The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Thistledown
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
TDN-2   Win (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
TDN-3   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $4.60 -6.00
TDN-4   Win (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.00 -6.00
TDN-5   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $56.80 -6.00
TDN-6   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $11.00 -6.00
TDN-7   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
TDN-8   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $29.00 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
:223 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN MONEY 2 6 3½ 1½   11(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 35% 1.80 0.80 W
TIZ A RUSH 3 7 7 5   42(shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 10.50  
OAKEN 7 1 4¾ 2½   33(calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 31% 2.20 2.50 S
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 5 3 5¾ 3½   246 (shan)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 12% 7.70 5.40  
PLATE IT UP 4 4 6 6   557 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 42.60  
JACK BE FAST 1 5 2nk 7   76(hernandez ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 7.50  
OLE WATASHI 6 2 1nk 4¾   6714½ (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00 36.90  
SCR  THE GOSPEL OF MARK               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00    
 
TDN-2   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
:224 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 5 2 44 3   23 1(ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.50 33% 2.00 1.50 W
GRAN MAMIBELLA 2 4 3 1   13 2(szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 27% 2.70 2.90 P
COURTLY 1 5 2nk 43   36 3(puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 1.40  
BLAZING ZENNA 4 3 5 5   58 4(mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 16.20  
MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) 3 6 6 6   610½ 510 (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 21.30  
LADY LEAH 6 1 1nk 2   48 614½ (erdel john)DIAZ R 119 10.00 13% 7.00 13.50  
SCR  YEARS AGO               (trevino stephen)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
 
TDN-3   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
:222 :46 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICGIRL 4 4 3 3   1nk 12 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 3.00 1.30  
SABELLE 3 2 12 13   2nk 22 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 24.10  
KINGSTON TIME 2 6 4 44   32 3(urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 15% 5.90 0.90 S
MAMBO DANCER 5 1 22 23   445 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 35% 1.80 14.10  
BLACK BUTTE 7 5 6 6   558 (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 4.50 21% 3.70 20.90  
CARISMATICA 6 3 55 5   6610 (cascallares nes)LUGO D 123 3.50 6.80  
FLYING BUSINESS 1 7 7 77   7714 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 62.20  
 
TDN-4   09/27/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
:24 :474 1:124     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACROSS THE AISLE 6 6 6 5 2½ 1nk 1¾ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 3.00  
SKIDSTREAM 3 2 11 1 1½ 2nk 2¾ (faulkner)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 1.60  
IT'S FATE 1 3 42 4 3½ 32 3(canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 30% 2.40 2.10 S
SAY HEY KID 4 7 76 7 6 44 4(szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 121 12.00 10.20  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 7 5 32 3 43 5510¾ (londono j)HALDAR J 119 4.50 13% 7.00 12.90  
ALGORIX 2 4 5 6 7 7612¾ (bracho jr)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 21% 3.80 42.50  
BALTIC FLEET 5 1 21 2 54 6713¾ (gomez alejand)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 10.10  
SCR  LEXATOGA               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
:224 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEASTFROMTHEEAST 4 4 44 43   31¼ (cascallares nes)LUGO D 119 8.00 27.40  
GEHRIG 6 1 2 2   2½ 2¼ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 121 1.80 63% 0.60 0.70 P
THE COOKIE MAN 5 2 1 1   1½ 32 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 2.30  
O CIGANO 3 5 3 3   45 4(urieta johanna)DIAZ I 121 3.50 8% 11.40 3.10  
MALIBU CLASSIC 1 3 67 6   59 59 (brown glenr)HERNANDEZ H 123 5.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
DUEL FUEL 2 6 57 5   610 611¾ (romero osc)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 50.10  
 
TDN-6   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:232 :473 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEGAS PLAYER 3 5 11 1nk   1½ 1nk (poole m)BRACHO A 115 4.00 4.50  
INDY CARR 4 3 21 2nk   2½ 2nk (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 2.00 47% 1.10 1.40 P
NOSEY POWER 6 1 5 31   333 (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 7% 13.10 19.50 S
ORLEANS STORM 2 4 3 4   43 45 (tumblin andrew)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 2.40  
JOHN PHILIP 5 2 612½ 6   67 5(daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50 9.60  
KING PATRIOT 1 6 42 5   57 612¼ (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 18% 4.40 4.00  
 
TDN-7   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:22 :451 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHADOW TRACER 2 1 1nk 13   15 1(jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 44% 1.30 1.20 W
VENETIAN DREAM 5 3 48 4   37 2(bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 6.90  
HAPPILEA 3 4 3 23   25 3(wolo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 18% 4.40 1.20 DQ↓4
BOURBON OVER ICE 4 5 5 5   47 4(urieta johanna)HALDAR J 123 3.50 5.20  
MASTER 1 2 2nk 3   517 526½ (casalinova tina)GUERERE ANGEL 123 5.00 18.80  
SCR  LAUDA SPEED               (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
 
TDN-8   09/27/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
:511 1:153     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTROLLER 4 5 3 3½ 1nk 1nk 12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 13.50  
A PRAYER FOR KIDS 5 2 5 4 4 422 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.20 P
TIER ONE 3 1 21 2nk 2nk 3.2 33 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 4.00 13.60  
SPECIALIZED 1 3 11 1nk 3.2 2nk 4(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 60% 0.70 0.10  
BRONZE KETTLE 2 4 43 53 5 559 (pappada a)GONZALEZ A 115 4.50 7.70  
SCR  JEBIP               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.