Handicappers' Race Results

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Great Falls
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

GF-2   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
GF-3   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $9.20  
GF-4   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $3.80  
GF-5   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.20  
GF-6   Win (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
GF-7   Win (8/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $27.40 $27.40 19.40
GF-8   Win (4/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  

Simulator Race results

 
GF-2   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
1:07         1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA TROUBLE MAKER 3 2 1½ 11   11 1nk (nelson buckshot)GAMEZ M 121 7.00 15% 5.70 2.20 W
HAYNESPUN 5 1 2½ 21   21 2nk (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 121 1.60 36% 1.80 2.90 P
FOREST SONG 4 3 3 37   38 310½ (schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 121 2.00 5.70  
MALIBU ROSE 1 5 5 410   410 411½ (meineke jessica)GERVAIS M 121 5.00 6.90  
MISTY MATT 2 4 4 510½   511½ 514 (depew jim)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 15% 5.60 1.40  
 
GF-3   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
1:302         1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARRIZO SPRINGS 1 2 12 13   14 1 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 122 2.00 3.60  
ARBUCKLE OUTLAW 2 3 33 44   24 2 (schindler )HERNANDEZ J 126 2.50 70% 0.40 0.70 P
TOM'S MOON 3 5 4 3   36 311 (dennis g)ROCK ZACH 126 7.00 5% 19.00 4.10 S
GEBO 4 1 22 23   411 416¾ (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 126 4.00 5% 19.00 5.60  
FLUSHING FLASH 5 4 54 57   511½ 520 (crooked )BIRDRATTLER E 126 5.00 6.80  
 
GF-4   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
1:081         1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY 2 1 2nk 1½   1 1 (warren kayl)IRONEYES R 126 2.50 0.90  
ONE SHOT TO WIN 3 3 33 33   2 2 (schmitt )BIRDRATTLER E 126 2.00 37% 1.70 2.40 P
SHE GLITTERS 1 2 1nk 2½   3 3 (reevis narsis)JOHNSON SHANAE 126 4.00 3.40  
SERENGETI SIX 4 4 47 411   4 410¼ (lawrence jostin)GERVAIS M 126 7.00 20% 3.90 3.40  
SCR  TAP THAT SPOT               (birdrattle)HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00    
 
GF-5   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:084         1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE TRAX 3 1 1½ 1nk   1 1¼ (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 3.00 1.60  
OAKDALE ROAD 6 2 43 4   2 2¼ (meineke je)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 8% 12.20 6.70 P
PALACEDANCER 1 5 31 33   4 3 (birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126 2.00 56% 0.80 2.00 S
DREAMED IT 4 3 2½ 2nk   32 410 (reevis n)BIRDRATTLER E 126 3.50 9% 10.10 5.00  
OFF AGAIN ON AGAIN 2 4 54 5   55 511¾ (birdrattler tim)GERVAIS M 126 8.00 7.40  
BERACUDA HEART 5 6 612 610¼   610 620½ (birdrattler nathanie)LARSEN S 126 4.00 6.00  
 
GF-6   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:09         1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAIRIE SQUALL 4 2 1½ 1½   1nk 12 (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 4.00 22% 3.50 2.50 W
MOONSHINE MAX 6 3 31 2½   2nk 22 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 1.10  
NINADAVINA 7 1 4 4   35 3 (birdrattle)HERNANDEZ J 121 7.00 13.60  
AFFLUENT ASSET 3 6 7 6   5 414½ (lawrence jost)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 8.00 8% 10.90 7.50  
DARK LEOPARD 2 5 5 57   68 516½ (fitzpatrick ryan)ROCK ZACH 126 4.50 7.30  
STAR OF KOBOL 5 4 2½ 3   47 619¼ (fantin c)BIRDRATTLER E 121 6.00 28% 2.60 15.60  
DA GUNNER 1 7 6 7   7 720¼ (birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126 5.00 17% 4.70 6.10  
SCR  COWBOY SKINY KENNY               (lawrence jostin)CALVA R 126 10.00    
 
GF-7   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST Howard's Pizza Prince Purse ($8.8K) 3UP C/G PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:063         1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUG THE MUNNY 4 2 2½ 2½   1½ 1 (schmitt bi)HERNANDEZ J 126 5.00 22% 3.50 12.70 W
SAN GIORGIO 7 1 1½ 1½   2½ 2 (warren kayla)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 30% 2.40 3.00 P
EYE CANDY RANDY 5 3 3 31   3 3 (birdrattler tim)GAMEZ M 126 4.00 13% 7.00 2.40 S
GOTTA LOVE IKE 2 5 5 45   43 4 (birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126 6.00 3.20  
SCOOTER'S BOY 3 7 79 511   54 5 (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 7.00 3.80  
HEREDIA BOXER 1 6 68 612½   612 619 (birdrattler t)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 10.00 11% 8.00 10.40  
ROSAT 6 4 4 714   713 720¼ (crooked dale)ROCK ZACH 126 8.00 7.60  
SCR  SQUARE ROOT               (depew ji)BIRDRATTLER E 126 4.50    
 
GF-8   07/16/2023 3465ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:06         1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS LONG BOW 3 2 2½ 1½   1½ 1 (nelson buckshot)GERVAIS M 126 3.00 31% 2.20 1.90 W
WRATH 4 1 1½ 2½   2½ 2 (ecoffey w)LARSEN S 126 4.00 36% 1.80 2.70 P
MAKAH LANE 2 6 64 32   310½ 312¾ (birdrattler t)FENNELL JERAMIE 126 10.00 7.00  
RIDGEFIELD ROCKET 6 4 4 5   414½ 416¾ (birdrattler tim)GAMEZ M 126 5.00 9% 10.40 8.50  
REDDISH 7 5 5 6   516½ 521 (meineke je)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00 5.30  
GO ADMIRAL GO 5 7 75 7   619½ 622 (burd marci)ROCK ZACH 126 8.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
PERSISTENT TOUCH 1 3 31 4   723½ 736 (conway l)BIRDRATTLER E 126 4.50 8.90  
SCR  GEMINI BAY               (birdrattler)IRONEYES R 126 7.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.