Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Monday - September 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/5/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-3   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-4   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (5/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-7   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-8   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTER MOBIL Aug21 Jul31 Jun15 May22 May08 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  POWERFUL PHIL Aug30 Aug02 Jul11 Jun20 Jun07 (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 45% 1.20    
3  MA MOO POWER Sep11 Aug21 May20 Nov22 Nov10 (hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 8.00    
4  MUTINY Aug30 Aug03 Jul13 Jun19 May31 (skerrett jeffr)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
5  RECKLESS L J Aug03 Jul11 May24 Apr26 Mar09 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY Sep12 Aug21 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
7  MANNFORD Aug28 Jun20 Jun06 Apr26 Feb02 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
8  NAMBITI Sep04 Aug24 Aug02 Jun27 Jun10 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
 
TDN-2   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Sep05 Aug15 Jul13 Jun05   (rone mike)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 3.50 36% 1.70    
2  KISS ME QUICK Aug12 Jul13       (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 118 4.50 10% 8.60    
3  LUCKY STUFF Sep04         (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
4  HONEY BEE GOOD Sep05 Jul13       (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 20.00    
5  WOMAN'S DREAM Sep05         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 118 2.50 22% 3.60    
6  CURLIN PEARLS Aug15         (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
SCR  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Aug30         (cowans d)COLON H 118 6.00    
8  MISS SPRINGSTEEN Aug12 Aug01 Jun29     (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 10.00    
9  OH GLORIOUS DAY Sep04         (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 6.00    
10  FLAME FOR REAL         (fernandez edward)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 10% 9.50    
 
TDN-3   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  YEARS AGO Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 Jul17 Jul03 (trevino g)BOWEN ROCCO 123 2.00    
2  QUEENOFCATNIPHILL Aug17 Jul10 Jun01 May22 Dec08 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 114 10.00    
3  RIPLEY EFFECT Sep07 Aug24 Aug07 Jul11 Jun14 (jackson r)BRACHO A 121 3.50    
SCR  MAMA LOU Aug09 Jul21 Jun14 May31 Apr27 (west w)AVILES YAN 119 3.00    
5  SPECIAL BEACH Sep05 Jul27 Jun19 May31 May15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 29% 2.50    
6  ANNMARIA Sep05 Jul25 Jul03 Jun13 May22 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
7  BACKSPLASH Sep05 Aug21 Jul27 Jul10 Jun01 (mahan p)TAPARA BRANDON 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
 
TDN-4   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUMBLE STRIP RON Aug23 Aug02 Jul13 Jul04 Jun10 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RAISE THE PURSES Sep13 Aug12 Jul12 Jun10 May16 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 4.50    
3  HEY EUGENE Aug23 Jul27 Jun24 May20 Apr21 (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 117 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  JETTIN PEGASUS Sep13 Aug21 Aug01 Jul13 Jun26 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 111 15.00    
5  MEDIA DARLING Aug12 May05 Apr06 Feb16 Dec30 (zielinski)PILARES P 115 5.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  WILDCAT EXPRESS Sep11 Aug14 Jul27 Jun20 May20 (poole m)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
7  HITE Jun24 Dec03 Nov12 Oct10 Sep28 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
8  BEAT THE DEALER Aug24 Aug07 Jul13 Jun14 May24 (zielinski richard)BOWEN ROCCO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   09/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE STEP ASIDE Sep05 Aug15       (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.50 ★    
2  JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Sep05 Aug17       (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.50    
3  AKIMBO         (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  MOBIL MISSION Sep05 Aug15       (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 20.00    
5  RED CHILI PEPPER Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun30 Jun20 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 2.00 60% 0.70    
6  TAHLEQUAH JOE Sep05 Jul26 Jun20     (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 6.00    
7  SEEKING FREEDOM Sep05         (faul)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 20.00    
8  STRIKING LAD Sep05         (flores israel)DIAZ I 118 20.00    
SCR  JODHPUR Sep05 Aug15 Jul06     (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 20.00    
10  VECCHI Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun20   (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  RIVERS OF DENIRO Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jul06   (faulkner rod)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 118 15.00    
 
TDN-6   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEASONS END Sep07 Aug10 Jul12 Jun20 Oct14 (mavec kathle)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00    
2  TWINSPIREDJOEY Sep04 Aug07 Jul12 Jun07 May24 (rone mike)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAMMY AND SHORTY Sep04 Dec30 Oct29 Sep23 Aug13 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 115 1.80 71% 0.40    
4  PRIMITIVO Sep04 Aug17 Aug01 Jul04 Jun06 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 3.50 ★    
5  IMA BELIEVER Sep04 Aug17 Jul12 Jun20 May24 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
6  STARS N SPACE Sep13 Aug22 Aug02 Jul25 Jul04 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 121 2.00    
 
TDN-7   09/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SERGEANT COUNTZLER Sep11 Jun10 May18 Feb04 Nov03 (meyers shane)DIAZ I 119 2.00    
SCR  ESTILO FAVORITO Sep13 Aug16 Aug23     (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00    
3  SHORTLY Aug20 Jul09 Mar04 Feb04 Jan28 (zielinski )FERNANDEZ R 119 1.80 38% 1.70    
4  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Sep06 Jul10 Jun19 May25 May16 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50    
5  STREET MAX Sep04 Aug29 Aug01 Jul03 Jun18 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
6  FUNNY MAN Aug07 Jun12 Apr16 Mar03 Feb11 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
TDN-8   09/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAVORABLE RETURN Sep11 Jul18 May25 May15 Apr27 (skeens jeremy)MARCANO Y 118 3.00    
2  FOGGY ALBION Sep04 Aug28 Aug13 Aug02 Jul18 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 123 10.00    
3  O ROMEO Aug24 Jul31 Jul11 May29 May11 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  PERMAFROST Sep06 Aug21 Jul26 Jul05 Jun24 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 115 1.80 43% 1.30    
5  ESTILO CLASICO Sep01 Aug04 Jul13 Jun28 May27 (morales m)ROSARIO L 115 8.00    
6  QUARANTINO Sep06 Aug21 Jul05 Jun24 May29 (skerrett jeffrey)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.