Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-2   EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $7.80 $1.80 30%
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SECRET LIFE STYLE 4 6 68½ 56   43 11 (roberson d)ORANTES R 120 15.00 30.20  
3  PRINCE OF LUCK 3 1 41½ 43   22½ 21 (freeman v)RADKE K 125 4.50 9% 10.40 4.70 P
1  BESAME MUCHO 1 5 1½ 11½   12½ 31¾ (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.00 3.80  
2  ANNA'S IRON MAN 2 4 2½ 32½   33 45¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.00 69% 0.50 0.60  
5  MANAALABOUTDAMONEY 5 3 3½ 21½   55 511 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
6  OXBOW PARK 6 2 56½ 610   610 615¼ (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 8.00 18.90  
 
EMD-2   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BUGS 1 6 1½ 12½   12 12¾ (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 125 1.20 30% 2.30 0.30 W
6  SMILING PREACHER 6 4 31½ 22½   22 22¾ (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 19% 4.40 13.00 P
2  EXIT STAGE LEFT 2 5 43 46   46½ 311 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 12.60  
3  POCO DIABLO ROJO 3 3 55 59   58½ 413½ (baze rober)CRUZ DIAZ 121 6.00 16.60  
5  LET GEORGE DO IT 5 2 2½ 34   36 513¾ (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 2.50 30% 2.40 4.20  
4  OUR HY ROLLER 4 1 67 610   610½ 617¾ (baze robert)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 18.10  
 
EMD-3   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 9:01
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANCELLORS BOOM 1 1 11½ 13   15 17¼ (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 10.00 3.30  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHANCE ENCOUNTER by MASS MEDIA)
6  DYNAMIC SECRET 5 2 21½ 33   25 27¼ (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.50 39% 1.60 1.40 P
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of BAY STREET BEAUTY by HARBOR THE GOLD)
8  ALLANTE 7 4 54 46   48 310¼ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 S
  (by COAST GUARD out of LADY DIVA by MALT MAGIC)
2  WHEREVER YOU ARE 2 6 32½ 23   35½ 412¾ (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 120 4.00 ★ 4.30 DH
  (by DIALED IN out of MY HEART GOES ON by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
7  WELL IMAGINE THAT 6 3 64 610   510 412¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00 37% 1.70 5.60 DH
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AWESOME SONG by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  CALORESE 4 7 78 711½   611 613¼ (patino faustino)CRUZ M 120 8.00 21.90  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHITELACENPROMISES by MORE THAN READY)
4  BOSSYBYNATURE 3 5 43 58½   711 723¼ (navarro jose)ANAYA V 120 15.00 19.20  
  (by COAST GUARD out of OUR SILVER LINING by PACKY)
SCR  WHERE YOU GONNA GO               (van debbie)MATIAS J 120 5.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MARGARET'S MIRACLE by SLEWDLEDO)
 
EMD-4   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:29
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:131 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUPER CLASSIC 5 3 32 2½ 21 1nk 13¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 56% 0.80 0.60 W
1  MARKSMAN ON TARGET 1 1 11½ 1½ 11 2nk 23¾ (bean a)MONTALVO C 123 2.50 3.80  
2  THIRSTY KISS 2 4 43 42 32½ 32½ 35¾ (chattong vichien)RADKE K 123 10.00 10% 8.60 13.30 S
4  WARRIORS HERO 3 5 53½ 31½ 44 44½ 410 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 123 3.50 3.10  
5  LARSEN BAY 4 2 21½ 52 57 57½ 512¾ (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
SCR  BARBARIAN               (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00    
 
EMD-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:56
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DRAGON WORKS 2 6 52¾ 31½   22 11¾ (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 7.00  
6  SENSIBLE LUTE 6 1 11½ 11   12 21¾ (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.70 P
1  ENGLISH MEADOW 1 8 65¼ 64¼   55½ 32 (leonard w)WHITAKER J 125 15.00 15.10  
4  SQUARE FUN 4 4 21½ 41½   33 43¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 3.90  
8  CAPE UNION 8 3 75¼ 89¼   77¼ 57¼ (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.50 18% 4.50 8.40  
3  POCKET KNIFE 3 7 86¼ 76¼   67 610½ (carlson a)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 19.00  
7  NATION'S BELLE 7 2 31½ 21   45½ 710½ (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00 24% 3.10 3.20  
5  LIBBY'S GAMBIT 5 5 42½ 54   88¼ 811½ (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 4.00 34% 2.00 2.50  
 
EMD-6   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABRAAJ MIRAGE 1 4 11½ 11   11½ 11¼ (toye joe)RADKE K 125 2.50 30% 2.30 1.50 W
2  EXECUTIVE ACTION 2 5 33 21   21½ 21¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.60 27% 2.70 0.90 P
4  HADLEES HONOR 4 1 54½ 43   44½ 32¾ (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 10.00 8.80  
3  REGULATION DAZED 3 2 21½ 31   32½ 43¼ (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 121 10.00 22% 3.60 6.20  
6  LOOSE BALL 5 3 44½ 54   56½ 59½ (cornier edwi)OROZCO E 125 20.00 22.80  
SCR  JACK SPROUT               (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00    
 
EMD-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:104 1:241   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AFFIRM CHIEF 3 4 512 512 32 31 11 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.40 18% 4.60 0.80 W
4  FORTY SMOOCHES 4 2 35 35 2nk 2½ 21 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 8.00 13.80  
5  PROVOST 5 1 23 24 1nk 1½ 32 (evans justin)CRUZ M 123 2.00 49% 1.00 2.30 S
6  HEY SEQUOIA 6 6 613 614 66¼ 55 42¾ (wenzel tom)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00 11.60  
1  HARD TO DENY 1 5 49 411 53¼ 45 54¾ (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 4.50 12% 7.10 5.00  
2  DECIMATE 2 3 13 14 42¼ 613 623¼ (gabriel lu)CRUZ DIAZ 123 20.00 33.10  
 
EMD-8   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:16
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:13     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUBITO SLEW 5 3 43 42½   2nk 1¼ (koler steve)ZUNINO L 125 5.00 3.30  
4  THE GOLDEN EGG 3 2 31½ 21½   1nk 2¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 1.80 47% 1.10 0.90 P
2  CASH'S CAT 1 4 11 11½   3.2 31¼ (silva-martin)OROZCO E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20 S
3  YANKEE GO HOME 2 6 53 32½   41¼ 45¾ (pierce l)RADKE K 125 8.00 9% 9.60 6.90  
5  ALEX'S DREAM 4 5 66 67½   56¼ 513 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 4.00 7.30  
7  COLE'S DYNAMITE 6 1 21 54½   68¼ 623¼ (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 121 15.00 22.50  
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY               (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.
 
 
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