Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - August 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(1/5/6)-(6/7/8) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(6/7/8)-(6/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/2/8)-(6/7/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(6/2/5)-(5/7/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(5/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/7/8/6)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/7/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6)-(5/7/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/8/6)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/8/6)-(1/2/3)-(5/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/3/1)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-7   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-8   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BESAME MUCHO Jul09 Jul01 Jun04 May20 Mar19 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.00    
2  ANNA'S IRON MAN Jul22 Jul14 Jun17 Jun04 May20 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.00 69% 0.50    
3  PRINCE OF LUCK Aug05 Jul23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 (freeman v)RADKE K 125 4.50 9% 10.40    
4  SECRET LIFE STYLE Jul28 Jul14 Feb28 Nov01 Sep17 (roberson d)ORANTES R 120 15.00    
5  MANAALABOUTDAMONEY Jul28 Jul08 Jun25 May22 Mar18 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  OXBOW PARK Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 Sep18 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 125 8.00    
 
EMD-2   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BUGS Aug06 Jul15 Jul01     (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 125 1.20 30% 2.30    
2  EXIT STAGE LEFT Aug11 Jul28 Jul07 Jun16 Sep10 (bullock steve)NEGRON LUIS 121 5.00    
3  POCO DIABLO ROJO Aug11         (baze robert)ANAYA V 121 6.00    
4  OUR HY ROLLER Aug06 Jul15       (baze robert)MONTALVO C 125 8.00    
5  LET GEORGE DO IT Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 Jun04 May28 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 125 2.50 30% 2.40    
6  SMILING PREACHER         (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 19% 4.40    
 
EMD-3   08/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 9:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHANCELLORS BOOM Aug05         (gibson vince)RADKE K 120 10.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHANCE ENCOUNTER by MASS MEDIA)
2  WHEREVER YOU ARE         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 120 4.00 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of MY HEART GOES ON by ALBERTUS MAXIMUS)
SCR  WHERE YOU GONNA GO         (van debbie)MATIAS J 120 5.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MARGARET'S MIRACLE by SLEWDLEDO)
4  BOSSYBYNATURE Jul22         (navarro jose)ANAYA V 120 15.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of OUR SILVER LINING by PACKY)
5  CALORESE Aug05 Jul22       (patino faustino)CRUZ M 120 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of WHITELACENPROMISES by MORE THAN READY)
6  DYNAMIC SECRET Aug05         (jenne bonnie)NEGRON LUIS 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by DYNAMIC IMPACT out of BAY STREET BEAUTY by HARBOR THE GOLD)
7  WELL IMAGINE THAT Jul30 Jul09       (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AWESOME SONG by AWESOME AGAIN)
8  ALLANTE         (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of LADY DIVA by MALT MAGIC)
 
EMD-4   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Aug12 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (bean a)MONTALVO C 123 2.50    
2  THIRSTY KISS Aug05 Jul22 Jul08 Jul03 May27 (chattong vichien)RADKE K 123 10.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  BARBARIAN Jul08 Jul01 Jun09 May29 May20 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 5.00    
4  WARRIORS HERO Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May29 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 123 3.50    
5  LARSEN BAY Jul30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May21 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SUPER CLASSIC Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.80 56% 0.80    
 
EMD-5   08/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENGLISH MEADOW Jul03 May29       (leonard w)WHITAKER J 125 15.00    
2  DRAGON WORKS Jul30 Jul03       (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00    
3  POCKET KNIFE Jul30 Jul14 Jun11 May14 Sep11 (carlson a)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
4  SQUARE FUN Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May28 May05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50    
5  LIBBY'S GAMBIT Jul30         (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
6  SENSIBLE LUTE Jul03 Jun03 May20     (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  NATION'S BELLE Jul23 May20 Sep17     (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 3.00 24% 3.10    
8  CAPE UNION         (troiani nicco)VALDES ALEXIS 125 4.50 18% 4.50    
 
EMD-6   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jul30 Jul16 Jun23 Jun04 May20 (toye joe)RADKE K 125 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  EXECUTIVE ACTION Jul29 Jun23 Jun04 May05 Apr26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.60 27% 2.70    
3  REGULATION DAZED Jul29 Jul15 Jun11 May21 May13 (nunnally jennif)CRUZ M 121 10.00 22% 3.60    
4  HADLEES HONOR Jul30 Jul08 Jul01 Jun11 May27 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 10.00    
SCR  JACK SPROUT Sep09 Aug12       (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 2.00    
6  LOOSE BALL Jul16 Sep18 Aug26 Aug12 Jul09 (cornier edwi)OROZCO E 125 20.00    
 
EMD-7   08/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD TO DENY Jul28 Aug14 Jul02 Mar14 Jan05 (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 4.50 12% 7.10    
2  DECIMATE Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May20 (gabriel lu)CRUZ DIAZ 123 20.00    
3  AFFIRM CHIEF Jul28 Jul02 May29 May20 May06 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.40 18% 4.60    
4  FORTY SMOOCHES Jul30 Jul15 Jun09 May20 Sep10 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 8.00    
5  PROVOST Jul28 Jul09 Jun23 Jun09 May28 (evans justin)CRUZ M 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  HEY SEQUOIA Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 Jun10 May29 (wenzel tom)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00    
 
EMD-8   08/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TREASURE'S REALITY Jul28 Jul09 Jun23     (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  CASH'S CAT Jul28 Jul07 Jun24 May28 May05 (silva-martin)OROZCO E 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  YANKEE GO HOME Jul29 Jun23 Apr04 Jan24 Nov28 (pierce l)RADKE K 125 8.00 9% 9.60    
4  THE GOLDEN EGG Jul29 Jul07 Jun23 May27 Apr03 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 1.80 47% 1.10    
5  ALEX'S DREAM Jun11 Jun04 May20 Apr05 Mar28 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 4.00    
6  SUBITO SLEW Aug06 May28 Aug28 Aug04 Jul04 (koler steve)ZUNINO L 125 5.00    
7  COLE'S DYNAMITE Jul29 Jul15       (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.