Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $62.40  
EMD-2   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
EMD-3   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.60  
EMD-4   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
EMD-5   Win (5/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $16.00  
EMD-6   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
EMD-7   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
EMD-8   Win (4/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $8.60  

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET LIFE STYLE 4 6 6 56   43 11 (roberson don)ORANTES R 120 15.00 30.20  
PRINCE OF LUCK 3 1 4 43   2 21 (freeman v)RADKE K 125 4.50 9% 10.40 4.70 P
BESAME MUCHO 1 5 1½ 1   1 3 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.00 3.80  
ANNA'S IRON MAN 2 4 2½ 3   33 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.00 69% 0.50 0.60  
MANAALABOUTDAMONEY 5 3 3½ 2   55 511 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
OXBOW PARK 6 2 5 610   610 615¼ (silva-martinez)OROZCO E 125 8.00 18.90  
 
EMD-2   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BUGS 1 6 1½ 1   12 1 (cryderman candice)CRUZ M 125 1.20 30% 2.30 0.30 W
SMILING PREACHER 6 4 3 2   22 2 (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 19% 4.40 13.00 P
EXIT STAGE LEFT 2 5 43 46   4 311 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00 12.60  
POCO DIABLO ROJO 3 3 55 59   5 413½ (baze robert)CRUZ DIAZ 121 6.00 16.60  
LET GEORGE DO IT 5 2 2½ 34   36 513¾ (gabriel lucian)OROZCO E 125 2.50 30% 2.40 4.20  
OUR HY ROLLER 4 1 67 610   610½ 617¾ (baze robert)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 18.10  
 
EMD-3   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 9:01
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANCELLORS BOOM 1 1 1 13   15 1 (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 10.00 3.30  
DYNAMIC SECRET 5 2 2 33   25 2 (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.50 39% 1.60 1.40 P
ALLANTE 7 4 54 46   48 310¼ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70 S
WHEREVER YOU ARE 2 6 3 23   3 412¾ (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 120 4.00 4.30 DH
WELL IMAGINE THAT 6 3 64 610   510 412¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00 37% 1.70 5.60 DH
CALORESE 4 7 78 711½   611 613¼ (patino faustino)CRUZ M 120 8.00 21.90  
BOSSYBYNATURE 3 5 43 5   711 723¼ (navarro jose)ANAYA V 120 15.00 19.20  
SCR  WHERE YOU GONNA GO               (van debbie)MATIAS J 120 5.00    
 
EMD-4   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:29
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:131 1:253   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CLASSIC 5 3 32 2½ 21 1nk 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 56% 0.80 0.60 W
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 1 1 1 1½ 11 2nk 2 (bean a)MONTALVO C 123 2.50 3.80  
THIRSTY KISS 2 4 43 42 3 3 3 (chattong vichien)RADKE K 123 10.00 10% 8.60 13.30 S
WARRIORS HERO 3 5 5 3 44 4 410 (pierce l)CRUZ M 123 3.50 3.10  
LARSEN BAY 4 2 2 52 57 5 512¾ (belvoir howard)VALDES ALEXIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
SCR  BARBARIAN               (perez hila)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00    
 
EMD-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:56
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAGON WORKS 2 6 5 3   22 1 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 7.00  
SENSIBLE LUTE 6 1 1 11   12 2 (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00 6.70 P
ENGLISH MEADOW 1 8 6 6   5 32 (leonard w)WHITAKER J 125 15.00 15.10  
SQUARE FUN 4 4 2 4   33 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 3.90  
CAPE UNION 8 3 7 8   7 5 (troiani niccolo)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.50 18% 4.50 8.40  
POCKET KNIFE 3 7 8 7   67 610½ (carlson a)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 19.00  
NATION'S BELLE 7 2 3 21   4 710½ (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00 24% 3.10 3.20  
LIBBY'S GAMBIT 5 5 4 54   8 811½ (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 4.00 34% 2.00 2.50  
 
EMD-6   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 1 4 1 11   1 1 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 2.50 30% 2.30 1.50 W
EXECUTIVE ACTION 2 5 33 21   2 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.60 27% 2.70 0.90 P
HADLEES HONOR 4 1 5 43   4 3 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 10.00 8.80  
REGULATION DAZED 3 2 2 31   3 4 (nunnally jennifer)CRUZ M 121 10.00 22% 3.60 6.20  
LOOSE BALL 5 3 4 54   5 5 (cornier edwin )OROZCO E 125 20.00 22.80  
SCR  JACK SPROUT               (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00    
 
EMD-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:104 1:241   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFFIRM CHIEF 3 4 512 512 32 31 11 (gabriel lu)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.40 18% 4.60 0.80 W
FORTY SMOOCHES 4 2 35 35 2nk 2½ 21 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 8.00 13.80  
PROVOST 5 1 23 24 1nk 1½ 32 (evans justin)CRUZ M 123 2.00 49% 1.00 2.30 S
HEY SEQUOIA 6 6 613 614 6 55 4 (wenzel tom)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00 11.60  
HARD TO DENY 1 5 49 411 5 45 5 (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 4.50 12% 7.10 5.00  
DECIMATE 2 3 13 14 4 613 623¼ (gabriel luci)CRUZ DIAZ 123 20.00 33.10  
 
EMD-8   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:16
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:13     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBITO SLEW 5 3 43 4   2nk 1¼ (koler steve)ZUNINO L 125 5.00 3.30  
THE GOLDEN EGG 3 2 3 2   1nk 2¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 1.80 47% 1.10 0.90 P
CASH'S CAT 1 4 11 1   3.2 3 (silva-martinez)OROZCO E 121 12.00 5% 19.00 5.20 S
YANKEE GO HOME 2 6 53 3   4 4 (pierce l)RADKE K 125 8.00 9% 9.60 6.90  
ALEX'S DREAM 4 5 66 6   5 513 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 4.00 7.30  
COLE'S DYNAMITE 6 1 21 5   6 623¼ (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 121 15.00 22.50  
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY               (metz jeffr)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.