Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(1/5/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(1/5/2/10)-(5/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/5/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/10)-(1/5/2/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/10)-(1/5/2/10)-(1/5/2/10) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/10)-(5/7)-(3/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(3/5/1)-(5/3/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/3/10)-(3/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/10)-(5/3/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/10)-(5/3/1/10)-(5/3/1/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/3/10)-(3/2)-(3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/2)-(3/4/2)-(3/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(3/6)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MOBIL Aug21 Jul31 Jun15 May22 May08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  POWERFUL PHIL Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 Jun07 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
3  MA MOO POWER Sep11 Aug21 May20 Nov22 Nov10 (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 8.00    
4  MUTINY Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun19 May31 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
5  RECKLESS L J Aug03 Jul11 May24 Apr26 Mar09 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY Sep12 Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
7  MANNFORD Aug28 Jun20 Jun06 Apr26 Feb02 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
8  NAMBITI Sep04 Aug24 Aug02 Jun27 Jun10 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
 
TDN-2   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Sep05 Aug15 Jul13 Jun05   (rone mike)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 3.50 36% 1.70    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  KISS ME QUICK Aug12 Jul13       (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 118 4.50 10% 8.60    
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
3  LUCKY STUFF Sep04         (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of DOUBLE STUFF by DOUBLE HONOR)
4  HONEY BEE GOOD Sep05 Jul13       (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of BROADWAY ANNIEROSE by STALWART)
5  WOMAN'S DREAM Sep05         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
  (by ENTICED out of RELIABLE EMA by SMARTY JONES)
6  CURLIN PEARLS Aug15         (gorham )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of CRYPTOCANDIAC by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Aug30         (cowans william)COLON H 118 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
8  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Aug12 Aug01 Jun29     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 10.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of MELANIE MAY by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
9  OH GLORIOUS DAY Sep04         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 6.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CATCH THE WAVES by PACIFIC WAVES)
10  FLAME FOR REAL         (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 10% 9.50    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of SCARLETTS FOR REAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
TDN-3   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YEARS AGO Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul17 Jul03 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00    
2  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Aug17 Jul10 Jun01 May22 Dec08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00    
3  RIPLEY EFFECT Sep07 Aug24 Aug07 Jul11 Jun14 (jackson james)BRACHO A 121 3.50    
SCR  MAMA LOU Aug09 Jul21 Jun14 May31 Apr27 (west w)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
5  SPECIAL BEACH Sep05 Jul27 Jun19 May31 May15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 29% 2.50    
6  ANNMARIA Sep05 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May22 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
7  BACKSPLASH Sep05 Aug21 Jul27 Jul10 Jun01 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
TDN-4   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMBLE STRIP RON Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 Jun10 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RAISE THE PURSES Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 Jun10 May16 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
3  HEY EUGENE Aug23 Jul27 Jun24 May20 Apr21 (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 117 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  JETTIN PEGASUS Sep13 Aug21 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 111 15.00    
5  MEDIA DARLING Aug12 May05 Apr06 Feb16 Dec30 (zielins)PILARES P 115 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  WILDCAT EXPRESS Sep11 Aug14 Jul27 Jun20 May20 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
7  HITE Jun24 Dec03 Nov12 Oct10 Sep28 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
8  BEAT THE DEALER Aug24 Aug07 Jul13 Jun14 May24 (zielinski richa)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE STEP ASIDE Sep05 Aug15       (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.50 ★    
  (by ONE SIDED out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
2  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Sep05 Aug17       (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.50    
  (by DRILL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
3  AKIMBO         (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 15% 5.50    
  (by DANZA out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
SCR  MOBIL MISSION Sep05 Aug15       (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00    
  (by MOBIL out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
5  RED CHILI PEPPER Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun30 Jun20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOSSY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
6  TAHLEQUAH JOE Sep05 Jul26 Jun20     (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
7  SEEKING FREEDOM Sep05         (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of SEEKING A SUNRISE by SEEKING A HOME)
8  STRIKING LAD Sep05         (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of STRIKING LASS by CANADIAN FRONTIER)
SCR  JODHPUR Sep05 Aug15 Jul06     (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 20.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of LIL EGYPT by WAR CHANT)
10  VECCHI Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun20   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
11  RIVERS OF DENIRO Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jul06   (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 15.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
 
TDN-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEASONS END Sep07 Aug10 Jul12 Jun20 Oct14 (mavec kath)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00    
2  TWINSPIREDJOEY Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 Jun07 May24 (rone mi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAMMY AND SHORTY Sep04 Dec30 Oct29 Sep23 Aug13 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 115 1.80 71% 0.40    
4  PRIMITIVO Sep04 Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 Jun06 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 3.50 ★    
5  IMA BELIEVER Sep04 Aug17 Jul12 Jun20 May24 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
6  STARS N SPACE Sep13 Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul04 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00    
 
TDN-7   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Sep11 Jun10 May18 Feb04 Nov03 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MONDAYMORNINGBLUES by MORNING LINE)
SCR  ESTILO FAVORITO Sep13 Aug16 Aug23     (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
  (by RAINBOW HEIR out of STAR ANNA by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
3  SHORTLY Aug20 Jul09 Mar04 Feb04 Jan28 (zielinsk)FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80 38% 1.70    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ISABELLE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Sep06 Jul10 Jun19 May25 May16 (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
5  STREET MAX Sep04 Aug29 Aug01 Jul03 Jun18 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of THISSONGSFORBAILEE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  FUNNY MAN Aug07 Jun12 Apr16 Mar03 Feb11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by FLATTER out of LAUGHING MATTERS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
TDN-8   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAVORABLE RETURN Sep11 Jul18 May25 May15 Apr27 (skeens jerem)MARCANO Y 118 3.00    
2  FOGGY ALBION Sep04 Aug28 Aug13 Aug02 Jul18 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
3  O ROMEO Aug24 Jul31 Jul11 May29 May11 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  PERMAFROST Sep06 Aug21 Jul26 Jul05 Jun24 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 43% 1.30    
5  ESTILO CLASICO Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun28 May27 (morales saul)ROSARIO L 115 8.00    
6  QUARANTINO Sep06 Aug21 Jul05 Jun24 May29 (skerrett jeffr)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.