Handicappers' Race Results
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Tillamook County Fair
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TIL-1   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $24.40 $24.40 18.40
TIL-3   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $9.20  
TIL-5   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $3.80  
TIL-6   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $23.20 $23.20 17.20
TIL-7   Win (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TIL-8   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $15.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-1   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AT U LOVER 4 2 1nk 13   12½ 1¾ (stillwell tucke)LOPEZ E 126 4.00 5% 19.00 11.20 W
2  MY LITE NITE 2 3 33½ 46½   22½ 2¾ (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 45% 1.20 1.00 P
3  POSEIDON'S MAGIC 3 4 43¾ 34   34½ 33¼ (dennis clift)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00 5.60  
1  PHANTOMS BOOK 1 1 2nk 23   44½ 44 (mcdevitt tif)PRECIADO A 126 3.00 3.30  
5  CHIEFS LIL PEARL 5 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (boyle ma)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 33% 2.00 2.10  
 
TIL-3   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AMANDA'S BEACH BOY 3 2 21 2½   11 11 (stillwel)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00 3.60  
3  TOM'S MOON 2 4 32 41½   32½ 21 (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00 2.20  
1  LONGFORD 1 1 11 1½   21 31¾ (guerrero dieg)GUERRERO C 126 5.00 3.60  
5  LUKE'S PLACE 4 3 43 31½   44½ 43¾ (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 54% 0.90 0.80  
SCR  GATO NEGRO               (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 1.60 24% 3.10    
SCR  JHAWK FLYER               (stewart larr)CRUZ DIAZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIL-5   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:024         1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ZEVA DEE 1 2 24 22   13 17¾ (potts a)SMITH E 124 2.50 0.90  
3  ZEPHYR CAT 2 3 35 36   33 27¾ (hurley denn)JENSEN P 126 10.00 6.60  
4  MISCHIEF MAME 3 1 14 12   23 38½ (harris john)LOPEZ E 124 3.00 0.80  
6  MANUELS TABLE 4 4 417 421   423 438½ (mcdevitt tif)PRECIADO A 124 8.00 22% 3.60 10.60  
SCR  MADAME CAUSEWAY               (lyons ke)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  SIXINTHECITY               (hoover cindy)CRUZ DIAZ 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
TIL-6   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ELLE VICTOIRE 5 4 33½ 34½   2nk 13½ (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 10% 8.70 10.60 W
6  CHEDOODLE RYLEE 6 2 2½ 1½   1nk 23½ (lawrence heath)WEBB B 124 10.00 14.90  
4  WARNING SOUND 4 3 44 47½   34 34 (hurley dennis)SMITH E 126 6.00 5% 19.00 7.70 S
1  SPORTS FOR WOMEN 1 5 58 611   46 46¼ (lyons s)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 2.50 2.20  
2  SHORT JOURNEY 2 6 69 510   58 59 (magallanes h)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 124 1.60 61% 0.60 0.70  
3  A STORM TOO SOON 3 1 1½ 2½   69 615¾ (potts ashle)IRONEYES R 124 4.00 7.30  
 
TIL-7   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
1:021         1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOOLISH TO DECEIVE 1 4 45 46   2nk 11¼ (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60 W
3  BEING A BOSS 3 6 611 59   43 21¼ (harris j)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 6.70  
5  HASHTAG BAE 5 3 34½ 34½   31 31¼ (hoover cindy)CRUZ DIAZ 126 3.00 3.50  
7  PACKRAT BRANT 7 5 58½ 69   54 42½ (stewart larry)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00 80.50  
6  CRESCENT WILDCAT 6 1 12½ 13   1nk 53¾ (crystal dustie)SMITH E 126 4.00 6% 16.20 2.50  
2  CAPES HOT ROCKET 2 2 22½ 23   66 65¾ (hurley dennis)GUERRERO C 126 12.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
4  DARK LEOPARD 4 7 712½ 717   716 720¾ (dennis clift)PRECIADO A 126 10.00 6.50  
 
TIL-8   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
See original race card.
1:022         1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R HAPPY PLACE 1 1 11½ 1½   1nk 1¾ (lawrence heath)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 6.00 6.90  
5  MISSY PARKER 5 2 21½ 2½   2nk 2¾ (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 4.50 5.30  
6  OUR GIRL ASHLEY 6 6 57½ 57½   44½ 35¾ (hof bill)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.50 26% 2.90 2.20 S
2  STEEL NERVES 2 3 34½ 35½   34 46¾ (hurley dennis)SMITH E 126 4.00 1.90  
4  UNBRIDLED BIRDIE 4 4 45½ 46½   55½ 57¼ (goode cryst)JENSEN P 126 8.00 16% 5.40 13.70  
3  FLY PATTI FLY 3 5 68½ 68   68½ 612 (lawrence heath)WEBB B 124 2.00 22% 3.50 2.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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