The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Tillamook County Fair
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TIL-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $24.40 $24.40 18.40
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 4-2-3 3 0 $243.60 -1.20
TIL-3   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 4 1 0 $9.20 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 4-3-1 3 0 $54.60 0.00
TIL-5   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 0 $3.80 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 2-3-4 3 0 $17.60 0.00
TIL-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $23.20 $23.20 17.20
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6-4 3 0 $1289.20 -12.00
TIL-7   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
    Trifecta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $2.00 $48.00 1-3-5 3 0 $47.00 -48.00
TIL-8   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $15.80 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5-6 3 0 $642.60 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-1 2 0 $44.00 -24.00

Simulator Race results

 
TIL-1   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AT U LOVER 4 2 1nk 13   11¾ (stillwell tucke)LOPEZ E 126 4.00 5% 19.00 11.20 W
MY LITE NITE 2 3 3 4   22¾ (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 45% 1.20 1.00 P
POSEIDON'S MAGIC 3 4 4 34   33(dennis clift)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00 5.60  
PHANTOMS BOOK 1 1 2nk 23   444 (mcdevitt tif)PRECIADO A 126 3.00 3.30  
CHIEFS LIL PEARL 5 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (boyle ma)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 33% 2.00 2.10  
 
TIL-3   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA'S BEACH BOY 4 2 21 2½   11 11 (stillwel)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00 3.60  
TOM'S MOON 3 4 32 4   321 (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00 2.20  
LONGFORD 1 1 11 1½   21 3(guerrero dieg)GUERRERO C 126 5.00 3.60  
LUKE'S PLACE 5 3 43 3   44(hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 54% 0.90 0.80  
GATO NEGRO 2             (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 1.60 24% 3.10    
JHAWK FLYER 6             (stewart larr)CRUZ DIAZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIL-5   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
1:024         1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEVA DEE 2 2 24 22   13 1(potts a)SMITH E 124 2.50 0.90  
ZEPHYR CAT 3 3 35 36   33 2(hurley denn)JENSEN P 126 10.00 6.60  
MISCHIEF MAME 4 1 14 12   23 3(harris john)LOPEZ E 124 3.00 0.80  
MANUELS TABLE 6 4 417 421   423 438½ (mcdevitt tif)PRECIADO A 124 8.00 22% 3.60 10.60  
MADAME CAUSEWAY 1             (lyons ke)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 33% 2.10    
SIXINTHECITY 5             (hoover cindy)CRUZ DIAZ 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
TIL-6   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELLE VICTOIRE 5 4 3 3   2nk 1(crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 10% 8.70 10.60 W
CHEDOODLE RYLEE 6 2 2½ 1½   1nk 2(lawrence heath)WEBB B 124 10.00 14.90  
WARNING SOUND 4 3 44 4   34 34 (hurley dennis)SMITH E 126 6.00 5% 19.00 7.70 S
SPORTS FOR WOMEN 1 5 58 611   46 4(lyons s)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 2.50 2.20  
SHORT JOURNEY 2 6 69 510   58 59 (magallanes h)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 124 1.60 61% 0.60 0.70  
A STORM TOO SOON 3 1 1½ 2½   69 615¾ (potts as)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 4.00 7.30  
 
TIL-7   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
1:021         1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH TO DECEIVE 1 4 45 46   2nk 1(crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60 W
BEING A BOSS 3 6 611 59   43 2(harris j)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 6.70  
HASHTAG BAE 5 3 3 3   31 3(hoover cindy)CRUZ DIAZ 126 3.00 3.50  
PACKRAT BRANT 7 5 5 69   54 4(stewart larry)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00 80.50  
CRESCENT WILDCAT 6 1 1 13   1nk 5(crystal dustie)SMITH E 126 4.00 6% 16.20 2.50  
CAPES HOT ROCKET 2 2 2 23   66 6(hurley dennis)GUERRERO C 126 12.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
DARK LEOPARD 4 7 712½ 717   716 720¾ (dennis clift)PRECIADO A 126 10.00 6.50  
 
TIL-8   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
1:022         1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R HAPPY PLACE 1 1 1 1½   1nk 1¾ (lawrence heath)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 6.00 6.90  
MISSY PARKER 5 2 2 2½   2nk 2¾ (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 4.50 5.30  
OUR GIRL ASHLEY 6 6 5 5   43(hof bill)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.50 26% 2.90 2.20 S
STEEL NERVES 2 3 3 3   34 4(hurley dennis)SMITH E 126 4.00 1.90  
UNBRIDLED BIRDIE 4 4 4 4   55(goode cryst)JENSEN P 126 8.00 16% 5.40 13.70  
FLY PATTI FLY 3 5 6 68   6612 (lawrence heath)WEBB B 124 2.00 22% 3.50 2.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.