Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Tillamook County Fair
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TIL-8   TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5-3 $34.20 $22.20 185%
    DD (1/5)-(5/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $15.00 $3.00 25%
Simulator Race results
 
TIL-1   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
1:011         1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SMILING SALSA 2 3 21 2½   11½ 13 (root ben)SMITH E 126 2.00 1.20  
2  SHESALILRUNAWAY 1 1 11 1½   21½ 23 (harris)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 124 1.80 2.60  
5  SENSATIONAL CITY 4 2 33½ 45   46½ 39¾ (lyons kendra)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 3.00 64% 0.60 2.00 S
4  LILY PAD LAKE 3 4 44 33½   36½ 411¼ (harshman )JENSEN P 124 3.50 9% 10.50 3.10  
SCR  CAL'S GIRL               (bumgardner)PRECIADO A 126 10.00    
 
TIL-3   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
1:004         1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOW DOSE 5 4 11 15   16 17½ (hof d)SMITH E 126 3.00 1.80  
3  SWISS SCRIPT 3 2 34 35   26 27½ (boyle )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.50 23% 3.30 3.50 P
4  GREAT CURVES 4 5 56 47   37 37¾ (hof bill )JENSEN P 126 4.00 13% 6.80 7.70 S
1  BUSY PAYNTER 1 1 21 25   47½ 411¼ (lawrence heath)WEBB B 126 1.50 35% 1.90 1.30  
2  WATERFALL 2 3 45 58   512½ 517½ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 4.50 5.10  
 
TIL-5   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:02         1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIDNIGHT DADDY 4 2 1½ 11   1½ 11 (stillwell tuc)LOPEZ E 126 6.00 1.50  
  (by LUTES GIFT out of DADDY'S SWEETIE by SCAT DADDY)
3  AX 'S SHORE 3 1 31½ 33   2½ 21 (dennis cl)IRONEYES R 126 4.50 13.20  
  (by AXIOMATIC out of SOUNDLESS SHORE by LATIGO SHORE)
6  TIZ CURLY JOE 5 3 2½ 21   32 31¾ (crystal d)JENSEN P 124 2.50 33% 2.00 2.40 S
  (by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT out of SWISS CAUSE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
2  NEATAPAR 2 4 55 510   511 415¼ (cantrell m)PRECIADO A 126 3.00 26% 2.90 1.50  
  (by UNDERSTATEMENT out of RIO NEATA by BOCA RIO)
1  LIGHT OF FAITH 1 5 44 48   410 515¾ (rodriguez r)GUERRERO C 126 3.50 6.20  
  (by MAN OF FAITH out of TUXEDO DOLLYS by TUXEDO SUIT)
SCR  MORDIGAN               (weissner tas)SMITH E 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by DOMINO JOHNSON out of COUNTESS CAPOTE by CAPOTE'S PROSPECT)
 
TIL-7   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
1:011         1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKEESIX 1 1 11½ 1½   11½ 11 (hof d)SMITH E 126 2.00 46% 1.20 0.80 W
5  GENERAL THAYER 4 3 21½ 2½   21½ 21 (root ben)CONTRERAS CRUZ 126 2.50 22% 3.40 3.30 P
3  CHUMLY 2 4 33 34½   36½ 37¼ (hof bill )JENSEN P 126 3.00 1.30  
4  LOOKIN FOR GOLD 3 2 45½ 47½   414½ 418¾ (weissne)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 8.00 9.90  
SCR  BREXTON               (craig )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00    
 
TIL-8   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
1:011         1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ROMAN RUSH 1 1 1nk 1nk   11 11¾ (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 2.50 26% 2.80 2.20 W
5  WHOS DALLINS DADDY 4 3 32 31   31 21¾ (potts )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00 38% 1.60 3.40 P
3  STARBOARD LIST 2 2 2nk 2nk   21 34¼ (harshman loe)SMITH E 126 4.00 9% 10.50 0.70 S
6  MIZONEY 5 4 44 45   43 46 (sanguino ju)GUERRERO C 121 4.50 5.80  
4  MOLAF 3 5 58 59   57 512¼ (romo jo)GARCIA G 126 6.00 21.70  
SCR  FOREVER GOLD               (hof d)CRUZ DIAZ 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.