The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Fort Erie
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FE-1   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.70 $4.70 -1.30
FE-2   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 7.20
FE-3   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.30 -6.00
FE-4   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
FE-5   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.90 $3.90 -2.10
FE-6   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -3.10
FE-7   Win (2/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
FE-8   Win (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $14.90 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
FE-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:214 :44 :562     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKING MOON 4 2 2nk 1   116 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 26% 2.90 1.35 W
STRONG ENDING 2 4 6 45   44 26 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 20% 4.00 2.45 P
CRAFTY CONQUEST 5 3 32 32   23(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 12% 7.10 4.85 S
JACK BEANSTALK 3 6 5 6   54(simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 5.15  
SUMMER RETREAT 6 1 1nk 2   33 5(robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 11.65  
MOBILIZER 1 5 4 55   66 614½ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 12.00 10.95  
 
FE-2   09/25/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:224 :444 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAIT N SWITCH 2 5 44 3   3.2 1(alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.50 54% 0.90 4.60 W
DON'T STOP DREAMIN 3 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 2(ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 0.65  
VOYANT 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 3(alderson j)RAMSAMMY E 122 5.00 9.20  
HALF TO RELOAD 1 4 3 4   44(blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 20% 3.90 2.70  
ARTIE'S ALL IN 5 3 5 58   5513½ (crete )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 15.10  
SCR  VIDEO VIDA               (mcclachr)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 2.00    
 
FE-3   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
:232 :463 1:111 1:39   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY RUCKUS 3 1 11 1 13 11(mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 3.65  
IRIE ISLAND MAN 4 5 56 5 511 34 2(chud)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 12.00 9% 9.70 6.15 P
NO MORE 2 4 3 3 23 23(humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 27% 2.70 1.25 S
TAYBO 1 3 21 2 47 44(davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.50 3.85  
WIN THE DRAW 5 2 4 4 35 5515¼ (davis ri)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 6.00 12.30  
UNBRIDLED INFERNO 6 6 6 611¼ 617 613½ 632½ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 42% 1.40 6.80  
SCR  AWESOME BREAK               (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50    
 
FE-4   09/25/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
:232 :463 1:114     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUMLIN BIRD 2 1 11 11   11(chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.00 20% 4.00 0.70 W
AWILDAS TREASURE 6 5 6 4   22(powell d)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.00 23% 3.40 3.20 P
SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 1 3 5 6   4311¾ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 124 3.00 10.35  
REIGN BY REIN 3 4 3 3   3412¼ (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 8.00 15% 5.50 5.90  
SILENT BUT VIOLENT 5 6 4 5   6514¾ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 11.30  
SAVVY'S SISTER 4 2 21 21   5618¾ (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 11.60  
SCR  KHOZZY VALINTINE               (mcpherson alex)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.60    
SCR  ROAD MAP               (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00    
 
FE-5   09/25/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
:233 :46 1:093     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORY MARCH 4 4 31 11   11 1(simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 21% 3.80 0.95 W
MORNING THOUGHTS 3 5 42 53   42(voyce )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 7.25  
JUSTIN'S WAY 1 2 1½ 21   21 3(fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 3.50 12% 7.50 6.35 S
ACTION POINT 5 1 52 4   34(robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 122 10.00 6.85  
SEVEN IS A BREEZE 2 6 65 6   65 59 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 4.40  
WILBERFORCE 6 3 2½ 3   54 610 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 32% 2.10 6.50  
SCR  EXECUTIVE GIANT               (burke nigel )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 10.00    
 
FE-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
:222 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J M R GEMMA 5 1 1nk 1   11 1½ (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 3.00 41% 1.40 0.45 W
ORBITING THE SKY 2 4 6 65   42½ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 21% 3.70 25.50 P
LOVE MY CHERYL 3 2 2nk 2   21 3(robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 3.30  
LITTLE FIRE 1 5 7 7   74(maynar)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 9% 9.70 19.25  
EASY ACCESS 4 7 42 4   32 5(keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00 67.70  
HALO STYLE 7 3 31 3   56(dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 7.35  
CEDAR VALLEY 6 6 53 5   6711 (brooks cary)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00 11.30  
 
FE-7   09/25/2023 4620ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
:233 :47 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREACH OF TRUST 2 5 3 32   2½ 1(goldenberg m)SINGH S 122 3.00 44% 1.30 3.70 W
PRINCE FOR A DAY 9 9 2nk 2nk   1½ 2(humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70 P
ASHWICKEN 5 3 7 5   42 3(chudobia)ALDERSON IAN 119 2.00 31% 2.30 1.00 S
MIGHTY PELE 8 1 1nk 1nk   34(powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 19.25  
NGABE 3 2 57 75   53 5(husbands anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 10.10  
GOGO GABRIEL 1 6 6 6   65 6(chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 8.35  
GOOD SKIP INDEED 4 7 912¼ 911½   9711¼ (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 25.05  
LADY OF THE FORT 6 4 45 4   75 811½ (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 6.00 16.80  
AMEN TO THAT 7 8 810¼ 8   8912¾ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 20.00 76.30  
 
FE-8   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
:222 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND HEIST 4 2 33 21   1nk 1(wieczo)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 6.45  
EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 3 3 2nk 3   32(robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 49% 1.00 0.65 P
BUSTA GROOVE 1 7 1nk 11   2nk 3(agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 6.65  
TONKA WAKAN 5 4 66 46   44 4(steer to)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00 24.00  
10  OPEECHEE 8 1 4 6   6511¾ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 7.45  
LE GRAND GARCON 7 5 8 812¾   87 611¾ (steer to)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00 22.95  
GET READY SET FIRE 6 6 7 712½   7712 (johnston t)ELLIS S 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.05  
ONCEUPONASERENADE 2 8 5 56   5812¾ (rabstein cl)SEECHARAN A 120 20.00 38.15  
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY               (carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.50    
SCR  BEYOND TALENTED               (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.