Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.20  
TDN-2   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-3   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 11.60
TDN-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 7.40
TDN-5   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-6   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 0.60
TDN-7   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
TDN-8   Win (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BODIL 6 3 44 22   11½ 17 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.00 0.60  
4  DANCE DRAMA 4 5 12 12   21½ 27 (wolo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 33% 2.10 5.30 P
3  QUEENIE ROSE 3 4 64½ 55   45 38½ (cline c)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10 3.90 S
5  MARGARITA CINCO 5 1 22 32   33½ 49¾ (castro raq)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00 21.70  
1  HERE COMES DOLLY 1 7 75½ 75¼   65¼ 512½ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 115 4.00 9% 10.40 9.90  
7  OH EYE SEE 7 2 54½ 65¼   76¾ 613½ (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00 14.70  
2  PENNY'S TREASURE 2 6 33 44   55 713¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 8.00 21.40  
 
TDN-2   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:123     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CUMBER 2 1 1½ 11 12 15 14½ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 2.00 33% 2.00 1.00 W
7  CUGINE 7 5 3½ 31 22 25 24½ (casalinova tina)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00 5.60  
5  YOUVESAIDITALL 5 2 76¼ 74¼ 64¾ 36 37 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 9.60  
6  ROSAS WAY 6 4 62¼ 52½ 54¼ 46½ 47½ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00 14.10  
1  RUBINSTEIN 1 6 41½ 42 34 58½ 515½ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 22.90  
3  DEBDURITE 3 3 2½ 21 44 610 616 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10 3.20  
4  FISHING FOR FUN 4 7 51¾ 62¾ 74¾ 711½ 719¾ (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 10% 9.50 5.90  
 
TDN-3   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALTISSIMO 2 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (zielinski)PILARES P 119 8.00 25% 3.00 6.80 W
7  MR LOOOCH 5 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2½ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 2.60  
4  MO DONT NO 3 3 45 45½   43¾ 32¼ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 6.00 9.70  
6  TROJAN TALE 4 2 33 34   33½ 42¼ (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 117 2.50 38% 1.60 0.70  
1  QUIET AMIGO 1 5 55½ 57   55¾ 58½ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00 6.20  
SCR  DIAMOND DUST               (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 121 3.50    
SCR  HEY EUGENE               (maker j)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
 
TDN-4   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DOLCE MARIE 3 1 1½ 11½   14 15¾ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 10.00 16% 5.30 5.70 W
7  ONE RICH KITTEN 7 5 42 21½   24 25¾ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 40.60  
6  MOBIL MEMORY 6 3 2½ 42   48½ 39 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 40% 1.50 0.70 S
1  THELMA LUCILLE 1 2 31½ 32   38 410½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 1.80 2.40  
4  SNAZZY 4 7 75½ 57   511½ 514 (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 6.90  
5  HOLLYTOWN 5 4 53½ 611   623½ 635¾ (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 16% 5.20 21.80  
2  MI CANCION 2 6 65½ 715½   727½ 736½ (erdel john)FERNANDEZ R 119 20.00 90.00  
 
TDN-5   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :592     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPULENT WAYS 1 3 32 2½   12 18¼ (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 36% 1.80 0.30 W
4  ISLAND WINTER 4 4 54 41   33 28¼ (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 8.00 21.40  
5  SWEET BELEN 5 5 2½ 1½   22 310 (murillo-)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 6.30  
2  INDY PRINCESS KOKO 2 2 43½ 51¼   44½ 410½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 22% 3.50 7.30  
3  LUCKY TO HAVE ME 3 6 610 66¾   58½ 515½ (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00 10.40  
6  SWEET EMPIRE 6 1 1½ 31   69 624¼ (radcliff l)RIVERA R 123 2.50 13% 6.80 7.70  
 
TDN-6   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:142     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOSS BEAR 4 2 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 1½ (skerrett jeffr)ROSARIO L 119 2.00 58% 0.70 1.30 W
6  CAPTURE MI 5 5 31½ 3½ 3.2 2nk 2½ (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 121 1.80 1.30  
2  GRAND DEAL 1 1 53 53½ 41¾ 42¼ 31¼ (schuster robin)BRACHO A 119 3.00 6.10  
3  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 3.2 43¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 7% 13.30 4.50  
4  THE EQUINEST 3 4 43 43 53¾ 56¼ 59¾ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 25.00  
SCR  FLYING GUILLOTINE               (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
 
TDN-7   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUR BUCKWHEAT 5 4 32 3½   12 17½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 115 5.00 18% 4.50 2.30 W
6  RED HEAD KID 6 3 42½ 41   22 27½ (fernandez edward)RIVERA R 121 2.00 21% 3.70 1.50 P
1  MAMAS HOME COOKING 1 5 54 53   54½ 38¾ (cline c)ROSARIO L 115 2.50 5.20  
2  OVERLOAD 2 6 64½ 64½   65½ 414½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 117 4.50 11.10  
4  TURBO POWER 4 2 2½ 2nk   44½ 517½ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 12.00 36.30  
3  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT 3 1 1½ 1nk   34 620 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 35% 1.90 2.80  
 
TDN-8   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MY TWO JAKES 5 3 53½ 3.2   12 15 (gonzalez donacia)DIAZ I 119 3.50 3.10  
6  CANELA FINA 6 1 2½ 1nk   22 25 (dubie kat)PILARES P 119 3.00 51% 1.00 1.00 P
4  MOST ADORABLE 4 4 42½ 43¼   45½ 39¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 6.00  
1  NICKATYE 1 7 1½ 2nk   33 410 (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 28.20  
3  POLLY PRISSY PANTS 3 5 63¾ 66¼   59 510¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 16% 5.40 4.60  
7  BOLD NICKY 7 2 32½ 53¼   611 619½ (maddox rachael)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 11% 8.40 14.20  
2  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 2 6 76¼ 77¾   715 721¼ (patt)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 14.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.