Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(2/3/4)-(6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(6/2)-(6/5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(6/5/3)-(1/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(1/2/6)-(5/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(5/3)-(3/6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(3/6/5)-(6/3/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(6/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE COMES DOLLY Sep04 Jul24 Jun24 Jun01 May15 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 115 4.00 9% 10.40    
2  PENNY'S TREASURE Sep04 Aug12 Jul25 Jul06 Jun01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
3  QUEENIE ROSE Sep04 Jul24 Jul04 Jan23 Dec29 (cline c)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  DANCE DRAMA Sep11 Aug09 Jul25 Jun01   (wo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 5.00 33% 2.10    
5  MARGARITA CINCO Sep04 Aug03 Jul24 Jul04 May24 (castro r)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
6  BODIL Aug19 Jul11 Jun18 May27 Apr10 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 2.00    
7  OH EYE SEE Sep19 Jul25 Jul12 Jun19 May15 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 6.00    
 
TDN-2   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUBINSTEIN Sep15 Aug18 Jul22 Jul01 Jun07 (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
2  CUMBER Aug15 Aug01 Jul12 Jun13 May06 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
3  DEBDURITE Sep05 Aug16 Jul27 Jul18 Apr15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  FISHING FOR FUN Sep13 Aug22 Jul31 Jul19 Jun15 (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 10% 9.50    
5  YOUVESAIDITALL Sep11 Aug31 Aug14 Jul27 Jul12 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
6  ROSAS WAY Sep05 Aug16 Jul10 May28 May17 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 8.00    
7  CUGINE Sep12 Aug17 Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 (casalinova tin)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-3   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUIET AMIGO Aug07 Jul13 Jun24 May31 Dec12 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 5.00    
2  ALTISSIMO Aug12 Jul20 Jun02 May15 Nov21 (zielins)PILARES P 119 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  DIAMOND DUST Sep18 Aug12 Jul19 Jul03 Jun07 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 121 3.50    
4  MO DONT NO Aug08 Jun26 Jun06 May10 Apr04 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
SCR  HEY EUGENE Sep25 Aug23 Jul27 Jun24 May20 (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
6  TROJAN TALE Aug18 Jul25 Jun24 Jun02 May05 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 117 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  MR LOOOCH Sep13 Aug12 Jul13 Jun19 Jun01 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 4.00    
 
TDN-4   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THELMA LUCILLE Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 Jul05 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 1.80    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
2  MI CANCION Sep21 Feb20 Dec27     (erdel jo)FERNANDEZ R 119 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of PINOT NOIR by COWBOY CAL)
3  DOLCE MARIE         (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 10.00 16% 5.30    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
4  SNAZZY Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19   (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of MY UPTOWN GAL by CITY ZIP)
5  HOLLYTOWN         (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 16% 5.20    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HOLLYWOOD RECKLESS by TIZNOW)
6  MOBIL MEMORY Oct29 Aug31 Aug15     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by MOBIL out of MYGIRLFRIDAY by LUNARPAL)
7  ONE RICH KITTEN Aug29 Aug09 Jul19     (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MZ. STINKIN' RICH by COWBOY CAL)
 
TDN-5   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OPULENT WAYS Sep20 Aug23 Aug02 Jun14 May29 (severin robert)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
2  INDY PRINCESS KOKO Sep14 Aug21 Aug02 Jun21 May30 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  LUCKY TO HAVE ME Sep25 Aug28 Jul23 Jul10 Jun20 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 8.00    
4  ISLAND WINTER Aug29 Jul24 Jun12 Oct03 Sep14 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
5  SWEET BELEN Sep20 Aug29 Jul26 Jun20 Jun04 (murill)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
6  SWEET EMPIRE Aug22 Aug08 Jun26 Jun12 May24 (radcliff donald )RIVERA R 123 2.50 13% 6.80    
 
TDN-6   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLYING GUILLOTINE May15 Dec07 Nov10 Nov03 Oct22 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
2  GRAND DEAL Sep18 Aug17 Jul31 Jul19 Jun15 (schuster robi)BRACHO A 119 3.00    
3  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Jul31 Jul10 May16 Apr27 Mar21 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00 7% 13.30    
4  THE EQUINEST Sep07 Aug31 Aug14 Jul24 Jul11 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
5  BOSS BEAR Aug28 Aug03 Jul10 Jun06 May16 (skerrett jef)ROSARIO L 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
6  CAPTURE MI Aug28 Aug10 Jul31 Jun03 May05 (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 1.80    
 
TDN-7   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMAS HOME COOKING Sep13 Aug02 Jun24 Jun14 Apr29 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 115 2.50    
2  OVERLOAD Sep13 Aug30 Feb08 Oct11   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 117 4.50    
3  MATTHEW'S PATRIOT Sep13 Aug10 Aug24 Aug08 Jul28 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
4  TURBO POWER Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Aug02 Jul19 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 123 12.00    
5  OUR BUCKWHEAT Aug10 Jul22 Jul04 May25   (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 115 5.00 18% 4.50    
6  RED HEAD KID Sep13 Aug26 Aug11 Jan26 Jan12 (fernandez edward)RIVERA R 121 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
TDN-8   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICKATYE Aug29 Dec06 Nov23     (tucker jim)HOUGHTON D 123 12.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HOLLYWOOD RECKLESS by TIZNOW)
2  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Sep19 Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
3  POLLY PRISSY PANTS Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul05 Jun19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 16% 5.40    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
4  MOST ADORABLE Aug30 Jul25 Jul05 May31 May11 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
5  MY TWO JAKES Sep14 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 Jul03 (gonzalez donac)DIAZ I 119 3.50    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  CANELA FINA Sep14 Aug26 Aug09 Jun30 Jun19 (dubie k)PILARES P 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
7  BOLD NICKY Jun19 May31 May11 Apr24 Mar27 (maddox rachae)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 11% 8.40    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.