Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - September 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GOLDEN MONEY 2 6 3½ 1½   11½ 12½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 2.50 35% 1.80 0.80 W
3  TIZ A RUSH 3 7 76¾ 51¼   41¾ 22½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 6.00 10.50  
8  OAKEN 7 1 4¾ 2½   31½ 32¾ (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 31% 2.20 2.50 S
6  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 5 3 5¾ 3½   21½ 46 (sh)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 4.50 12% 7.70 5.40  
5  PLATE IT UP 4 4 61¾ 61¾   54¼ 57 (tumblin andrew)PAUCAR E 123 6.00 42.60  
1  JACK BE FAST 1 5 2nk 73¼   75¼ 68½ (hernandez r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 5.00 7.50  
7  OLE WATASHI 6 2 1nk 4¾   65¼ 714½ (schuster robin)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00 36.90  
SCR  THE GOSPEL OF MARK               (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 123 10.00    
 
TDN-2   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TEAM GOLD DIGGER 5 2 44 32½   23 11½ (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 2.50 33% 2.00 1.50 W
2  GRAN MAMIBELLA 2 4 31½ 11½   13 21½ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 27% 2.70 2.90 P
1  COURTLY 1 5 2nk 43   36 32½ (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 1.40  
5  BLAZING ZENNA 4 3 54¼ 54½   58 47¾ (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 16.20  
4  MIRACLE DRUG (IRE) 3 6 66¼ 66½   610½ 510 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 21.30  
7  LADY LEAH 6 1 1nk 21½   48 614½ (erdel john)DIAZ R 119 10.00 13% 7.00 13.50  
SCR  YEARS AGO               (trevino steph)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
 
TDN-3   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAGICGIRL 4 4 33½ 33½   1nk 12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 123 3.00 1.30  
3  SABELLE 3 2 12 13   2nk 22 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 24.10  
2  KINGSTON TIME 2 6 43½ 44   32 34¾ (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 15% 5.90 0.90 S
5  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 5 1 22 23   42¼ 45 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 35% 1.80 14.10  
7  BLACK BUTTE 7 5 65½ 66½   55¾ 58 (patton luke)DIAZ I 119 4.50 21% 3.70 20.90  
6  CARISMATICA 6 3 55 56½   66¼ 610 (cascallares n)LUGO D 123 3.50 6.80  
1  FLYING BUSINESS 1 7 75¾ 77   77¾ 714 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 62.20  
 
TDN-4   09/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ACROSS THE AISLE 6 6 64½ 53½ 2½ 1nk 1¾ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 3.00  
4  SKIDSTREAM 3 2 11 11½ 1½ 2nk 2¾ (faulkn)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00 1.60  
1  IT'S FATE 1 3 42 42½ 3½ 32 33¾ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 3.50 30% 2.40 2.10 S
5  SAY HEY KID 4 7 76 75¼ 64¼ 44 46¼ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 12.00 10.20  
8  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 7 5 32 31½ 43 55½ 510¾ (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 4.50 13% 7.00 12.90  
2  ALGORIX 2 4 52½ 63¾ 78¼ 79½ 612¾ (bracho j)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 21% 3.80 42.50  
6  BALTIC FLEET 5 1 21 21½ 54 66½ 713¾ (gomez aleja)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 8.00 10.10  
SCR  LEXATOGA               (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BEASTFROMTHEEAST 4 4 44 43   31½ 1¼ (cascallares n)LUGO D 119 8.00 27.40  
6  GEHRIG 6 1 21½ 21½   2½ 2¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 121 1.80 63% 0.60 0.70 P
5  THE COOKIE MAN 5 2 11½ 11½   1½ 32 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 2.30  
3  O CIGANO 3 5 32½ 32½   45 48½ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 121 3.50 8% 11.40 3.10  
1  MALIBU CLASSIC 1 3 67 68½   59 59 (brown gle)HERNANDEZ H 123 5.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
2  DUEL FUEL 2 6 57 58½   610 611¾ (romero o)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 50.10  
 
TDN-6   09/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VEGAS PLAYER 3 5 11 1nk   1½ 1nk (poole m)BRACHO A 115 4.00 4.50  
4  INDY CARR 4 3 21 2nk   2½ 2nk (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 115 2.00 47% 1.10 1.40 P
6  NOSEY POWER 6 1 52½ 31   32½ 33 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 7% 13.10 19.50 S
2  ORLEANS STORM 2 4 31½ 41¼   43 45 (tumblin andre)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 2.40  
5  JOHN PHILIP 5 2 612½ 67¾   67 57¼ (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 4.50 9.60  
1  KING PATRIOT 1 6 42 51¾   57 612¼ (rone mike)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 18% 4.40 4.00  
 
TDN-7   09/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :451 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHADOW TRACER 2 1 1nk 13   15 13¼ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 44% 1.30 1.20 W
5  VENETIAN DREAM 5 3 48 48½   37 23¼ (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 121 10.00 6.90  
3  HAPPILEA 3 4 32½ 23   25 34½ (wo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.50 18% 4.40 1.20 DQ↓4
4  BOURBON OVER ICE 4 5 58¼ 58½   47 45¼ (urieta johan)HALDAR J 123 3.50 5.20  
1  MASTER 1 2 2nk 34½   517 526½ (casalinova ti)GUERERE ANGEL 123 5.00 18.80  
SCR  LAUDA SPEED               (trevino steph)CEDILLO MAURO 114 6.00    
 
TDN-8   09/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:511 1:153     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CONTROLLER 4 5 31½ 3½ 1nk 1nk 12 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 3.00 13.50  
6  A PRAYER FOR KIDS 5 2 53½ 42½ 44¾ 43¾ 22 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.20 P
4  TIER ONE 3 1 21 2nk 2nk 3.2 33 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 4.00 13.60  
1  SPECIALIZED 1 3 11 1nk 3.2 2nk 43¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 60% 0.70 0.10  
2  BRONZE KETTLE 2 4 43 53 58¼ 56¾ 59 (pappada julie )GONZALEZ A 115 4.50 7.70  
SCR  JEBIP               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.