Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Great Falls
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GF-2   EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $3.00 $18.00  3-5 $95.70 $77.70 432%
GF-7   WIN (8/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $27.40 $19.40 243%
    EXA (8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1) 12 $3.00 $36.00  5-8 $78.90 $42.90 119%
    TRI (8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  5-8-6 $83.20 $35.20 73%
GF-8   DD (8/5/6/1)-(4/3/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-3 $74.60 $42.60 133%
Simulator Race results
 
GF-2   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
1:07         1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  IMA TROUBLE MAKER 3 2 1½ 11   11 1nk (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 121 7.00 15% 5.70 2.20 W
5  HAYNESPUN 5 1 2½ 21   21 2nk (warren ka)IRONEYES R 121 1.60 36% 1.80 2.90 P
4  FOREST SONG 4 3 33½ 37   38 310½ (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 121 2.00 5.70  
1  MALIBU ROSE 1 5 58½ 410   410 411½ (meineke jessica)GERVAIS M 121 5.00 6.90  
2  MISTY MATT 2 4 46½ 510½   511½ 514 (depew ji)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 15% 5.60 1.40  
 
GF-3   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:302         1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARRIZO SPRINGS 1 2 12 13   14 12¼ (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 2.00 3.60  
2  ARBUCKLE OUTLAW 2 3 33 44   24 22¼ (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 70% 0.40 0.70 P
3  TOM'S MOON 3 5 43½ 33½   36 311 (dennis g)ROCK ZACH 126 7.00 5% 19.00 4.10 S
4  GEBO 4 1 22 23   411 416¾ (warren ka)IRONEYES R 126 4.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
5  FLUSHING FLASH 5 4 54 57   511½ 520 (crooke)BIRDRATTLER E 126 5.00 6.80  
 
GF-4   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:081         1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY 2 1 2nk 1½   12½ 16¾ (warren ka)IRONEYES R 126 2.50 0.90  
3  ONE SHOT TO WIN 3 3 33 33   22½ 26¾ (schmit)BIRDRATTLER E 126 2.00 37% 1.70 2.40 P
1  SHE GLITTERS 1 2 1nk 2½   32½ 39½ (reevis narsi)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 4.00 3.40  
5  SERENGETI SIX 4 4 47 411   47½ 410¼ (lawrence jostin)GERVAIS M 126 7.00 20% 3.90 3.40  
SCR  TAP THAT SPOT               (birdratt)HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00    
 
GF-5   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:084         1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRIVATE TRAX 3 1 1½ 1nk   11½ 1¼ (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 1.60  
6  OAKDALE ROAD 6 2 43 43¼   21½ 2¼ (meineke )HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 8% 12.20 6.70 P
1  PALACEDANCER 1 5 31 33   43½ 39½ (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 126 2.00 56% 0.80 2.00 S
4  DREAMED IT 4 3 2½ 2nk   32 410 (reevis)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.50 9% 10.10 5.00  
2  OFF AGAIN ON AGAIN 2 4 54 55¼   55 511¾ (birdrattler tim)GERVAIS M 126 8.00 7.40  
5  BERACUDA HEART 5 6 612 610¼   610 620½ (birdrattler nathan)LARSEN S 126 4.00 6.00  
 
GF-6   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:09         1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRAIRIE SQUALL 4 2 1½ 1½   1nk 12 (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 4.00 22% 3.50 2.50 W
6  MOONSHINE MAX 6 3 31 2½   2nk 22 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 1.10  
8  NINADAVINA 7 1 42½ 44½   35 39¾ (birdratt)HERNANDEZ J 121 7.00 13.60  
3  AFFLUENT ASSET 3 6 79½ 67½   57½ 414½ (lawrence jo)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 8.00 8% 10.90 7.50  
2  DARK LEOPARD 2 5 53½ 57   68 516½ (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 4.50 7.30  
5  STAR OF KOBOL 5 4 2½ 33½   47 619¼ (fantin)BIRDRATTLER E 121 6.00 28% 2.60 15.60  
1  DA GUNNER 1 7 67½ 78½   79½ 720¼ (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 126 5.00 17% 4.70 6.10  
SCR  COWBOY SKINY KENNY               (lawrence jostin)CALVA R 126 10.00    
 
GF-7   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Howard's Pizza Prince Purse ($8.8K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:063         1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HUG THE MUNNY 4 2 2½ 2½   1½ 11½ (schmitt )HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00 22% 3.50 12.70 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUG DOC by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8  SAN GIORGIO 7 1 1½ 1½   2½ 21½ (warren kayla)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 30% 2.40 3.00 P
  (by GIROLAMO out of PAJAMA BOTTOM by INCLUDE)
6  EYE CANDY RANDY 5 3 32½ 31   31½ 33¼ (birdrattler tim)GAMEZ M 126 4.00 13% 7.00 2.40 S
  (by RACE DAY out of ELUSIVE FLOWER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  GOTTA LOVE IKE 2 5 57½ 45   43 45¼ (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 126 6.00 3.20  
  (by ICON IKE out of MAMA'S MAD MONEY by SAVE BIG MONEY)
4  SCOOTER'S BOY 3 7 79 511   54 56¼ (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 7.00 3.80  
  (by FLATTER out of EK HASEENA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
1  HEREDIA BOXER 1 6 68 612½   612 619 (birdrattler)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 10.00 11% 8.00 10.40  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of COASTAL SUNRISE by CONGRATS)
7  ROSAT 6 4 45½ 714   713 720¼ (crooked dale)ROCK ZACH 126 8.00 7.60  
  (by TRIBAL RULE out of AMAPOLA'S WISH by COZZENE)
SCR  SQUARE ROOT               (depew )BIRDRATTLER E 126 4.50    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of PREDICATE by CONGRATS)
 
GF-8   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:06         1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TEXAS LONG BOW 3 2 2½ 1½   1½ 13¼ (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 31% 2.20 1.90 W
4  WRATH 4 1 1½ 2½   2½ 23¼ (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 4.00 36% 1.80 2.70 P
2  MAKAH LANE 2 6 64 32   310½ 312¾ (birdrattler)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 10.00 7.00  
6  RIDGEFIELD ROCKET 6 4 42½ 52½   414½ 416¾ (birdrattler tim)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 9% 10.40 8.50  
7  REDDISH 7 5 53½ 64½   516½ 521 (meineke )HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 5.30  
5  GO ADMIRAL GO 5 7 75 75½   619½ 622 (burd marci)ROCK ZACH 126 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
1  PERSISTENT TOUCH 1 3 31 42½   723½ 736 (conway)BIRDRATTLER E 126 4.50 8.90  
SCR  GEMINI BAY               (birdrattl)IRONEYES R 126 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.