Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tillamook County Fair
Wednesday - August 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TIL-1   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TIL-3   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TIL-5   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TIL-6   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TIL-7   Win (1/6/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TIL-8   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TIL-1   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHANTOMS BOOK Jun24 Jun18 Jun10 Aug28 Aug19 (mcdevitt tif)PRECIADO A 126 3.00    
MY LITE NITE Jul04 Jun24 Jun18 Aug11 Jul15 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
POSEIDON'S MAGIC Jul23 Jul15 Oct02 Sep25 Sep10 (dennis clift)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 126 6.00    
AT U LOVER Jun24 Aug21 Aug11 Jul03 Jun21 (stillwell tucke)LOPEZ E 126 4.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEFS LIL PEARL Jun18 Aug27 Aug10 Jul04 Jun21 (boyle ma)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
TIL-3   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONGFORD Jul12 Jun18 Jun11 Jun10 Aug11 (guerrero dieg)GUERRERO C 126 5.00    
TOM'S MOON Jul23 Jul16 Jun16 Jun03 May13 (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00    
AMANDA'S BEACH BOY         (stillwel)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 12.00    
LUKE'S PLACE Jul12 Jul04 Jun25 Jun18 Jul13 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  GATO NEGRO Jul12 Jul02 Jun11 May13 Apr23 (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 1.60 24% 3.10    
SCR  JHAWK FLYER Jun25 Jun11 Aug11 Jul14 Jun28 (stewart larr)CRUZ DIAZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIL-5   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZEVA DEE Jul28 Jul14 Jul02 Jun03 May13 (potts a)SMITH E 124 2.50    
ZEPHYR CAT Jul01 Aug21 Jul09 Jun17   (hurley denn)JENSEN P 126 10.00    
MISCHIEF MAME Jul08 Jun11 Jun03 May21 May01 (harris john)LOPEZ E 124 3.00    
MANUELS TABLE         (mcdevitt tif)PRECIADO A 124 8.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  MADAME CAUSEWAY Jul22         (lyons ke)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  SIXINTHECITY         (hoover cindy)CRUZ DIAZ 126 6.00 22% 3.60    
 
TIL-6   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST MSW5000 ($0K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPORTS FOR WOMEN Jul04 Jun17 May26 May04 Apr09 (lyons s)CONTRERAS CRUZ 124 2.50    
SHORT JOURNEY Jun24 Jun03 Mar12 Feb25 Feb21 (magallanes h)JIMENEZ SANTIAGO 124 1.60 61% 0.60    
A STORM TOO SOON Jul02 Jun11 Jun03     (potts ashle)IRONEYES R 124 4.00    
WARNING SOUND Jul01 Jun17 Aug27 Aug19 Aug07 (hurley dennis)SMITH E 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
ELLE VICTOIRE Jul01 Jun17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul11 (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 8.00 10% 8.70    
CHEDOODLE RYLEE Jul02 Jun11       (lawrence heath)WEBB B 124 10.00    
 
TIL-7   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM3200NW1Y ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOOLISH TO DECEIVE Jul04 Jun17 Sep04 Sep02 Aug12 (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 59% 0.70    
CAPES HOT ROCKET Jun24 Jun17 Aug26 Aug21 Jul15 (hurley dennis)GUERRERO C 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
BEING A BOSS Jul04 Jun25 Aug11 Jul03 Jun18 (harris j)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00    
DARK LEOPARD Jul30 Jul22 Jul16 Sep25 Sep10 (dennis clift)PRECIADO A 126 10.00    
HASHTAG BAE Jun03 May20 Aug14 Jul24 Jun26 (hoover cindy)CRUZ DIAZ 126 3.00    
CRESCENT WILDCAT Jun24 Jun17 Jun09 Aug26 Aug20 (crystal dustie)SMITH E 126 4.00 6% 16.20    
PACKRAT BRANT Jul12 Jun25 Jun10 Aug11   (stewart larry)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TIL-8   08/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST CLM5000NW2L ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R HAPPY PLACE Jul12 Jun10 Jun04 Apr10 Mar18 (lawrence heath)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 6.00    
STEEL NERVES Jul12 Jul01 Jun17 Aug21 Jul16 (hurley dennis)SMITH E 126 4.00    
FLY PATTI FLY Jul12 Jul02 Jun16 May27 May14 (lawrence heath)WEBB B 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
UNBRIDLED BIRDIE Jul12 Jul01 Jun24 Jun27 Jun21 (goode cryst)JENSEN P 126 8.00 16% 5.40    
MISSY PARKER Jul01 Jun17 Jun10 Aug26 Aug19 (crystal dustie)LOPEZ E 126 4.50    
OUR GIRL ASHLEY Jul14 Jun03 May13     (hof bill)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.