Handicappers' Race Results
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Fort Erie
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
FE-1   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.70 $4.70  
FE-2   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 7.20
FE-3   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $9.30  
FE-4   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
FE-5   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
FE-6   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.90 $2.90  
FE-7   Win (2/5/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
FE-8   Win (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $14.90  
Simulator Race results
 
FE-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:214 :44 :562     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STRIKING MOON 4 2 2nk 11½   12½ 16 (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 2.00 26% 2.90 1.35 W
2  STRONG ENDING 2 4 65¾ 45   44 26 (davis )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 3.50 20% 4.00 2.45 P
5  CRAFTY CONQUEST 5 3 32 32   22½ 36¾ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 3.00 12% 7.10 4.85 S
3  JACK BEANSTALK 3 6 53¾ 65¼   54½ 47¼ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 4.00 5.15  
6  SUMMER RETREAT 6 1 1nk 21½   33 58¼ (robillard julie)PINTO MELANIE 122 6.00 11.65  
1  MOBILIZER 1 5 42¼ 55   66 614½ (keen how)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 12.00 10.95  
 
FE-2   09/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:224 :444 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BAIT N SWITCH 2 5 44 32½   3.2 12¾ (alderson)ALDERSON IAN 120 3.50 54% 0.90 4.60 W
4  DON'T STOP DREAMIN 3 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 22¾ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50 0.65  
5  VOYANT 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 35½ (alderson j)RAMSAMMY E 122 5.00 9.20  
1  HALF TO RELOAD 1 4 32½ 44½   42¾ 46¾ (blake j)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 20% 3.90 2.70  
6  ARTIE'S ALL IN 5 3 57½ 58   53¾ 513½ (crete )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 8.00 15.10  
SCR  VIDEO VIDA               (mcclachr)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 2.00    
 
FE-3   09/25/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:111 1:39   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BROADWAY RUCKUS 3 1 11 12½ 13 11½ 12¼ (mandalfino paul )JOHNSON KIRK 122 3.00 3.65  
4  IRIE ISLAND MAN 4 5 56 58¾ 511 34 22¼ (chud)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 12.00 9% 9.70 6.15 P
2  NO MORE 2 4 31½ 32½ 23 21½ 34¾ (humber j)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 27% 2.70 1.25 S
1  TAYBO 1 3 21 22½ 47 45½ 47¾ (davis m)MAILHOT P 120 4.50 3.85  
5  WIN THE DRAW 5 2 43½ 42¾ 35 55½ 515¼ (davis ri)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 6.00 12.30  
6  UNBRIDLED INFERNO 6 6 67½ 611¼ 617 613½ 632½ (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 42% 1.40 6.80  
SCR  AWESOME BREAK               (cathcart)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.50    
 
FE-4   09/25/2023 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:114     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CRUMLIN BIRD 2 1 11 11   13½ 17¼ (chudobiak gary)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 119 4.00 20% 4.00 0.70 W
7  AWILDAS TREASURE 6 5 62¾ 41½   23½ 27¼ (powell d)ALDERSON IAN 122 2.00 23% 3.40 3.20 P
1  SEEDS OF GRANDEUR 1 3 52½ 62¾   45½ 311¾ (cathcart steven)MAILHOT P 124 3.00 10.35  
4  REIGN BY REIN 3 4 31½ 31½   34½ 412¼ (ezra dar)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 8.00 15% 5.50 5.90  
6  SILENT BUT VIOLENT 5 6 41½ 51¾   67½ 514¾ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 11.30  
5  SAVVY'S SISTER 4 2 21 21   56½ 618¾ (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00 11.60  
SCR  KHOZZY VALINTINE               (mcpherson alex)JOHNSON KIRK 124 1.60    
SCR  ROAD MAP               (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 8.00    
 
FE-5   09/25/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:233 :46 1:093     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  VICTORY MARCH 4 4 31 11   11 14¼ (simms jo)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 21% 3.80 0.95 W
3  MORNING THOUGHTS 3 5 42 53   41½ 24¼ (voyce )MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 4.00 7.25  
1  JUSTIN'S WAY 1 2 1½ 21   21 34¾ (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 3.50 12% 7.50 6.35 S
6  ACTION POINT 5 1 52 42½   31½ 45¾ (robillard josh)RAMSAMMY E 122 10.00 6.85  
2  SEVEN IS A BREEZE 2 6 65 67½   65 59 (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 8.00 4.40  
7  WILBERFORCE 6 3 2½ 32½   54 610 (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 2.50 32% 2.10 6.50  
SCR  EXECUTIVE GIANT               (burke nigel )SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 10.00    
 
FE-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  J M R GEMMA 5 1 1nk 11½   11 1½ (simms jo)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 3.00 41% 1.40 0.45 W
2  ORBITING THE SKY 2 4 63¼ 65   42½ 2½ (robillard )BUCHANAN Z 122 8.00 21% 3.70 25.50 P
3  LOVE MY CHERYL 3 2 2nk 21½   21 31½ (robillar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00 3.30  
1  LITTLE FIRE 1 5 76¾ 77½   74½ 44½ (maynar)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 6.00 9% 9.70 19.25  
4  EASY ACCESS 4 7 42 42½   32 55¼ (keen howard)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 12.00 67.70  
7  HALO STYLE 7 3 31 31½   53½ 69¾ (dixon patrick)SALLES LEO 122 2.50 7.35  
6  CEDAR VALLEY 6 6 53 54½   64½ 711 (brooks cary)NICHOLLS KEVEH 122 4.00 11.30  
 
FE-7   09/25/2023 4620ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BREACH OF TRUST 2 5 32½ 32   2½ 11¼ (goldenberg m)SINGH S 122 3.00 44% 1.30 3.70 W
9  PRINCE FOR A DAY 9 9 2nk 2nk   1½ 21¼ (humber joseph)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 117 8.00 5% 19.00 5.70 P
5  ASHWICKEN 5 3 78¾ 54¾   42 33¾ (chudobia)ALDERSON IAN 119 2.00 31% 2.30 1.00 S
8  MIGHTY PELE 8 1 1nk 1nk   31½ 44¼ (powell a)DAVID MICHAEL 122 15.00 19.25  
3  NGABE 3 2 57 75   53 56¾ (husbands anthony)CRAWFORD J 122 15.00 10.10  
1  GOGO GABRIEL 1 6 67¼ 64¾   65 68½ (chudobia)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 4.00 8.35  
4  GOOD SKIP INDEED 4 7 912¼ 911½   97½ 711¼ (loescher paula)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 25.05  
6  LADY OF THE FORT 6 4 45 44½   75 811½ (cathcart)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 119 6.00 ★ 16.80  
7  AMEN TO THAT 7 8 810¼ 88½   86½ 912¾ (humber jose)SEECHARAN A 118 20.00 76.30  
 
FE-8   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:16
See original race card.
:222 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DIAMOND HEIST 4 2 33 21   1nk 14½ (wieczo)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00 6.45  
3  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT 3 3 2nk 32½   31½ 24½ (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 120 3.00 49% 1.00 0.65 P
1  BUSTA GROOVE 1 7 1nk 11   2nk 35¼ (agostino g)SANCHEZ ALEXIS 115 8.00 6.65  
6  TONKA WAKAN 5 4 66 46   44 49¾ (steer to)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 10.00 24.00  
10  OPEECHEE 8 1 44½ 66½   64¼ 511¾ (ceccato )HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 6.00 ★ 7.45  
9  LE GRAND GARCON 7 5 88½ 812¾   87 611¾ (steer to)ALDERSON IAN 122 20.00 22.95  
8  GET READY SET FIRE 6 6 77½ 712½   76¾ 712 (johnston t)ELLIS S 120 15.00 5% 19.00 7.05  
2  ONCEUPONASERENADE 2 8 55½ 56   54¼ 812¾ (rabstein cl)SEECHARAN A 120 20.00 38.15  
SCR  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY               (carter angel)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 117 4.50    
SCR  BEYOND TALENTED               (robillard josh)CHEYNE A 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.