Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $7.00 $3.00 75%
TDN-5   EXA (5/3/10)-(5/3/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-10 $14.10 $5.10 57%
    TRI (5/3/10)-(5/3/1/10)-(5/3/1/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00  5-10-1 $48.80 $30.80 171%
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $14.80 $8.80 147%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RECKLESS L J 5 1 31½ 31½   3.2 12½ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 2.50 0.90  
4  MUTINY 4 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 22½ (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 4.00 5.50  
7  MANNFORD 6 4 1nk 2nk   2nk 32¾ (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 28% 2.60 3.30 S
8  NAMBITI 7 3 72¾ 63¾   64¾ 47¼ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 8.00 24.00  
1  MISTER MOBIL 1 7 52¼ 43½   42¾ 58½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 5% 19.00 30.90  
2  POWERFUL PHIL 2 6 42 53¾   53¾ 611 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 45% 1.20 3.40  
3  MA MOO POWER 3 5 62¼ 75¼   78¾ 720¼ (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 8.00 59.50  
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-2   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WOMAN'S DREAM 5 3 21 1½   17 114¾ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 2.50 22% 3.60 1.10 W
  (by ENTICED out of RELIABLE EMA by SMARTY JONES)
9  OH GLORIOUS DAY 8 1 43 34½   310 214¾ (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 6.00 29.80  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
10  FLAME FOR REAL 9 4 78 610   513½ 316¾ (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 10% 9.50 5.40 S
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
1  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 1 5 11 2½   27 417½ (rone mike)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 3.50 36% 1.70 2.70  
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  MISS SPRINGSTEEN 7 2 32½ 46   413 522 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 10.00 8.50  
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
6  CURLIN PEARLS 6 8 88¼ 712   715½ 626 (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 40.10  
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  KISS ME QUICK 2 6 54 57   615½ 727 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 4.50 10% 8.60 6.00  
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
3  LUCKY STUFF 3 9 915¼ 919   819½ 827 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00 71.20  
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
4  HONEY BEE GOOD 4 7 68 816   924½ 942 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 20.00 97.40  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of BROADWAY ANNIEROSE by STALWART)
SCR  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL               (cowans william)COLON H 118 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
 
TDN-3   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:134     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BACKSPLASH 5 4 54 53½ 51½ 4¼ 11 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 5.00 20% 3.90 2.50 W
6  ANNMARIA 4 5 41½ 41½ 3½ 2nk 21 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 4.30  
2  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 1nk 31 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 4.00  
3  RIPLEY EFFECT 2 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 3.2 42¾ (jackson james)BRACHO A 121 3.50 3.10  
5  SPECIAL BEACH 3 2 31 31 41 5¾ 53 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 29% 2.50 2.20  
SCR  MAMA LOU               (west w)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
SCR  YEARS AGO               (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00    
 
TDN-4   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HEY EUGENE 3 6 65¼ 55   42 1½ (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 117 2.00 36% 1.80 0.20 W
8  BEAT THE DEALER 6 1 21½ 2nk   1nk 2½ (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00 10.90  
2  RAISE THE PURSES 2 5 44 44   52½ 31¾ (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50 13.00  
5  MEDIA DARLING 4 3 11½ 1nk   2nk 42¾ (zielins)PILARES P 115 5.00 32% 2.20 5.40  
1  RUMBLE STRIP RON 1 4 54¼ 32   31½ 52¾ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
7  HITE 5 2 34 65¼   66½ 66½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 18.70  
SCR  JETTIN PEGASUS               (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 111 15.00    
SCR  WILDCAT EXPRESS               (poole m)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
 
TDN-5   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:232 :472 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  RED CHILI PEPPER 4 4 11½ 13½   17 19¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 60% 0.70 0.30 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOSSY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
10  VECCHI 8 1 32½ 23½   27 29¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 25.90 P
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
1  ONE STEP ASIDE 1 8 43 46   312 315¾ (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.50 ★ 10.80 S
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
7  SEEKING FREEDOM 6 7 96 98¼   615 418¾ (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00 74.60  
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
11  RIVERS OF DENIRO 9 2 84½ 88   915¾ 519½ (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 15.00 76.90  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
2  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE 2 6 74 78   514½ 620 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.50 3.30  
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
8  STRIKING LAD 7 5 64 67½   815¾ 725¾ (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 20.00 77.30  
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
3  AKIMBO 3 9 53½ 57   715½ 827¼ (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 15% 5.50 26.20  
  (by DANZA out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
6  TAHLEQUAH JOE 5 3 21½ 34½   414½ 928¾ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 6.00 20.80  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
SCR  JODHPUR               (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 20.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LIL EGYPT by WAR CHANT)
SCR  MOBIL MISSION               (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
 
TDN-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SAMMY AND SHORTY 3 3 44½ 45½   25 1½ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 1.80 71% 0.40 0.30 W
6  STARS N SPACE 6 2 11 13½   15 2½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00 2.50  
4  PRIMITIVO 4 1 32½ 34½   36 37¼ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 3.50 ★ 8.70 S
5  IMA BELIEVER 5 4 55 57   68½ 48¾ (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 31.90  
1  SEASONS END 1 5 67 67   58½ 510¼ (mavec kath)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00 45.20  
2  TWINSPIREDJOEY 2 6 21 23½   47 613¾ (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
 
TDN-7   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:133     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERGEANT COUNTZLER 1 3 45 54¾ 510 35 11½ (meyers shane)DIAZ I 119 2.00 3.40  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MONDAYMORNINGBLUES by MORNING LINE)
3  SHORTLY 2 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 13 21½ (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80 38% 1.70 0.70 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
6  FUNNY MAN 5 4 31 1½ 2½ 23 36¾ (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 17% 4.90 2.80 S
  (by FLATTER out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  STREET MAX 4 5 56½ 44½ 48 59 47¼ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 10.00 21.20  
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 3 1 1½ 3½ 34½ 47½ 58¼ (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 6.60  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
SCR  ESTILO FAVORITO               (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of STAR ANNA by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
 
TDN-8   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  O ROMEO 3 2 31½ 32   1½ 11½ (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 117 5.00 5% 19.00 4.70 W
6  QUARANTINO 6 1 21 21   3½ 21½ (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 35% 1.90 2.10 P
1  FAVORABLE RETURN 1 3 11 11   2½ 34½ (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 118 3.00 5.40  
4  PERMAFROST 4 6 59½ 58   44½ 44¾ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 43% 1.30 0.80  
2  FOGGY ALBION 2 4 613½ 613½   510 58½ (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 123 10.00 50.10  
5  ESTILO CLASICO 5 5 44½ 47½   611 620¼ (morales saul)ROSARIO L 115 8.00 39.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.