nk 11¼ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60 W
3  BEING A BOSS 3 6 611 59   43 21¼ (harris)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 6.70  
5  HASHTAG BAE 5 3 34½ 34½   31 31¼ (hoover cin)CRUZ DIAZ 126 3.00 3.50  
7  PACKRAT BRANT 7 5 58½ 69   54 42½ (stewart larr)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00 80.50  
6  CRESCENT WILDCAT 6 1 12½ 13   1nk 53¾ (crystal dust)SMITH E 126 4.00 6% 16.20 2.50  
2  CAPES HOT ROCKET 2 2 22½ 23   66 65¾ (hurley denn)GUERRERO C 126 12.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
4  DARK LEOPARD 4 7 712½ 717   716 720¾ (dennis cli)PRECIADO A 126 10.00 6.50  
 
TIL-8   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
1:022         1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R HAPPY PLACE 1 1 11½ 1½   1nk 1¾ (lawrence hea)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 6.00 6.90  
5  MISSY PARKER 5 2 21½ 2½   2nk 2¾ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 4.50 5.30  
6  OUR GIRL ASHLEY 6 6 57½ 57½   44½ 35¾ (hof bi)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.50 26% 2.90 2.20 S
2  STEEL NERVES 2 3 34½ 35½   34 46¾ (hurley denni)SMITH E 126 4.00 1.90  
4  UNBRIDLED BIRDIE 4 4 45½ 46½   55½ 57¼ (goode cry)JENSEN P 126 8.00 16% 5.40 13.70  
3  FLY PATTI FLY 3 5 68½ 68   68½ 612 (lawrence heath)WEBB B 124 2.00 22% 3.50 2.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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